Iran's missile strategy against Israel changes from kinetic to psychological ~ Elder Of Ziyon

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Iran's missile strategy against Israel changes from kinetic to psychological

Iran fired a pair of ballistic missile barrages at Israel early Wednesday, as Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei declared “the battle begins” and called to show “no mercy” toward Israelis.

The first salvo began to trigger sirens across a large swath of Israel shortly after 12:40 a.m., and included some 15 projectiles. The next barrage of approximately 10 rockets began around 40 minutes later and triggered alerts in central Israeli communities and a number of West Bank settlements.

Last October, Iran shot nearly 200 missiles at Israel. In the first two days of this war, it shot about 100 a day.

Each succeeding barrage has had fewer and fewer missiles.

Iran clearly wants to cause as much damage to Israel as possible, but the best way to do that is to send as many missiles as possible and hope to overwhelm Israel's (and its allies') defenses to intercept them.

But as Israel has been taking out missile launchers, as well as attacks on Iran's infrastructure (we can assume communications included), Iran's ability to shoot large numbers of missiles from multiple locations simultaneously has gone down dramatically.

Most of the recent barrages (as of this writing, midnight Tuesday night) have had little destructive effect in Israel.

It means that Iran has mostly given up on trying to hurt Israel. It will still try but it simply no longer has the ability.

That's why it has changed its strategy from kinetic to psychological. Iran's current war is geared towards making Israelis' lives miserable with disruptions in the middle of the day - because even a few rockets cause a Red Alert and force millions of Israelis to shelter.

They are hoping, probably based on their own readings of Haaretz and the New York Times, that Israelis are sick and tired of war and will pressure Netanyahu to ask for a ceasefire.

This is part of their strategy to place absurd claims of victorious attacks and shooting down Israeli planes into social media via Western useful idiots. Add to this their attempts to claim that Israel is violating international law, hoping for UN resolutions against it.

Iran has all but given up trying to damage Israel physically. All it has left is psychology. And in the meanwhile its own citizens are getting closer and closer to overthrowing their own leaders - the scenario they have been expecting to happen in Israel for several years.