AI Israel is concerned that the alternative hypothesis sub-chapter in the report is unconvincing and written in a precarious way. In specific, it fails to genuinely represent important arguments that provide context, alternative explanations and other facts in regard to Israel’s conduct and intentions. The proper way to go about writing such a subchapter is to play the devil’s advocate as candidly as possible, or rather ask someone internal (or, even better, someone external) to write this part with all seriousness, providing gravity and real thought into the alternative hypothesis, all of this in order to avoid self-misleading, cherry-picking and other fallacies. Unfortunately, we believe that this is not the case in this report. What we have, instead of a serious analysis, is a straw man – a weaker, unserious version of the alternative hypothesis, which makes an easy target, but serves poorly as a method to deal with such important issues. Some arguments were not discussed while some were mentioned but immediately dismissed or belittled. Moreover, the analysis section that compares between the hypotheses is totally lacking, and is merely claiming that the report’s hypothesis is more convincing, to the point that it is the only one that makes sense – without actual proper discussion and scrutiny.
It is important to note that refuting an accusation of genocide does not necessarily entail proving that other hypotheses are more reasonable, but rather that they are reasonable enough to cast doubts on the genocide hypothesis, hence to prove that it is not in fact the only reasonable explanation to the actions of the perpetrators. This high bar is not inadvertent but rather intentionally designed to keep the crime of genocide harder to prove.One such hypothesis that we will examine here is what we dub as “the disregard hypothesis” – that is: Israel was pursuing military goals while showing blatant disregard to Gazans’ lives, but without an intent to destroy the group as such.
Amnesty International's decision to suspend its Israeli branch for violating its newly made up policy of maintaining "operational coherence" looks even worse when you read Amnesty Israel's critique, because it means that Amnesty could not answer the criticisms even from its own people. It could not tolerate debate within its organization.Hamas’ strategy to embed itself within civilians can explain the massive devastation at residential areas, hospitals, schools etc, rather than the intent to destroy these areas and facilities as such.
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