Melanie Phillips: America and the truth of asymmetric warfare
In an interview about the war against Ukraine, the former Soviet dissident turned Israeli public figure, Natan Sharansky, made a key observation.
Commenting in Tablet that both Russia and its president, Vladimir Putin, were far from the strongest in the world, Sharansky shared something he had learned from his time in a Soviet prison.
The ringleader in the cell, he said, wasn’t the one who was physically strongest but the one ready to use his knife. “Everybody has a knife, but not everybody is prepared to use it,” he said. “Putin believes that he is willing to use his knife and the west isn’t—that the west can only talk even if it is physically stronger.”
Of course, most people assumed that Putin would never use his knife. They thought he would never invade Ukraine and embark on a horrific campaign against its civilian population. Yet that’s exactly what he has done.
In a similar vein, no one apparently believed that Putin would ever deploy nuclear weapons. Yet with the Russian dictator issuing not-so-veiled threats about nuclear war, Britain and America are refusing to yield to the pleas by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to fly bombing raids against the invading Russian forces for fear that Putin may do just that.
At a stroke, therefore, a key tenet of western defence policy has been destroyed. For decades, western leaders have told themselves that the principle of “mutually assured destruction” — under which any nuclear first strike would provoke a devastating nuclear counter-strike — is so obviously suicidal that no leader in his right mind would ever use nuclear weapons.
Yet what Putin is demonstrating is that this doctrine may not apply to him. The west’s nuclear knife is sheathed; but he is brandishing his own in a menacing manner and, as a result, has the upper hand.
Once again, the west has made the false assumption that every world leader is fundamentally a rational actor acting in his own self-interest. But some individuals are driven by fanatical devotion to a cause which means they make an entirely different set of calculations.
This is one reason why the Biden administration is making such a catastrophic mistake over Iran.
Caroline Glick: Washington's betrayal has only just begun
The Biden administration justifies its pro-Iranian and anti-Israel/Sunni Arab policy by claiming it is a means to disengage the US from the Middle East at a time that Washington is keen to concentrate its resources and attention on Asia and the rising threat of China. While on its face, this justification seems reasonable, it stands on a rotten foundation.Demonstration in front of the U.S embassy, against the dangerous nuclear agreement with Iran
During his term in office, then-President Donald Trump sought to minimize US presence in the Middle East in order to focus US efforts and resources in Asia to contend with the rising threat from China. To achieve this goal, Trump empowered America's allies – Israel and the Sunni Arab states led by Saudi Arabia. He provided political, diplomatic, logistical, and when necessary, military support to ensure the success of their efforts to combat Iranian aggression against them.
Trump's concept, which was successfully diminishing both the level of violence in the region and the US's direct involvement in the Middle East, was that since America's allies share the US's interests in the Middle East, the more able they are to defend their own interests, the less the US will have to invest in protecting its interests in the region.
Trump created institutional frameworks for cooperation between US allies both by forging the Abraham Accords which effectively ended the Arab conflict with Israel, and by integrating Israel into the US Central Command and so fostering operational military cooperation between Israel and the US's Arab allies under the aegis of the US military.
Biden's policies are the polar opposite of Trump's policies both conceptually and substantively. Biden's policies represent a reinstatement and escalation of Barack Obama's policies for Iran and the wider Middle East. In contrast to Trump, Obama, Biden and their advisors believe that the US's Middle Eastern allies – Israel and the Sunni Arab Gulf states – maliciously worked for decades to entangle the United States in the wars of the Middle East. To disentangle America from the region and its pernicious "allies" the Obama-Biden doctrine posits the US must realign itself away from its allies and weaken them, and towards Iran, which it must empower.
This brings us to Israel, and what its government must do in the face of the administration's betrayal. Since supporting Iran and undermining Israel are the founding principles of Biden's Middle East policies, they are not subject to change. Israel cannot influence them. It doesn't matter how many times Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Foreign Minister Yair Lapid gush about Israel's "true friends," Biden and Blinken. They have chosen a path that is impermeable to reason and argument.
Rather than expend efforts to woo an implacably hostile administration – through futile mediation of other people's wars and committing Israel to a policy of "no surprises" in its handling of Iran's Biden-supported-nuclear program, Israel's leaders must prepare for what awaits us.
We are about to be scapegoated.
In 2014-2015, in their efforts to sell their original cataclysmic nuclear deal with Iran, Obama and his advisors ran a campaign to demonize Israel and its supporters in Congress specifically and in US public life more generally. Now that Biden has agreed to an even more dangerous nuclear deal, Israel can expect for the demonization campaign that awaits it to dwarf its predecessor. In fact, as we see with the administration's efforts to scapegoat Israel directly, through its media partners and through the Ukrainian leadership, for not being sufficiently anti-Russian, the campaign has already begun.
The Saudis and the Emirates clearly already recognize the sucker's game that Biden and his team are playing. On Wednesday the Wall Street Journal reported that Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia and Crown Prince Muhammed bin Zayed of the UAE both refused to accept phone calls from Biden this week. Israel's leaders should follow them in accepting reality and acting accordingly before the situation deteriorates still further.
How the Biden Administration Is Funding the Effort To Delegitimize Israel
The Biden administration is offering nearly $1 million for groups to investigate alleged human rights abuses in Israel, the West Bank, and the Gaza Strip, an effort that will delegitimize Israel, according to sources who spoke to the Washington Free Beacon.
The State Department's Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor (DRL) is soliciting nonprofit groups to apply for grant money up to $987,654 to "strengthen accountability and human rights in Israel and the West Bank and Gaza," according to a grant notice first posted online in mid-February.
Groups applying for the grant money will investigate alleged crimes inside Israel and these territories and "collect, archive, and maintain human rights documentation to support justice and accountability and civil society-led advocacy efforts, which may include documentation of legal or security sector violations and housing, land, and property rights," according to the State Department.
Israel's defenders on Capitol Hill expressed outrage over the program and said the Biden administration is helping fund international efforts to delegitimize Israel and boost the anti-Semitic Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions movement. The grant is also fueling concerns about the Biden administration's relationship with Israel and its hiring of officials who have been critical of the Jewish state.
"This is disgraceful," Sen. Ted Cruz (R., Texas) told the Free Beacon. "The Biden administration wants to use American taxpayer money to subsidize the international NGO campaign to demonize and isolate Israel, which then serves as a basis for anti-Semitic efforts to boycott and wage economic warfare against Israeli Jews. Congress did not appropriate funds for this purpose and has repeatedly condemned such campaigns."
The State Department, Cruz said, "should immediately cancel this program and investigate how it was approved."
1a. Beinart gaslights on the genocidal intent of Hamas' 1988 charter. The charter quotes a famous Hadith calling for the slaughter of Jews, but Beinart doesn't quote that part. https://t.co/71JySzVY2x pic.twitter.com/ItaMbypf5Q
— David May (@DavidSamuelMay) March 9, 2022