Monday, November 11, 2024
- Monday, November 11, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
- book review
"Deceit of an Ally" is a memoir of sorts by Bruce Brill, who worked at the NSA 50 years ago as an Arabic translator.
The main point of the book is that Brill, who was Jewish, was urged by his boss not to travel home for Yom Kippur in 1973 because he had absolutely positive information that a war was going to break out that day.
The rest of the book is mostly Brill's attempts to find out why NSA didn't tell the Israelis about this intelligence ahead of time. After he left the military and the NSA, Brill moved to Israel and over the decades interviewed many of the decision makers and wrote about his experience (once cleared to do so); he eventually realized that not only didn't the Americans warn the Israelis but they misled them, saying that Egypt was not going to attack that day. Newly release d archives support this contention. This is one reason the Israelis were caught flat-footed on that terrible Saturday morning.
However, Brill does not address the other evidence that the IDF ignored at the time. Assuming he is right, the American deceit was a factor, but not the only factor.
Brill fills out the book with some other anecdotes and unproven theories; after all he was a fairly junior member of the NSA and everyone there is only told what they have a need to know. He writes about the secret "Jew Room" at the NSA as reported in "The Secret War Against the Jews," by John Loftus and Mark Aarons, where they intercept and decode Israeli communications and don't allow Jews to enter. Brill believes he saw a glimpse of the "Jew Room" he was not allowed to enter without escort when he worked at the agency - the door was opened and he saw a map of Israel and settlements that wasn't behind its usual curtain. But he has no proof.
There is a lot of paranoia in this book. Brill talks about his fears that he will be assassinated for his work to expose this conspiracy. For example, he thinks a character named "Brill" in the Gene Hackman movie "Enemy of the State" was named after himself.
When he writes letters to everyone he can think of asking what they know about the US misleading the Israelis and the "Jew Room," most of them ignore him. He thinks that is evidence of a coverup, but it is more likely they think he is a flake.
In the end, the only thing he proves is the NSA knew about the Yom Kippur War ahead of time. He corroborated that with other translators who worked at the NSA at the time. Brill fills up the book with copies of original letters and documents; he submitted the book to the NSA to be vetted and he left the blacked-out parts as part of the book.
One of his paranoid-sounding theories does make one wonder, though.
When Brill's miliary time was up, he had an option to "convert" to become a civilian employee at the NSA. He decided to apply - not because he really wanted to stay there but because the process happened during working hours and he was bored. One of the steps was a polygraph test, and when they asked if he would ever pass information to a foreign country he said no - but the polygraph said he was lying. That uis usually enough to disqualify anyone from working there, but not only did they then invite him to negotiate a salary, they offered him a much higher pay grade than his job would normally receive. Since he wasn't interested, he declined anyway.
The NSA, of course, knew Brill was Jewish and was studying Hebrew. Why did they want him so badly? Brill wonders if they were trying to set him up - this is before Jonathan Pollard - as someone to whom they would leak critical secret information about Israel's enemies and then try to entrap him when they assumed Brill would tell it to Israeli agents.
Could it be that this was a plan, and this was done to Pollard? It seems far-fetched, but antisemitism at the NSA in those days seems certain, and Brill describes some that he had to endure.
Some parts of the book - like details about working at the Agency - are fun to read. I was surprised to find out that satellite imagery in the 1970s was already good enough that Brill could read the Hebrew on the knit kippah of an Israeli soldier embroidered with his name from space. If that was true in the 70s, it is mind boggling to think how today's intelligence agencies could do orders of magnitude more.
But it is not a very well written or edited book.
It is nearly impossible to read Deceit of an Ally and not think of analogies between Israel's intelligence failure in 1973 -whatever the true reasons were - and its equally devastating failure on October 7. In both cases, the data was there; the people whose job is to interpret the firehose of data and make correct decisions, or at the very least hedge their bets and make contingency plans in case their assumptions were wrong, were the ones who failed.
Bruce Brill sounds like a fun person to talk to, but once you know the gist of his book, there isn't much more to learn.
- Monday, November 11, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
There is no international incident. No one is saying that this will harm potential relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel.
The reason is because he was a Shiite terrorist, described as a fighter in Hezbollah, where he was known as Imran Karim. Hezbollah has extensively mourned his "martyrdom."
The terrorist's father, Ahmed Al-Mughassil, was he leader of the military wing of Saudi Hezbollah. He is now in a Saudi prison for his role in the 1995 Khobar Towers bombing that killed 19 US Air Force personnel.
The US is still seeking Ahmed for trial.
- Monday, November 11, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
Yemenite Jew in the early 20th century wearing the sudra |
One Israeli, Rudy Rochman, is marketing his own sudra with a Star of David pattern, and he made this video describing it and its Jewish roots.
The only reason I found this video is because rabid anti-Zionist Rafael Shimunov stumbled upon it and labeled it "genocidal."
Yes, Jews wearing a scarf like their own Middle Eastern ancestors did is "genocide." Just like Israeli versions and adaptations of Middle Eastern foods are "genocide." Just like Israeli versions of Middle Eastern dance are "genocide."
Perhaps the ubiquitous olive wood camels that Arabs eagerly sold to Jewish tourists in the 1950s and 60s are also "genocide."
The constant associating Jews with genocide is, of course, deliberately meant to invert the Holocaust, the event that the term to be coined for. It is ironic that the people who pretend to care about genocide by using it for everything Israelis do are redefining and trivializing the term so that it becomes meaningless - and therefore all but ignored in cases that it really happens.
To the modern antisemites, applying the term to Jews is far more important than genocide itself.
- Monday, November 11, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
Hezbollah has been recruiting child soldiers from their Imam al-Mahdi Scouts who are as young as 15, according to reports.
From what I can tell, they were killed in the vicinity of adult Hezbollah fighters, and were not targeted themselves.
Nazi salute at the Mahdi Scouts |
According to experts interviewed in Lebanese media, Hezbollah is suffering a manpower shortage. They have been recruiting from their scouts to backfill various functions.
It does not look like these are fighters, but they are being used as messengers, lookouts and couriers. Under international law, they are still combatants.
Since Hezbollah's communications system has been thoroughly compromised, messengers are necessary to communicate between different cells.
Hezbollah attracts the youth to the Scouts with promises of an (Iranian) salary as well as the promise of martyrdom that they children are brainwashed with in the scouts. Al Jazeera quoted one 14 year old in 2021 as saying, “Al-Mahdi Scouts told us to be martyrs defending our land from all the countries that attack us.
Training kids to want to die is, of course, child abuse. And Western media simply doesn't talk about it.
Buy the EoZ book, PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism today at Amazon! Or order from your favorite bookseller, using ISBN 9798985708424. Read all about it here! |
|
Sunday, November 10, 2024
From Ian:
Melanie Phillips: A new Israeli nation is arising from the smoke of battle
Melanie Phillips: A new Israeli nation is arising from the smoke of battle
The shiva was an unbearably tragic, moving and yet inspirational experience.10 Lies about Israel (pdf)
Inspirational because here in microcosm was something of unexpected and priceless value that has emerged in Israel during this terrible year. It is no reflection on the grit and valour of those who fought in Israel’s previous wars to say that what’s now taking place is seen by many as a spiritual rebirth of the Jewish nation.
At the funeral and shiva, Avi’s widow Rachel showed the inner strength of this couple when she spoke up for three principles dear to her husband and demanded by his ultimate sacrifice.
The first was the need for unity, demonstrated by the family’s request that any politician who paid a shiva visit should be accompanied by someone with a different perspective.
The second was that Charedim should enlist in the IDF, a demand she made in public to a prominent rabbinic opponent of the Charedi draft when he visited the mourners.
The third, which encompassed the first two, was that the cause for which her husband had given his life was a war of good against evil.
This understanding lies at the core of the astounding spirit shown by countless IDF soldiers, secular as well as believers, over the past year.
These soldiers — many of them achingly young — have shown they aren’t fighting merely to defeat an enemy bent on their nation’s destruction and to recover the remaining Israeli hostages.
They understand they are up against an existential evil, the same barbaric depravity that has claimed millions of Jewish lives over the centuries.
This conscript army accordingly feels accompanied on the battlefield by the ghosts of those who were slaughtered in previous generations. These soldiers know they’re fighting for the moral and spiritual principles that have kept the Jewish people alive throughout unparalleled persecution.
It’s why they believe they will win this war, whatever the cost.
It’s why so many of them, secular as well as religious, have gone to war wearing tzitzit, the fringed garment intended to remind them of the Jews’ religious calling. They wear this Jewish identity like armour next to their hearts.
Avi Goldberg was a warrior rabbi fighting for the nation, the first for centuries to have taken this dual role so familiar to us from the Hebrew bible. He had the aura of a biblical figure fighting in what many have come to view as a biblical war. For it feels like a momentous new chapter is being written in Jewish history.
No-one is under any illusion that, after the war ends, Israel’s profound political dysfunctionality and social divisions will magically melt away. But a great new generation is arising from the smoke of the battlefield who will never again put up with the doublethink and confusion of a society that lost its ancient clarity of vision and paid a terrible price.
A spark has been rekindled by this war to forge the nation anew. The people of Israel are being bound together in fire, a nation fighting for civilisation against barbarism, for light against darkness, for life against death.
May the memory of all who have fallen in this seismic war be a blessing.
Telling the truth about Israel is an urgent necessity after the October 7th massacre and the unexpected wave of antisemitism that we witnessed afterward. For many years Israel’s image has been polluted to the point of asphyxiation by a well-prepared set of lies that, over the decades, have become widespread – mindsets that fuel not only incitement to terrorism in the Arab world but also antisemitic hatred in the Western world.
The resulting ignorance is an abyss of shame. The young people who take to the streets against Israel know nothing but myths and lies, while ignoring even the most basic facts of Israel’s history and current events. In this little book, we offer our contribution to the truth facing the ten basic lies about Israel.
- Sunday, November 10, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
(This is off-topic for me, but I got a little obsessed with the topic. See UPDATE at the end.)
At first glance, it appears that the number of votes for the Democratic presidential candidate were very anomalous compared to the previous and succeeding elections.
I know that people have analyzed the 2020 results to death, but this interested me enough to look at it on my own.
First of all, the scale of the chart - while acceptable practice - is deceptive, since the Y axis starts at 50 million votes, exaggerating the effect. Here is the correct chart for the past five elections in proper perspective.
Obviously far more ballots were counted in 2020 than for any US election in history. The reasons given, according to ChatGPT:
Heightened Political Engagement: The political climate in the years leading up to the 2020 election was particularly charged, motivating more people to vote.Expanded Mail-In and Early Voting: Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many states expanded access to mail-in and early voting to make it safer and more convenient for people to cast their ballots.Increased Voter Registration Efforts: There were significant efforts by various organizations to register new voters, particularly among younger demographics and minority groups.High Stakes: Many voters on both sides viewed the 2020 election as particularly crucial, leading to higher turnout.Intensive Get-Out-The-Vote Campaigns: Both major political parties and numerous advocacy groups invested heavily in efforts to mobilize voters.
Four of the five apply to 2024 as well, yet the number of votes cast went up by over 21 million in 2020 and went down by about 18 million this year. The main difference as far as I can see is that there was a huge increase in mail-in voting in 2020 due to COVID concerns - 65 million compared to 25 million in 2016.
This year there were more than 80 million early voters, but I cannot find a breakdown yet of mail in vs. early voting at official locations.
Looking further into the 2020 numbers, I looked at the differential of votes compared to 2016 by party. My theory is that in general, 2016 Trump voters remained Trump voters (49%) and 2016 Clinton voters remained Clinton voters (51%), within a couple of percentage points.
If we subtract the 2016 results from the 2020 results, the excess number of votes come out to 58% Democrat vs. 42% Republican (I'm not counting third parties).
That number is, to me, statistically suspicious. The additional votes should be roughly in line with the more general results (which totaled 52% Democrat to 48% Republican, including the excess votes.) Clearly the excess votes are way out if whack and not close to a representative sample compared to the rest of the voters in America.
Even more crazily, if you subtract the number of Democratic and Republican votes of 2024 from the historical highs of 2020, you see that the "missing" votes that weren't cast were 83% Democratic and 17% Republican. (In this case, however, there are stong indications that there was a lot of voters who "flipped" from D to R this year so this number is not as meaningful.)
Now, it is possible that there are non-suspicious reasons for the 2020 anomalies. Trump disparaged mail-in voting throughout his campaign so in general Republicans went to the polls while a far higher percentage of Democrats voted by mail.
Surveys afterwards showed that people were happy with the ease of mail-in voting. However, if it is so easy and convenient, why did we see the number of votes cast go down so dramatically this year?
Nevertheless, the claim that somehow the 2020 voting - specifically the excess voting - was manipulated would require extraordinary proof to me. My hypothesis to test that idea is to look at each individual state's excess voting. If the Democrats were concentrating on manipulating the votes somehow, it would be logical to expect that they would put far more effort into the battleground states and not bother much with states that were not up for grabs.
The eight states considered battleground states in 2020 were Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. When I look at the percentage difference between those eight states and the 2016 results, I do not see them as being towards the top in a list of anomalies. The top four gains for Democrats percentagewise compared to 2016 were in already blue states (New Hampshire, Maine, Maryland, Connecticut, all with above 24% difference in Democrat excess vote in 2020 compared to total in 2016.) The swing states are generally in the bottom half of that list.
Yet, when you compare some of the swing states percentage point difference between the excess 2020 votes and how they vote in 2016, some of them come out above the national average of 6.91 percentage points. They include Georgia (14), Michigan (9), North Carolina (7.4), Arizona (7.4) and Pennsylvania (7.) All of those besides North Carolina flipped from R to D.
Ohio, Arkansas, Nevada and New York's excess votes were fairly close to their 2016 votes.
Florida's excess votes were more Republican than in 2016 by 6.4 percentage points.
My analysis does not indicate that there was a concerted effort to manipulate the votes in the battleground states, at least no more than other states. Maybe many of the new 2020 Democrats, who were less motivated in previous years to vote, were unenthusiastic about Kamala Harris and went back to not voting.
But there are still many unanswered questions about the 2020 election and why it had so many more Democratic votes than the previous and successive election years, compared to Republicans.
UPDATE: Yair Rosenberg points out that the 2024 numbers (which I had verified at the time I first looked at this) have been significantly updated as new votes are counted. The number of votes in 2024 is not nearly as significantly lower as I thought - at the moment, less than a million fewer than 2020. So my comparison between 2020 and 2024 goes out the window, although why the excess votes in 2020 were so skewed towards Biden is still strange, to me at least.
Updated chart, including the section outlined in red shown in the original graphic for comparison:
- Sunday, November 10, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
The news out of Amsterdam gets more and more horrifying. And it appears that the police are part of the problem.
Another sickening video was released showing a gang of Islamic thugs chasing down and repeatedly kicking a presumed Jew in the head.
On Saturday night, police said, gangs were still roaming the streets threatening anyone who "looked Jewish" and demanded they show their IDs,
On Saturday, a number of "free Palestine" stickers were found in the city - including near the Holocaust Museum - backed by razor blades to injure anyone who tries to remove them.
It turns out that the Holocaust Museum is a "safe space" - for antisemites.
Because last month, the Dutch police admitted that some of their officers refuse to be deployed at places like the Holocaust Museum or at Koran-burning demonstrations because of "moral objections." Police spokesperson Mireille Beentjes said in response, "We take moral objections into account when drawing up schedules." But, she insisted, for "urgent" matters the police department expects all officers to show up.
Which means that there are fewer officers available to protect the Holocaust Museum compared to other sections of Amsterdam.
There is a clear trajectory we have seen over the years: the sort of attacks we see against Jews in the Palestinian territories spread to highly Muslim sections of Europe a few years later, then to England, then to Canada and the US. These attacks get normalized over time. That's what "globalize the intifada" means.
And no matter how depraved, how disgusting, how utterly inhumane the attacks are, they are always justified as a natural reaction to things Jews are doing.
Buy the EoZ book, PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism today at Amazon! Or order from your favorite bookseller, using ISBN 9798985708424. Read all about it here! |
|
- Sunday, November 10, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
While the usual Israel haters are justifying the pogrom against Israeli Jews in Amsterdam, Palestinians are celebrating them.
The Gaza Now Telegram channel is filled with videos of rabid Muslims beating Jews in Amsterdam. But they pretend that the attackers were regular freedom-loving Dutch citizens who had no choice.
Here are some of the caption of the most violent videos, where they freely admit and brag about terrorizing Israelis on the streets. The only justification they give is that Israelis tore a Palestinian flag.
After they tore up the Palestinian flag⚠️run over, stabbed and beaten🔻They told them this is for the children of Gaza, you scoundrels.🇵🇸🇳🇱Thousands of Dutch and Arab supporters of the Palestinians beat up the Israeli terrorist pigs in the Dutch capital Amsterdam after the match between "Maccabi Tel Aviv" and the Ajax Amsterdam team.100 injuries🔻Among the Israeli terrorist pigs in the center of the Dutch capital Amsterdam after they were beaten, stabbed and trampled in response to tearing up the Palestinian flag during the match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Ajax Amsterdam, and the response came from Dutch youth, Arabs, Turks, Russians and Chechens.🇳🇱🇵🇸The moment the Israeli terrorist pigs tore up the Palestinian flag in the Dutch capital Amsterdam, which led to an angry reaction from Dutch, Arab, Russian, Chechen and Turkish youth.🇵🇸🇳🇱
This is how the free people of the world in the Dutch capital, Amsterdam, dealt with the Israeli terrorist pigs who returned to normal life after killing defenseless Palestinian civilians and committing genocide in Gaza. All of these are Zionist soldiers who participated in killing the children of Gaza.🇳🇱🇵🇸🔻
Crying Israeli terrorist pigs in Amsterdam, Netherlands, and a Zionist soldier who participated in killing Gaza children gets punched in the face and falls to the ground.🇳🇱🇵🇸🔻
In response to the tearing down of the Palestinian flag and its removal from homes in Amsterdam... the free people of the world tear up and burn the flag of the terrorist Zionist occupation pigs in front of the hotel where the terrorist Israeli pigs are hiding in the Netherlands.🇳🇱🇵🇸🔻The Israeli terrorist pigs are trying to cover up their terrorism in Gaza by using video clips showing the free people of the world raising and disciplining the soldiers of the terrorist Zionist occupation in the streets of Amsterdam while they cry like mice.🇳🇱🇵🇸🔻
They aren't denying the crimes - they are proud of them.
Buy the EoZ book, PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism today at Amazon! Or order from your favorite bookseller, using ISBN 9798985708424. Read all about it here! |
|
Saturday, November 09, 2024
From Ian:
‘Why is they still in Gaza?’: Protesters in Tel Aviv mark 400 days since October 7
‘Why is they still in Gaza?’: Protesters in Tel Aviv mark 400 days since October 7
Hundreds gathered outside the IDF’s Tel Aviv headquarters on Saturday evening for the weekly protest demanding a hostage deal, as many of the captives’ families leading the demonstration marked 400 days since their loved ones were abducted.Families of four pairs of sibling hostages held in Gaza mark 400 days of captivity
The crowd appeared slightly larger than in recent weeks. This weekend’s rally on Begin Road was the first since the major one that spontaneously unfolded on Tuesday after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fired Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, who was considered a proponent for a hostage deal.
While weekly protests earlier on in the war attracted thousands, Home Front Command restrictions put in place in September cap such gatherings at 2,000 people.
A massive sign reading “Why are they still in Gaza? 400 days” hung from the pedestrian overpass down to street level, while big white cardboard letters on the street spelled out: “400 days — the shame of Netanyahu.”
Though overtly partisan politics are usually absent from the Begin Street protest, the youth wing of the opposition Yesh Atid party set up an informational stand by the demonstration.
A block away, some 500 people assembled at Hostages Square for the main weekly rally organized by the Hostages and Missing Families Forum.
With a band of mothers clad in white, Niva Wenkert, the mother of hostage Omer Wenkert, kicked off the rally with a call to join “Shift 101,” a silent protest group. Demonstrators calling for the release of Israeli hostages held in the Gaza Strip outside protest in Tel Aviv, November 9, 2024. (Itai Ron/Flash90)
After Wenkert, actor Lior Ashkenazi, the regular MC at the forum’s rallies, spoke against the government’s politicking at home while the captives have languished in Gaza. He noted that Saturday’s rally fell on the 86th anniversary of Kristallnacht, drawing a direct line between the Nazi pogrom and Hamas’s actions on October 7, 2023.
Steffen Seibert, Germany’s ambassador to Israel, also spoke at the rally, saying in Hebrew that for some Israeli politicians, “the fate of the hostages is just one of the [war’s] aims, and certainly not the primary one” — a not so subtle shot at members of Netanyahu’s hardline government.
Seibert added that he was speaking “as the representative of Germany and out of responsibility” to hostages with German citizenship. “I must admit that until now, we have failed to bring everyone home. All the talks with those who have influence on Hamas” have failed to materialize.
Naming hostages who have German citizenship or are related to German citizens, Seibert said: “These are Germans, or family members of Germans, and we want them back.”
Sylvia Cunio doesn’t live in Kibbutz Nir Oz right now, but when she visits, she has only one wish: To go to Gaza and find her two sons who were taken hostage last October 7.Noa Argamani on Instagram: 'The abandonment continues'
“I was in Nir Oz the other week and I said to my friends, to my family, ‘Let’s go to Gaza, let’s go, let’s go get them,'” she said. “I just want to go to Gaza and bring them out myself.”
The Cunios are part of a distinct circle within the broader group of hostage families — those awaiting the return of two siblings held by Hamas in Gaza.
Many sets of siblings were taken hostage on October 7, but only four pairs are left in the enclave, with their families bereft and anxious about the future of their loved ones: David and Ariel Cunio, Eli and Yossi Sharabi, Iair and Eitan Horn and twins Gali and Ziv Berman.
Sylvia’s sons David Cunio, 34, and Ariel Cunio, 27, were each taken from Kibbutz Nir Oz. David was taken with his wife, Sharon and their three-year-old twins, along with Sharon’s sister Danielle and niece Emilia who were visiting Nir Oz that weekend. Ariel was taken hostage with his girlfriend, Arbel Yehud.
On November 27, sisters Sharon and Danielle and their three young children were all released home to Israel under the week-long truce. David was left behind, injured, rail thin and terrified, as described by his wife, Sharon, who was aghast at the idea of leaving him behind in Gaza.
Ariel and Arbel are also still held in Gaza. Sylvia Cunio, far left, with her husband, Louis, and three of her four sons, Ariel, (third from left), David and Eitan; Ariel and David were taken hostage to Gaza on October 7, 2023 (Courtesy)
“I have hope and that’s the last thing I’ll lose,” Sylvia said. “But I won’t believe they’re coming back until I see them with my own eyes, next to me, and hug them, smell them and cook for them.”
Noa Argamani, who was rescued from Hamas captivity in Operation Arnon, posted an Instagram story marking 400 days since October 7, 2023.
''I don't even know how to describe to you the frustration I experienced while still in Hamas captivity. Another day passes and another day passes amid complete uncertainty wrapped in despair,'' she wrote.
Speaking about of her captivity drawings, she added: "'When will it be my turn to go home?' 'Have they forgotten me? Left me behind?' These are sentences that I would raise on a daily basis. But the most frustrating moment is when another hundred days join the previous hundred; it's the time when I started counting from the beginning again. Although the counting was restarted, the conditions only worsen, and the despair only increases. It is impossible to put aside the fact that for already 400 days there are 101 hostages who are just waiting for someone to come and save them. 400 days and the abandonment continues, 400 days too many.''
Meanwhile, the families of the hostages held a statement this evening at the Begin Gate in Tel Aviv. Einav Tsangauker, the mother of the hostage Matan, said: ''After 400 days, it's time to say clearly, everywhere, and on every channel: We must end the war in Gaza and bring everyone back. Yoav Gallant said this week that conditions are ripe, achievements have been secured, and there is nothing left to do in Gaza. The entire security system says this. Everyone understands that the only way to bring back the hostages is to end the war in Gaza. There is no other way.''
She claimed, ''But Netanyahu refuses to end the war for criminal political considerations. Because of Netanyahu, the hostages are dying in captivity. Because of Netanyahu, soldiers are being killed in a war that has achieved its goals. Instead of ending the war in Gaza, the government promotes Israeli towns in Gaza. Instead of acting according to the national interest, Netanyahu acts according to the interests of Ben-Gvir and Smotrich. The people understand this, the people support the deal and ending the war. Every Israeli patriot should demand from Netanyahu: End the war in Gaza and bring back all the hostages. What else is there to do in Gaza besides a hostage deal?''
Friday, November 08, 2024
From Ian:
Why America Stopped Winning Wars
Why America Stopped Winning Wars
Israel, a country of just 10 million with no friendly population on any of its borders, cannot afford to follow America’s example. America might be able to avoid national suicide by correcting its policy errors, because of the great physical distance that separates it from its enemies. Israel’s enemies are right on the border, and Israel has neither a moment nor a square foot to spare.Jonathan Tobin: Will Trump’s ‘America First’ foreign policy help or hurt Israel?
The events of Oct. 7 demonstrated that Hamas indeed posed and continues to pose a catastrophic threat to Israel’s citizens. If Hezbollah’s forces poised on Israel’s northern border had followed through on its own invasion plans for the Galilee on Oct. 7, for which we now know it was amply prepared, the result might well have been three or four times the scale of mass killings, perhaps precipitating the collapse of Israel. Proportionality, in its true sense, would therefore dictate the annihilation of Hamas in response, to remove an existential threat.
Control of a territory by an extremist movement necessarily means that the majority of the civilian population either actively sustains it or else tacitly accepts its activities.
Yet, in contemporary American military and government understanding, proportionality means that every Israeli action should be examined from the point of view of whether “disproportional harm”—often meaning, any harm—has been inflicted on noncombatants. This is insane in the literal sense, as there is no way for Israel to apply this principle in practice and at the same time destroy Hamas.
The reason why the U.S. managed to spend the extraordinary sum of $2.3 trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and other, associated operations, is largely “proportionality.” Careful assessment of what is and is not a proportional attack, or a proportional campaign, is incredibly expensive. It requires the constant collection of a vast amount of detailed intelligence on such subjects as the number of civilians likely to be present in a particular building. In its implementation, proportionality is taken to require the use of guided “smart” low-impact munitions in almost all circumstances, another enormous drain on the budget. Repeated attacks on the same target with expensive munitions often substitute for single attacks with cruder weapons, whose death tolls might be higher—but which will not exhaust America’s financial strength and are more likely to lead to victory. If the Union had spent the Civil War obsessing about the proportionality of its actions instead of annihilating the Confederacy, the war would likely have ended in a stalemate, and the continuation of slavery in the South.
A third and final reason why America stopped winning wars is its misunderstanding of democratization, which is not at all limited to the actions of President George W. Bush, or the ideas of so-called “neoconservatives.” Predictably, relying on democratization as a long-term solution to a foreign threat has proved a misguided and exceptionally expensive approach.
A dangerous regime like Saddam Hussein’s is a proper target for war. Those who are inclined to suggest that Saddam was not dangerous, or no longer dangerous, by 2003, are invited to consider what a vicious dictator like him would have done with Iraq’s vast oil revenue over time. Iran, a very dangerous regime, earns much less money exporting oil than Iraq, partly because it is much simpler to extract and export Iraqi oil. Thus, making sure that Saddam was not left permanently sitting on top of a vast revenue stream to support future aggression was a legitimate military objective.
Imposing democracy on Iraq was not a legitimate military objective, because it could not be reasonably achieved in a limited period of time through force. A society which has existed as a tyranny for decades cannot suddenly be turned into a democracy, especially if the society is not very sophisticated, either technologically or socially, simply by means of military invasion and occupation. It is worth remembering that West Germany had previously been a democracy, however flawed, during the Weimar Republic. It was also an advanced industrial power. Under direct occupation by the Western Allies after a catastrophic military defeat, and with massive Marshall Plan aid, West German society was capable of again sustaining democracy—which was already a familiar form of government. Nothing of the kind was possible in Iraq.
Seeking democracy, or even some substantively democratic form of government, is futile in places like Iraq and Gaza, because democratic governance requires a preexisting institutional and social basis. What should be done, and what America can do, is to rapidly destroy military threats to its national security and economy—as was in fact done in America’s initial invasion of Iraq in 2003. Instead of attempting to police Iraq into the future, America should have then maintained forces in safe areas in close proximity, like Iraqi Kurdistan and Kuwait, to make sure that the old regime could not return to power.
America cannot afford to fight long wars against its enemies, both because of the cost, and because any long campaign inevitably teaches the enemy to adapt and adjust, and thereby become at least partially immune to attack. What the United States should do instead is carry out sudden crushing attacks, which can be repeated without warning. America’s nature as a distant power with a large air force and navy makes this approach ideally suited to its strengths, while avoiding its weaknesses. If you don’t want to suffer the consequences of such an attack, then don’t do things like attack shipping in the Red Sea or take Americans hostage.
For the moment, America has no strategy, no operational approach, not even a clear sense of the tactics it should employ, even in simple situations where America’s interests are clear—like keeping shipping lanes open or keeping nuclear weapons out of the hands of an Iranian regime that regularly promises “Death to America.” What America has, in overabundance, are empty soundbites. As long ago as Jan. 17, 2005, President Bush said of Iran’s nuclear program, “I hope we can solve it diplomatically, but I will never take any option off the table.” Two decades later, Vice President Harris says on that same topic, “diplomacy is my preferred path … but all options are on the table.” After two decades of continuing inaction, such rhetoric, on both sides of the aisle, is a portent of further failures to come.
The stakes involved in Israel’s war against Iran and its proxies are very different. The notion that Ukraine is a valiant democracy fighting for the freedom of the world is a myth. The regime of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is not as democratic or free from that nation’s antisemitic past as the foreign-policy establishment claims. By contrast, helping Israel defeat these terrorists who seek to spread chaos and genocide in a region central to American interests because of its oil reserves and strategic placement is vital to U.S. security.Douglas Murray: 10 things Trump can do to clean up Biden’s messes abroad
All foreign-policy choices are transactional, but every nation has the duty to consider the interests of its own people first.
The choice of “America First” for the title of Trump’s foreign-policy vision has always been unfortunate since it conjures up the pre-World War II movement led by Charles Lindbergh that was both dedicated to appeasing Nazi Germany and antisemitic. Trump’s “America First” is neither dedicated to appeasing a foreign foe or spreading Jew-hatred. It is, instead, more of a realist policy than anything else. That’s because it involves, as we saw in Trump’s first term, a desire to defeat the Islamist terrorists of ISIS, in addition to an aggressive policy of sanctions and anti-terror special operations against Iran.
There is a difference between having the good judgment to pick and choose your battles based on American interests and a policy of isolationism. The notion that an America not willing to commit itself to conflicts anywhere no matter the circumstances will betray Israel is absurd as well as impractical. And it has yet to be explained how Israel is helped by a situation in which American strategic reserves are drawn down to the breaking point to fund and supply an endless war in Ukraine, rather than expended sparingly until they are needed for more important conflicts. Israel needs a strong American ally, not one mired in a conflict that only saps its strength.
Trump’s version of “America First” has other tangible benefits for Israel. Unlike both Obama and Biden, Trump is not interested in bolstering multilateral organizations like the United Nations that are cesspools of antisemitism and irredeemably hostile to the Jewish state. The president-elect has little use for that world body or any of its constituent agencies that do so much to demonize and harm Israel.
And though Biden bragged about how European leaders were thrilled with the return of the Democrats to power in January 2021, Trump is right to regard their good opinion as having no value. The less connected the United States is to international opinion, and especially that of the governments of Western Europe, the better it is for an Israel that Western Europe has already largely written off.
Some observers are so deranged by Trump’s ascendance that they fail to recognize that defending the interests of U.S. citizens “first” is both moral and a wise policy. Though many anti-Trumpers falsely accuse Trump of antisemitism, the opposite is true since he did more to combat Jew-hatred on campuses than his predecessors, who saw the antisemitic mobs as demonstrating idealism that must be heard, if not fully accepted.
While events and changing circumstances can’t be accounted for when determining the future, Trump’s pro-Israel record and opposition to woke ideology represent a harbinger of smoother sailing for the alliance between the two countries in the next four years. Whether successful or not, “America First” is likely to be a better American foreign policy for Jerusalem than the efforts of Biden and Harris.
IsraelPodcast: Mark Dubowitz on the Dangers of a Lame-Duck President
Biden talked a strong game on Israel, but his administration was wet and leaky as hell.
In fact, the Biden administration spent more time trying to perform regime change in Jerusalem than it ever did anywhere else.
Now that Biden, Chuck Schumer and that gang are out, this is a good time to reaffirm the alliance.
Israel doesn’t need America to fight its wars for it. But it does need the US as a resolute ally while it finishes off Hamas and Hezbollah.
It also needs America to assert the sort of pressure the Biden-Harris administration never did to get the remaining hostages freed.
Trump has said before that they must be freed before his inauguration. Now is the time to tell Hamas’ regional backers that time is up.
The slogan for freeing the hostages — including the American ones — should never have been “Bring them home.” It should be “Give them back.” Now.
Iran
Which brings me to the single most important thing Trump can do in the Middle East.
The only reason Iran has been able to fight a seven-front war against Israel for the past year is because Biden-Harris turned the money spigots on for the mullahs the minute they came into office.
Before that, the mullahs were crawling to Trump, begging him to lift his crippling sanctions on their country.
Now is the time to slam the sanctions back on. Iran has seen its terror proxies crippled by Israeli military and intelligence in the past year. Now is the time to go for the head of the snake.
The Iranians are threatening another direct strike on Israel from Iranian territory.
In the last exchange, Israel took out the Revolutionary Islamic government’s air defense systems. There might be a reason for that. In the “tit-for-tat” of this part of the war, the next strike from Iran is imminent.
With Trump on the way back, Israel should be confident that its responding counter-strike destroys the mullahs and wipes away their nuclear ambitions once and for all.
Who knows, perhaps the sordid, barbaric Islamic regime in Tehran will finally fall and the Iranian people can finally get their country back.
If so, then perhaps by the end of his next term, Trump will be able to bring Iran into the Abraham Accords.
Now that is something that even the Nobel Committee would have to notice.
America has just elected a new president, or rather, a new-old president. Donald Trump will be the first American president since Grover Cleveland to be elected to non-consecutive terms. All transitions between presidential administrations have an awkward aspect, felt especially during the months between the election and when the incumbent takes office. This period, when the successor has already been named by the electorate but does not yet have any official power, is when a lame-duck session of Congress meets, and the president himself is called a lame-duck president.
During this period, the president—while retaining all of his constitutional authority—nevertheless tends to diminish in the power hierarchy of Washington. Presidential power is based, to a very large degree, on the possibility of promising something in the future, and lame-duck presidents don’t have a future in which they can fulfill any promises. It can also be a period when, unconstrained by the need to run for office again, a president can put executive orders and other kinds of policies in place without worrying about their political consequences. So it can be a period of troublemaking.
Mark Dubowitz, the chief executive of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), fears that a lame-duck Biden administration might decide to target Israel with executive action in very damaging ways. Dubowitz has spent decades working on financial warfare and sanctions in and out of government, and he is an expert on Iran’s nuclear program.
In order to follow this conversation, there are a couple of things it helps to know. First, in December 2016, during President Obama’s lame-duck period, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 2334, which conveyed that all Israeli settlements in the West Bank and east Jerusalem are illegal. The U.S. could have vetoed the resolution, but instead abstained.
The second is Executive Order 14115, which President Biden signed back in February, which gives the State and Treasury Departments authorization to sanction individuals and entities who undermine peace and security in the very areas Security Council Resolution 2334 determined Israelis may not live in. Sanctions have already been levied against some Israelis—some of whom genuinely do undermine peace, and some of whom do not. Dubowitz joins Jonathan Silver to warn of the danger that the president will use the last weeks of his term to take accelerated action under these authorities.
From Ian:
Amsterdam ‘Pogrom’: five in hospital, 62 arrested, police say
Amsterdam ‘Pogrom’: five in hospital, 62 arrested, police say
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated at about 4:30 a.m. local time that he was dispatching two rescue planes to Amsterdam following a “very violent incident against Israeli citizens.”Amsterdam shows how bad things are. But this time we have Israel
“The harsh pictures of the assault on our citizens in Amsterdam will not be overlooked,” Netanyahu’s office stated, adding that he “views the horrifying incident with utmost gravity and demands that the Dutch government and security forces take vigorous and swift action against the rioters, and ensure the safety of our citizens.”
Amsterdam police told JNS that “several reports about last night’s events in Amsterdam are circulating on social media.”
“The police have launched a major investigation into multiple violent incidents,” the department told JNS. “So far, it is known that five people have been taken to the hospital and 62 individuals have been arrested.”
“The police are aware of reports regarding a possible hostage situation and missing persons, but currently have no confirmation that this actually took place,” it added. “This aspect is also under investigation.”
The department added that there was to be a noon press conference at Amsterdam City Hall.
The Israeli Foreign Ministry initially said that there has not been contact with three Israelis in Amsterdam. It later said everyone was accounted for.
The Israeli National Security Council stated in Hebrew that Israelis in Amsterdam should remain in their hotel rooms and avoid the street, refrain from wearing visible Jewish or Israeli symbols and notify Dutch police and the Israeli mission about any threat or attack. The council also advised Israelis to return to home, with more planes expected.
Earlier in the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv lost 5-0 to Ajax Amsterdam in a Europa League game. Various reports indicated that Israeli fans were attacked—with some reports of injuries—after leaving the game.
King Willem-Alexander of the Netherlands told Israeli President Isaac Herzog that “we failed the Jewish community of the Netherlands during World War II, and last night we failed again,” per an Israeli readout of the call.
Earlier in the day, Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof spoke with Herzog and Netanyahu. Schoof wrote that he was “horrified by the antisemitic attacks on Israeli citizens. This is completely unacceptable.”
“The perpetrators will be identified and prosecuted. The situation in Amsterdam is now calm once more,” he wrote.
Waking up to the news that Israeli football fans were attacked last night on the streets of Amsterdam I felt sick. Properly, physically sick.Ayaan Hirsi Ali: The Pogrom in Amsterdam
It’s strange, because I’m used to starting my day doom scrolling through Instagram, my feed filled with the latest updates on the plague of antisemitism that’s currently sweeping the globe. But this felt different. And it was.
People are calling it a pogrom. Does that feel extreme? I mean, BH there have been no confirmed deaths yet (although as I write, two Israelis are still unaccounted for). [UPDATE: Everyone has now been accounted for.] There were no rapes. Nothing seems to have been set on fire. I don’t want to give in to the hysteria and add to the distortion of terms such as this, so I’ve looked it up to try and make an informed decision. According to the Holocaust Encyclopaedia: “Pogrom is a Russian word meaning ‘to wreak havoc, to demolish violently’. Historically, the term refers to violent attacks by local non-Jewish populations on Jews in the Russian Empire and in other countries.” I guess I have to agree that, by that definition, it sounds about right. The Board of Deputies concurs. In a statement this morning they said: “Some have likened the situation there to a ‘pogrom’. On the basis of reports we have seen so far, it is hard to disagree.”
The echoes of our past are hard to face – for those of us who know it. Unfortunately, most of the gentile population don’t, so aren’t confronted by the uncanny vision of some of the worst moments of our history repeating in real time. The people and the chants may be different, but the streets and the violence are exactly the same.
One of the elements I’ve found most chilling has been the reports of how the Israeli fans were abandoned by the local authorities. One victim is quoted as saying: “We were all alone. I saw people on the floor, the police didn’t do anything to help us, police cars just drove by and saw it happening and did nothing.” Again, this is disturbingly reminiscent of pogroms’ past. Quoting the definition from the Holocaust Encyclopaedia again, it says: “The perpetrators of pogroms organised locally, sometimes with government and police encouragement.”
Offering an explanation for this, one social media news feed claims that “a large part of the police force in Amsterdam are 2nd-generation migrants from North Africa and the Middle East.” For those who’d like to believe this isn’t the source of the problem (wouldn’t we all), it shared a link to an article in the Jerusalem Post, written just last month, with the headline: Dutch police refuse to guard Jewish sites over 'moral dilemmas,' officers say. The article reports on statements made by Marcel de Weerd and Michel Theeboom, representing the Dutch Jewish Police Network, on anti-Jewish prejudice in the force. “There are colleagues who no longer want to protect Jewish targets or events. They talk about ‘moral dilemmas,’ and I see a tendency emerging to give in to that. That would truly mark the beginning of the end. I’m concerned about that,” Theeboom told Nieuw Israëlisch Weekblad.
The piece goes on: “The officers later spoke with De Telegraaf, where they said that some members of the police expressed they didn’t want to be deployed at the Dutch National Holocaust Museum in Amsterdam and refused food and drinks from the venue.” Once again, it seems to be a case of “same same, but different”. As with the pogroms of the 19th century, in Amsterdam in 2024 the people attacking Jews and the authorities who should be protecting them are cut from the same cloth.
I well remember when I was reliant on Dutch police protection to ensure that I did not suffer the same fate as my friend Theo van Gogh, who had been stabbed to death by a jihadist in the streets of Amsterdam. One day, one of the agents assigned to my security detail turned out to be of Turkish descent. I became uneasy when he began to criticize me for my work with van Gogh on “Submission,” a film about the treatment of women under Islam. When I expressed my concerns, I was told by his superior officer that it was not up to me who was given the task of protecting me. I was required to learn a new kind of submission—to the dictates of the DEI bureaucracy.
Today, a large part of the police force in Amsterdam is made up of second-generation migrants from North Africa and the Middle East. Since October 7 last year, some officers have already refused to guard Jewish locations such as the Holocaust Museum.
Women and gays in Amsterdam have also felt their world change and shrink. However, it is the Jewish community of Amsterdam who have had to learn to survive in this new environment.
Yesterday night’s pogrom was thus the opposite of a black swan. Such an event was foreseeable long ago. Twenty years ago, I watched as the Dutch authorities caved in to almost every Islamist demand. Muslim students disrupted or walked out of classes on the history of the Holocaust, so the classes were eliminated from their curriculum. Jews and gays were attacked and beaten in the streets of Amsterdam, so—after a series of platitudes about “unacceptable behavior”—the victims were told not to appear so gay or Jewish in future.
More recently, in one of those ironies that would require an Evelyn Waugh to do full justice, the Anne Frank House, a museum established to commemorate the Holocaust, was made to include Islamophobia as many of the hatreds it is now repurposed to combat.
No doubt Amsterdam today can boast the highest share of minorities employed in government and security agencies. But, as a consequence, those agencies cannot guarantee the safety of Jews.
The globalization of the Intifida is progressing rapidly when, in the year 2024, we are called to witness a pogrom in the city of Baruch Spinoza and Anne Frank.
- Friday, November 08, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
Massad Boulos is the billionaire father-in-law of Trump's daughter Tiffany. he has strong connections to Lebanese Christian leaders. He may replace Amos Hochstein as Trump's envoy to broker an agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. He is already scheduled to travel to Beirut.
Walid Phares was a member of Trump's foreign policy team during the presidential campaign in 2016, but did not work in his previous administration. He has been a terrorism and Middle East expert on Fox News since 2007 and on Newsmax since 2022. This week he highlighted the "strong bond between the United States and Israel."
Tom Barrack is a Lebanese American businessman. He argues that the Gaza war is “largely due to Hamas,” which, rather than “building the Singapore of the Middle East over the past 18 years,” has diverted “funds” to “terrorism and warfare aimed at eliminating Israel and killing Jews.”
Darell Issa was a Republican member of the House of Representatives from 2001 to 2019 and was reelected in 2021. Last July, he urged the U.S. Congress to continue supporting the Lebanese Army, emphasizing that it "remains committed to countering any attempts by outside forces — such as Hezbollah, Palestinians, Syrians or others — to exert control over the country."
They all sound like reasonable people.
- Friday, November 08, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
IMPACT-se recently reviewed textbooks from Ireland for anti-Jewish bias.
For the other religions, war is considered a last resort only under extraordinary conditions; in Judaism it is normalized and Jewish teachings promoting peace are ignored.
Compare to how it is defined in Arabic Wikipedia:
It found that in general they were good, but there were some problems.
They noted this table from Inspire - Wisdom of the World. Junior Cycle Religious Education. 7th–9th Class. by Michael Purcell & Ailís Travers, (2020), that compared how the five major religions looked upon peace and war.
While they framed Christianity and Islam as always striving for peace, Judaism is the only one that believes in violence and war for "justice."
In a separate section, the book takes pains to say that jihad means primarily "spiritual struggle" for most Muslims:
Jihad or Jihad in the way of Allah is an Islamic term that means all actions or words that are done to spread Islam, or to repel an enemy targeting Muslims, or to liberate a Muslim land , or to help a Muslim or Muslims in general....Jihad has levels, some of which are obligatory for every accountable person, and some of which are a communal obligation ... Jihad against the self and jihad against Satan are obligatory for every accountable person, and jihad against the hypocrites , infidels , and the masters of injustice, innovations, and evils is an individual obligation . Jihad against the infidels by hand may be obligatory for every capable person in certain situations. Ibn al-Qayyim said : “ Jihad has four levels: Jihad against the self, jihad against Satan, jihad against the infidels, and jihad against the hypocrites . ”
The book is whitewashing what jihad means to most Muslims.
There are some other inaccuracies in the book not mentioned by IMPACT-se. It says that Jews perform pilgrimage to "the Wailing Wall" which is not the Jewish name for it; it refers to Jesus as living in "Palestine," it says that Jews only go to synagogue once a week, it describes the Ten Commandments in the Judaism section but uses the Christian system for numbering them. There is very little about how Judaism evolved since 70 CE.
- Friday, November 08, 2024
- Elder of Ziyon
Polls that are commissioned by advocacy groups are always skewed. Sometimes subtly, sometimes grossly, but they can never be trusted without a deep dive into their methodology, the specific questions being asked and the wording of the questions.
I already wrote about how CAIR used an absurdly poor methodology to conclude that more American Muslims would vote for Jill Stein than Kamala Harris, something that exit polls showed was not close to true.
J-Street on Thursday issued results of their comprehensive survey of American Jews on how they voted, and found that Jews preferred Kamala Harris by a 71-26 margin, a 45 point margin. But the Fox News exit polls found a 66-32% split, a 34 point margin.
That's a huge difference. What accounts for it?
It comes down to methodology.
Fox News asked people after they voted, "What is your present religion, if any?" and reported on how many people said their religion was Jewish.
The J-Street survey asked the identical question in their survey of American Jews, yet only 76% of them answered "Jewish." The follow-up question for those who answered negatively: "Even though you do
not consider your religion to be Jewish, do you consider yourself Jewish?" and the answer was 100% "yes."
Fox News asked about religion; J-Street asked about what they call themselves.
A similar thing happened in 2020: J-Street found 77%-21% for Biden; news organization exit polls found 68%-30% among Jews. But their definitions of who is Jewish are vastly different.
Notice that J-Street didn't point out that even according to their own methodology, the gap between Jews voting Democrat and Republican this year narrowed by 11 percentage points.
The 26% of self-described Jews who do not consider their religion to be Judaism is an accurate number, according to Pew. But it shows how polls can be skewed by changing the definition of what a Jew is. And it has a huge impact on the answers to other questions as well.
For example, J-Street asked "Thinking about negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians to resolve their conflict, do you think the U.S. should act as a fair and even-handed broker between Israelis and Palestinians or do you think the U.S. should side with Israel?" They found 51% do not want the US to side with Israel. If you take away the 26% who do not consider their religion to be Jewish, the numbers would flip in the other direction.
Other polls have consistently found that the stronger the Jews identify with Judaism, the stronger they support Israel. Orthodox Jews overwhelmingly showed support for Trump while exit polls show that atheists were strongly pro-Harris.
The atheists are J-Street's target Jewish audience - people who are Jews in name only.
That is not the only problem with the J-Street survey. Like their previous ones, use loaded questions as well to get the responses they want. Any question that begins with "As you may know..." subtly instructs the person being surveyed with information that is highly selective and possibly wrong. Here's one:
When, in the past several years, have there been any negotiations on that level of detail? The last time Israel and Palestinians negotiated even indirectly together for a final peace agreement was over ten years ago, when the Palestinians rejected the US framework for a potential deal. The question does not mention that the negotiations "fell short" because Palestinians rejected even a John Kerry plan that went beyond what Israel offered. Wouldn't that affect the answers?
As always with J-Street, it offers highly selective "facts" to prompt an answer that they want.
Imagine if a question was prefaced this way:
As you may know, for over 80 years Palestinians have rejected every attempt to support a peaceful two state solution between themselves and a Jewish state, no matter what borders and terms were offered. Bill Clinton and John Kerry's plans for peace were rejected. Meanwhile, surveys show that Palestinians consistently and overwhelmingly support terror attacks against Jews in Israel and the Palestinians even even pay the terrorists salaries. Should Israel be pressured to give more concessions to them in order to create a Palestinian state that could very easily turn into an Iranian proxy like Lebanon and Yemen?
This all brings up a much bigger problem - news organizations blindly report polling data, even from the sketchiest sources, as if they are science. The many ways they can be manipulated are not considered. (I found an egregious example, where an anti-Israel organization that innocuously calls itself "Listen to Wisconsin" made it sound like voters in swing states consider support for Gaza to be a huge issue, when in fact their survey only included people who are already strongly anti-Israel.)
Commissioning polls is an easy way to issue press releases and get in a news cycle. Partisan organizations can manipulate even polls done by solid survey organizations by how they word the questions, how they choose the people being polled and even the order of the questions.
The bottom line is, don't trust a news report of a poll by an organization that has reason to manipulate it.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)