Where are the analysts who predict less terror after withdrawal?

Is there any analyst who has made a serious assessment and determined that Israel's unilateral withdrawal from Gaza will make things any more peaceful?

This is only the latest pessimistic analysis I have seen. But I have read many of them, from people who seem to have stellar credentials in political or military matters. However, I have yet to read any article giving a realistic scenario of Palestinians not increasing their attacks on Jews in the wake of the Gaza withdrawal. Sometimes I'll see a throwaway comment like "Peace negotiations will be kickstarted by the disengagement" but I cannot recall one time that there was any evidence behind it.

If anyone has such an article, please let me know.