Niall Ferguson and Yoav Gallant: Israel Has Done Most of the Job. Only Trump Can Finish It.
One of us devoted considerable time and effort to considering ways that Israel could achieve the same result with the F-15Es it possesses and the 2,000- and 5,000-pound bombs they can carry, or with a World War II–style commando raid behind enemy lines. Neither option is realistic. Only America can do this. Only President Trump can order it.Douglas Murray: Douglas Murray: President Trump can end the nuclear threat from Iran with one call
Primo Levi’s novel If Not Now, When? is about a group of Jewish resistance fighters who desperately defy the might of the Wehrmacht on the Eastern Front in World War II. The Holocaust has been much on the minds of Israelis since October 7, 2023, an Iran-sponsored atrocity that was consciously intended as a trailer for a second Shoah. But the question “If not now, when?” is also an ancient Jewish one, posed by Hillel the Elder more than two millennia ago. It is the question we would now ask President Trump. And we would add another question: If B-2s and MOPs were not designed for precisely this purpose, then what use are they?
A nuclear-armed Iran would pose more than a threat to the Israeli people and their state. Its missiles could reach Gulf capitals and Europe. Those missiles could allow Iran to sponsor terror and wage conventional war with impunity. The result would be a nuclear arms race in the Gulf. By destroying Fordow, President Trump would create a new equilibrium in the Middle East and reestablish American leadership. The strike would focus solely on eliminating Iran’s nuclear arms program, but it should be accompanied by a clear message: If Iran attempts to target the United States or its Gulf allies, it will risk the elimination of its regime.
There is an economic consideration, too. The longer the current conflict continues, the greater the risk to energy markets and global economic stability. Running out of missiles and launchers, its military command structure disabled by assassinations, Iran must now be contemplating desperate measures such as attacks on its Arab neighbors or mining the Strait of Hormuz, in the hope that these might deter U.S. intervention. Decisive action now can prevent an oil-price shock.
Israel has moved and continues to move with determination and dispatch. The support of allies, first and foremost the United States, has been crucial. Now, with a single exertion of its unmatched military strength, the United States can shorten the war, prevent wider escalation, and end the principal threat to Middle Eastern stability. It can also send a signal to those other authoritarian powers who have been Iran’s enablers that American deterrence is back.
This is a rare moment when strategic alignment and operational momentum converge. It must not be missed.
A number of the most crucial nuclear sites in Iran, like the facility at Fordow, can only be destroyed by a bunker-buster bomb that only the US has.John Spencer: Why dismantling Iranian threat won't create another Libya or Iraq
Successive US administrations have refused to sell this weapon to the Israelis.
Now, almost a week into the war, Israel has been unable to stop Iran’s nuclear program entirely.
If the Israelis destroy only 70%, or 80% or even 90% of the Iranian nuclear project, then there is still the possibility that Iran can restart its nuclear race.
Meaning that the world will always have this gun to its head.
For many years, President Trump has made it plain that he will never allow this.
But the mullahs may be happy to wait until some other Sleepy Joe-like figure is in the White House.
Trump knows he cannot let that happen.
But this is the one chance in our lifetimes to once and for all stop the world’s worst regime getting their hands on the world’s worst weapon.
As a poll published in yesterday’s Post showed, President Trump’s MAGA base is keen for him to follow through on his promise.
A whopping 65% of MAGA Republicans support US strikes to finish off Iran’s nuclear project.
Just 19% oppose it.
Which shows that the president’s noisy online critics are just as kooky and irrelevant as he senses them to be.
Who’s in control?
“But what will happen next,” some of his critics say.
There is an easy answer to that.
President Trump’s campaign promise is that he will never allow Iran to have nukes.
In the coming hours and days he has the opportunity to make good on that promise.
But what about “regime change?”
In truth those words do not need to be anywhere near his lips or his agenda.
If the Iranian people want to rise up and overthrow the death-cult regime that has held their country in terror for 46 years, then they should.
Many of us will wish them well.
But that is their affair.
The president’s only need is to make good on his promise to the American electorate.
If he does that, then he will send a sharp but necessary message to a regime that has too long threatened his own life, the life of Israel and indeed the world.
The Iraq comparison is just as flawed. Iraq was a full-scale invasion. It was based on faulty intelligence and executed with no coherent postwar plan. It involved hundreds of thousands of American troops, a toppling of the entire government structure, and years of bloody counterinsurgency and sectarian violence. That war left deep scars on US foreign policy and strategic credibility.I’m Iranian – Israel’s attacks give me hope
What is happening now with Iran looks nothing like Iraq. There are no American boots on the ground. There is no occupation. There is no attempt to transform Iran into a Western-style democracy. This is a limited military campaign targeting a specific threat: the infrastructure, personnel, and technology behind Iran’s illegal nuclear weapons effort.
Israel dealt irreparable damage to Iran's nuclear, military targets
Israel has already delivered devastating blows to Iran’s nuclear program. Enrichment facilities at Natanz and Isfahan have been struck. The heavy water plutonium reactor at Arak has been rendered unusable. Multiple weaponization labs have been destroyed.
According to reports, 14 of the 15 nuclear scientists on Israel’s high-value target list have been eliminated. That is not symbolic. That is a strategic victory. The only parallel would be eliminating Oppenheimer and every member of the Manhattan Project before they ever arrived at the Los Alamos Laboratory.
President Trump is not rushing in because there is no need to. Israel is achieving the mission step by step. Trump is using the time to mitigate risks, prepare for contingencies, and hold the cards. American assets are moving into the region not to invade, but to finish the job if needed, or to deter escalation.
The choice now lies with the regime in Tehran. As Trump might say, we have the cards, Israel has the cards, and Iran can take the diplomatic offramps offered by the United States and Europe, or it can continue on a path that ends with its program being destroyed.
This is not the beginning of a new war. This is the long-overdue end of a decades-long campaign by Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon, destabilize the region, and threaten the world. It is a campaign being carried out with intelligence, airpower, cyber capabilities, and precision. There is no appetite for occupation. There is no plan for regime change. There is only a clear, achievable military objective rooted in international law and shared security interests.
If the Iranian regime collapses under the weight of military defeat, economic pressure, and domestic unrest, that will be the result of its own failures. But that is not the goal. The goal is to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear weapons state. Nothing more, and nothing less.
This is not Libya. This is not Iraq. This is strategic clarity in action. And it is working.
While Israel has taken concrete action, the US under Trump is acting timidly and still calling the Mullahs to the negotiating table. Trump has shown again and again that he will only pick a fight with defenseless immigrants and the most vulnerable, as only a cowardly bully would. However, maybe for once, Trump can choose to pick a fight with a real enemy.
There are some indications that Israel may be considering a policy of regime change in Iran. I would argue that regime change is the only policy that would make this war worthwhile. We have seen what half a century of Mullahs’ rule has done to Iran and the region, we don’t have to hazard a guess as to what another half a century would do. If the Mullahs survive these attacks, their victory will only serve to embolden them and make them feel invincible. Terrorism will continue to be the hallmark of the region unless the Iranian regime is dismantled and elections free of terrorist candidates are held.
In the Middle East, we all have our fights with religious fanatics as they are a persistent fixture of our histories, but I genuinely hope that we will overcome Iran’s murderous fanatics with the help of Israel’s targeted operations in Iran and an unequivocal support for regime change.
So, to anyone who cares to ask this Iranian, I say that I’m hopeful. I hope that both Israel and the US see the benefit of regime change in Iran and do not let the Islamic Republic linger for another 50 years. Appeasement with terrorism begets terrorism. It’s time to have peace.
