Thursday, February 24, 2022
- Thursday, February 24, 2022
- Elder of Ziyon
- RealJerusalemStreets
- Thursday, February 24, 2022
- Elder of Ziyon
As usually happens with the outbreak of a war or crisis, the Israeli government exploited the tension between Ukraine and Russia to bring in the Jews of Ukraine, where the Jewish community numbered nearly 200,000.This intersects with what was reported by the Israel Hayom newspaper today that various government ministries, the Israeli army, the Jewish Agency and other government bodies are preparing to absorb a “wave of Jewish immigration from Ukraine” and have developed a detailed “contingency plan” due to the outbreak of war there.
- Thursday, February 24, 2022
- Elder of Ziyon
Wednesday, February 23, 2022
Daniel Gordis: "Surplus Jews" no longer
Eighty years ago this week, on February 24, 1942, nineteen-year-old David Stoliar was alive, alone, floating on a piece of wood in the middle of the Black Sea, surrounded by corpses, yelling all night into the dark so that he would not fall asleep and freeze to death.Israeli NGO urges extradition of terrorist who planned 2001 Sbarro bombing
He was in the Black Sea, surrounded by death, because he was a “surplus Jew,” as the British put it unabashedly. We’ll come back to David Stoliar.
Last week, the Israeli government was cooperating with relief groups to prepare for the possible evacuation to Israel of some of the 100,000 Jews in Ukraine, should the anticipated war make that necessary. Officials apparently do not expect to need a massive airlift, but they’re preparing for all eventualities, some said. Twenty-one years ago, as many of us vividly recall, Israel airlifted 14,000 Ethiopian Jews to Israel on massive El Al jumbo jets. It was for the same reason. Ethiopian Jews, as far as Israel was concerned, were not “surplus.” Neither are the Ukrainian Jews.
And sure enough, this morning’s Israeli press announced that they had begun arriving. Dozens of olim from Ukraine arrived in Israel on Sunday as the threat of war grew ever ominous. According to the Ministry of Aliyah and Immigrant Absorption, 75 immigrants arrived on an initial flight and another 22 were expected the same day. Said Immigrant Absorption Minister Pnina Tamano-Shata, “Our message to the Jews of Ukraine is very clear — Israel will always be their home; our gates are open to them during normal times as well as in emergencies.”
Israel’s most important function is not serving as a refuge for Jews who need it. Nine-million people do not go about their business of living here and building this country so that one day, if Jews need a place to go, we’ll be here. Still, though, refuge is part of why Israel is around; the fact that there is a Jewish state means that there are no longer “surplus Jews.”
A leading Israeli lawfare organization called on the American envoy to Israel to push for the extradition of a Jordan-based terrorist who planned a deadly suicide bombing in Jerusalem in the early 2000s, during the Second Intifada.Weaponizing Turkish teenage girls: What the Sbarro bomber did next
Shurat HaDin – Israel Law Center, which represents some of the victims of 2001 the Sbarro attack has called on Ambassador Thomas Nides to push the request to extradite Ahlam Tamimi from Jordan to the United States.
The Sbarro massacre took place on Aug. 9, 2001, when a suicide bomber targeted a popular pizzeria in downtown Jerusalem, killing 15 Israelis, including 7 children and a pregnant woman, and leaving 140 wounded.
The bomber was identified as Izz al-Din Shuheil al-Masri. The terrorist who made the suicide vest was later identified as Abdallah Barghouti, who in 2004 was convicted of aiding and abetting dozens of terrorist attacks and sentenced to 67 life sentences.
The investigation further revealed that al-Masri was escorted to the restaurant by Tamimi, then a 20-year-old university student, who had disguised herself as a Jewish tourist for the occasion.
Later in 2001, Tamimi, a Jordanian national, was convicted by an Israeli military court of planning the attack and was sentenced to 16 life sentences plus 15 years. She was released in 2011 as part of the Gilad Schalit prisoner exchange with Hamas and was expelled to Jordan
Soon after her return, she became a media personality. She often praises the attack she orchestrated on various platforms and has a sharp anti-Israel line in her work.
American legislators have in the past demanded that Tamimi be extradited to the US, citing the role she played in the murder of American citizens in the attack. The demand was dismissed by various US administrations who expressed concern that pursuing her extradition would destabilize King Abdullah's regime.
Shurat HaDin has rejected the American position. Organization President Nitsana Darshan-Leitner appealed to Nides, writing, "The American administration has long since announced filing indictments against Tamimi, and has made an official commitment to the [victims'] families that it would demand Tamimi's extradition so she could face trial."
In the intervening years, Tamimi has appeared multiple times on Aljazeera's multiple media, on BBC Arabic, on lesser known Arabic news channels, on Jordan's commercial RoyaTV channel and on numerous additional platforms where she has been interviewed, showcased and glorified as an icon.
Her op-eds have appeared in the pages of multiple Arabic newspapers and news websites as well as on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and less-known Arabic-only social media sites. Arabic-language criticism of anything she has said, written or done is published nowhere.
Our occasional interactions with US government officials have been frustrating, sporadic, largely unproductive from our point of view and hard to arrange. Our experience with the US Embassy in Israel throughout the Trump years exemplifies the approach: as bereaved parents of a murdered US national expecting to be guided and assisted, we are mostly ignored. Not in a polite way and certainly not because we are rude. Persistent and raising an irksome issue, certainly. But never rude and not hostile.
Among the crumbs of information that we have gotten in these sometimes deplorable interactions is that the US government believes Jordan - because Jordan says so - has Tamimi under control. She's not inciting any more, we're assured. Her toxic influence has been neutralized. The problems are behind us.
From what we see, such claims are untrue.
In October 2021, Tamimi spoke in Arabic via video conference to an Islamist event in Istanbul, Turkey, held under the banner of الملتقى العلمي الدولي للشباب [“Gathering4youth”]. We spotted a video clip of the seminar that was uploaded to YouTube and promptly passed it along, with selected Arabic-to-English text translation, to senior US officials. If they are doing something with it, they're not telling us.
We asked a professional translator to review Tamimi's presentation. Here's the part we think captures the essence of her message:
...Allah let me have a membership in the ‘Izz ad-Deen al-Qassam battalions and [allowed me to] participate in two jihad operations that produced, by the Lord’s virtue, the deaths of fifteen zionists with 122 zionists wounded in two Jihad operations. We ask Allah to accept this.
These two jihad operations are a crown on my head. By Allah’s virtue, I entered history by doing the finest of deeds, the finest operations, in the finest of ways, which are the ways of jihad.
Praise Allah, He has prescribed me this fate. And when I met the "suicide bomber" [the Arabic expression translates literally into "the martyrdom-seeker"] ‘Izz ad-Deen al-Masri, this was not a matter of such ease to stand next to a bomber. There are many lessons I learned. Many lessons which ‘Izz ad-Deen al-Masri taught me without talking, [just by] being a road companion from Ramallah to Jerusalem, to the center of the [Jerusalem commercial] center where the Zionist entity is found, at the Jaffa and King George Avenue [corner]. This drive which lasted about an hour, from Ramallah to Jerusalem, or 90 minutes, [during] much of it I was learning from suicide bombers.
What does it mean to be a suicide bomber? It means that your spirit, your senses, your feelings, all of you, are pending against the Lord. Which is a difficult matter for us in this life to work out. But Hamas’s suicide bomber unit was able to spiritually train these suicide bombers.
What does it mean to sit for years [with] your sole mission to prepare your soul with effort, to train your soul? How do I become a spiritual character, how do I make my soul pending against Allah? And uproot all other attachments to this world. Only then shall I be worthy of the suicide bombers unit, and put my spirit forward in Allah’s path.
This is what ‘Izz ad-Deen al-Masri taught me.
However until now I have not reached even half a degree of the character of ‘Izz ad-Deen al-Masri and all suicide bombers who decided to put their souls forward in Allah’s path.”
It's hard to predict how much lethal damage is done when an eager and evidently impressionable audience of Islamist girls and young women, some of them about the age Tamimi was when she had her great moment at Sbarro, or younger, are exposed to a charismatic celebrity-jihad preacher with copious amounts of blood on her hands.
The potential is horrific. Why has this not made headlines?
- Wednesday, February 23, 2022
- Varda Meyers Epstein (Judean Rose)
- interview, Judean Rose, Terrorism, Varda
Avraham David Moses was murdered on the eve of what is
considered to be the happiest month in the Jewish calendar, Rosh Chodesh Adar. In the secular
calendar, it was March 6, 2008, and Rivkah Moriah and her former husband David
were preparing for a class to be given that evening by Rav Aharon Lichtenstein in celebration of the 40th anniversary of Yeshivat Har Etzion. As the couple
gathered source materials for the lecture, Rivkah received the first text
message: “Attack in Mercaz HaRav, three moderately injured.”
We are used to these moments, here in Israel. Most of the
time, our loved ones were nowhere near the scene of the attack, had left there
hours before, or had just left and were only a block away and could hear the
explosion and see the smoke. So we have learned not to get too excited when we
hear of an attack on the news. We have learned to stay calm, to phone loved
ones, and touch base.
That’s what happens most of the time. But that was not what happened to Rivkah Moriah and her son Avraham David. There was an attack,
she tried to reach both Avraham David and his study partner, and all of her calls went
unanswered.
Her calls went unanswered because her 16-year-old son and
firstborn was murdered while studying Torah in a seminary study hall. Along
with his study partner, Segev.
***
When I heard, I thought about running into Rivkah at the grocery store, just three years earlier. Her cart had been filled with ingredients to make lasagna for a crowd. She was preparing for
Avraham David’s bar mitzvah. You could see how happy she was, it was in her
eyes. He was her firstborn.
Rivkah and a very young Avraham David, her firstborn |
And now, three years later, Rivkah was preparing to see her son buried,
a good boy, a studious boy. A boy who was murdered while learning Torah.
How could a mother bear it? The short answer is no one
could.
It is now 14 years since Rivkah Moriah became an “angel
mom.” That’s a long time, almost as long as her Avraham David’s short life. And still,
from my lucky distance, I can see the lasting impact, the sadness and the pain.
Blood-stained holy book at the scene of the Mercaz HaRav Massacre |
Since it is Adar I have been thinking about this. I always
think about Rivkah Moriah and her son Avraham David Moses in Adar. Adar is the
happiest month of the Jewish year. It's the month of Purim, the month I got married, but it is also
the month Avraham David Moses was murdered and his mother’s life
changed forever.
I don’t want to forget that. I don’t think any of us should.
We need to remember a boy who was murdered because he was a Jew, and the
suffering of the family he left behind.
Avraham David with his little brothers, Noam and Chai. |
No special wisdom is necessary to notice that parents don’t simply “bounce back” after their children are murdered by terrorists, lo aleinu[1]. That much we can see with our eyes. We wish we could help them, but there is not all that much we can do. They are in it, and we are not.
And still, there are two things we can do:
1.
We can listen when grieving parents have
something to say, and respect the enormity of their experience.
2.
We can offer them opportunities to speak about
their children and say their names, so we’ll remember them, too.
It was with these two thoughts in mind that I asked Rivkah if she would consent to an interview to explore her feelings and to talk about her son, Avraham David, HY”D.[2]
She gracefully agreed.
Varda Epstein: Can you describe for those unfamiliar with the Mercaz HaRav Massacre what happened that day?
Rivkah Moriah, today. |
Rivkah Moriah: Avraham
David was in tenth grade at the Yeshiva laTzeirim (Yashlatz), the yeshiva
high school that is adjacent to and shares a campus with Yeshivat Mercaz HaRav.
It was Thursday night and the first night of Rosh Chodesh Adar[3]
and seder erev[4]
had been early, so that the boys could set up the beit midrash[5]
for singing and dancing to celebrate. Yashlatz celebrates every Rosh Chodesh, but the celebration of Rosh Chodesh Adar was known to be
particularly festive. Groups of boys from other high schools were gathering to
come join them.
While some boys were setting up the beit midrash, and others were involved with organizing
refreshments, some of the most studious boys went over to the library at Mercaz
HaRav to continue their learning.
It was a very warm evening, the first warm evening of the
spring, and there were also groups of people in the yeshiva courtyard, enjoying
the weather and unwinding after a long week in the study hall.
The attacker was seen carrying a large box into the courtyard from outside the compound. This box contained a Kalashnikov, approximately 900 rounds of ammunition, and two pistols. He opened fire in the courtyard, then entered the stairwell, where he shot a young man on his way to study. The attacker then went back out to the courtyard and entered the library, where he methodically shot those who were trapped and unable to escape.
The attacker was neutralized by an adult yeshiva student,
Yitzchak Dadon, and an officer from the IDF who was at home on leave in the
neighborhood, David Shapiro. It was all over in fifteen minutes, but not before
eight boys and young men were murdered, several more were critically injured,
and more were moderately injured while escaping. And those are just the
physical injuries.
Five of those killed were high school students. The names of
those who were killed are:
Neria Cohen 15
Segev Peniel Avichail 15
Yonatan Eldar 16
Avraham David Moses 16
Yochai Lifshitz 18
Yonadav Hirshfeld 18
Ro’ee Aharon Rot 18
Doron Maharate 26
Varda Epstein: What
was it like in the early days, after the shiva
was over? What was it like waking up in the morning and just getting
through the days? How long was it before you found a way forward?
Rivkah Moriah: There was heavy shock. I only understood how
much afterwards. It’s like when you’re traveling in heavy fog, and you can see
what's right in front of you, but nothing else. I didn’t even see how much I
couldn’t see. I was lucky to have a friend who used the phrase Person Bearing
Great Sadness, and she helped me understand that what I most needed help with
was getting the children out in the mornings. She came by every single morning
till the end of the school year and then for another school year. At first she
brought the sandwiches, and then she helped while I got the kids ready and made
sandwiches.
At first, if each of my kids got to their educational
framework for any part of a day, it was a good day. There were sandwiches for
school, and a lot of cereal for supper. For a year, what I could manage for
supper was what my friends brought or cereal. My success was that, during that
time, we never ran out of cereal or milk. After a while, I’m not sure when, I
started cooking pasta or ready-formed hamburger patties.
September 2010 – two and a half years later – I started
opening envelopes again. The bills and everything else that was urgent had been
taken care of by David, and a lot of other things just got put in a pile that
was 2 1/2 years deep. Because mail is dated, it was the clear and obvious
measure of when I came out of the fog.
Varda Epstein: What
about the family? How did the terror attack—the sudden, violent murder of your
son—affect his siblings?
The death of a sibling is highly traumatic. Not only did my
kids and step kids lose a brother, but their own vulnerability was also
heightened. I like to say that, when an individual family member has a crisis,
ideally the rest of the family would come together to support them. When there
is a family crisis, every single one of the family members’ functioning is
compromised. Some of what was hard for my kids was that Mom was having such a
hard time.
Varda Epstein: What
are the lingering effects of a terror attack and brutal loss of a son and
sibling? Do any of you suffer PTSD? Is there something that helps to mitigate
the symptoms?
Rivkah Moriah: A shattering loss like this has pervasive
influence. While PTSD has a formal definition that requires an official
diagnosis, I can definitely say that there was trauma, and there is
post-traumatic stress. There is also something called Traumatic Bereavement.
I have been lucky to have found a gifted therapist at the One Family Foundation. My children’s
trauma has also been mitigated by the wonderful children’s programs and summer
camps of the One Family Foundation and the Koby Mandell Foundation.
While, after fourteen years, there are many ways that we
have adjusted to losing Avraham David, it is still, in some ways, an unfolding
story.
I appreciate that the discussion of trauma is becoming
acceptable in Israeli society. While some people are graced with post-traumatic
growth, this is certainly not a given.
A trauma like surviving a school shooting can be
unintentionally dwarfed by death or the grief of first-degree relatives. This
concerns me. The students who were there and lived through it, and even those
who weren't on campus but whose school was breeched and whose friends were
murdered participated in comforting the families at the shiva and have continued to have done so at memorials over the
years. They no doubt had and still have their own issues to deal with.
I hope that the shift towards increasing resources for those
who have experienced trauma continues. It would be appropriate if we develop a
better understanding of the grief and trauma of people in this position, so
that they can be better supported, and not just be in a position where they are
expected to give support.
Varda Epstein: Why do
you think Avraham David was murdered while he was learning Torah? What is the
significance of that for his legacy? What does it feel like to be the mother of
a son who died Al Kidush Hashem[6]?
Rivkah Moriah: We may not realize it, but we need people who die Al Kiddush Hashem to strengthen our faith, for our faith is a kind of security. As he died his martyr’s death, Rabbi Akiva
lengthened the recitation of G-d's unity in the Shema[7].
Rebbe Tarfon spoke of letters he saw flying in the air.
Many stories have been told about Avraham David and the
other seven boys and young men who were killed in the massacre, and I think
it’s right to honor their memories and grow in our faith with the retelling.
According to tradition, it is considered a privilege to die Al Kiddush Hashem. I think there are
very profound and holy reasons for this idea, and it has really helped me.
Nevertheless, as Avraham David’s mother, and because of who
I am, I also think of the rakes that tore Rabbi Akiva’s flesh, the fire and
smoke that engulfed Rebbe Tarfon, and the fear and pain with which Avraham
David died.
Blood-stained prayer shawls at the scene of the Mercaz HaRav Massacre |
Varda Epstein: How
have you tried to keep the memory of Avraham David alive for your family and
for the world? Are you in touch with his fellow students or teachers? How does
the yeshiva memorialize the attack?
Rivkah Moriah: Avraham David is very much part of our world.
The nature of his presence and memory has changed over the years. For a while,
I had to protect some of the younger kids from hearing about it too much.
There are kids in the family who don’t have memories of
Avraham David. This needs to be navigated in a way that honors what has been
hard and painful in their lives and helps them know the story that is their own story, without overwriting it with one’s
own story.
Yashlatz has memorials that are suited to their students,
which are very comforting to me having lost someone of high school age.
Mercaz has memorials that are appropriate to their own students.
With very few exceptions, Rav Yerachmiel Weiss, the Rosh Yeshiva[8]
of Yashlatz at the time of the attack, has called every single erev shabbat and chag[9]
for fourteen years. There are a few classmates who have maintained a close
friendship with us, and many who participate in memorials.
Grave of Avraham David Moses, HY"D. Murdered at age 16. |
Varda Epstein: Talk
to us about the contradiction of murder on the eve of the happiest month of the
year, Adar. How do you handle that?
Do you work on finding joy at that time, or is that just too difficult? How
does the yeshiva handle a memorial like that on Rosh Chodesh Adar in a way that also honors the significance of
that month, and the emotions we are intended to feel?
Rivkah Moriah: I’m letting this one simmer for me. I grapple
with this every year, and I grapple with it in a more general way in an ongoing
way. I’m beginning to accept that maybe the injunction is different for me.
A person who mustn’t eat gluten is exempt from the specific mitzva[10]
of lechem mishneh[11]
on Shabbat. Rosh Chodesh Adar is the very saddest day of the year for me, so
there is a bit of a disjunct for me at this season. I am lucky to daven[12]
in a minyan[13]
that does not to sing Mishemishe[14]
… when bentching Adar[15],
purely for my sake. This kindness, and the kindness of others at this season,
is my nechamah[16],
which is akin to simchah[17].
Varda Epstein: What
do you think Avraham David would be doing today, had he lived to fulfill his
potential?
Avraham David Moses, HY"D |
Rivkah Moriah: If he had continued on the path he had begun,
he would have become a scholar. I have been told that his depth and breadth of
scholarship was extraordinary for a teenager. This was one of the great losses
to the Nation[18].
Avraham David wanted to marry young, and he had put great effort into refining
his character. I would have loved to have seen him as a husband and as a
father.
Varda Epstein: What can
we, the Jewish people, learn from Avraham David Moses, HY”D? What can we learn
from what happened to him?
Rivkah Moriah: Avraham David was very intensely Avraham David. While we can perhaps be inspired by him to pray or learn or perform mitzvot[19] with more intention, I think he can best inspire us to be more authentically who we ourselves are.
While I think many things could be learned from Avraham David’s death, and how he died, something I have learned is so subtle yet profound that I have to keep learning it over and over. This piece opens with why you want to write it. About the enormity of my loss. About opportunities to say Avraham David’s name. And that in a very real way, it is also your loss.
It is in this meeting-place, much more than a specific thing one could say, that nechama takes place.
Note to the reader: This was a difficult interview to conduct. I found myself afraid to ask the questions I wanted to ask. Afraid to pry. Afraid to cause further pain and hurt.
Perhaps it's because I know Rivkah personally, or perhaps because this time, the someone who lost someone is a mother, and the son she lost, died al Kiddush Hashem. For whatever reason, throughout the process of creating this interview, I felt like I was stepping into some kind of sacred realm and I wasn't sure I had the right to be there.
And it is an unspeakable crime that Avraham David is lost to her until the final redemption.
[1]
Prayerful phrase that roughly means: “May it not happen to us.”
[2]
Abbreviation for “Hashem Yinkom Damo.” When we speak of the dead, we normally
say Olav/Aleha hashalom” May s/he rest in peace. But for martyrs, we say “May
God avenge his blood.”
[3]
beginning of the lunar month of Adar
[4]
evening learning session
[5]
study hall
[6] A
death that sanctifies God’s name, for instance a boy murdered while studying
God’s holy Torah, as is the case with Avraham David.
[7]
The prayer that affirms belief in one God. The prayer is recited three times
daily and also when someone is dying.
[8]
Yeshiva head, a principal who is also a rabbi.
[9]
Erev Shabbat and Chag (Sabbath and holiday eve, in this case, the approach of
these holidays, before they actually begin.)
[10]
Commandment
[11]
We put out two loaves of bread to commemorate the double portion of manna we
received in the dessert on the Sabbath.
[12]
Pray (Yiddish)
[13]
Quorum for prayer, congregation
[14]
Traditional song for month of Adar. The Hebrew lyrics of the song mean: “Who
that ushers in the month of Adar, increases joy.”
[15] Praying
in the month of Adar
[16]
Comfort
[17]
Happiness
[18]
The Jewish people.
[19]
Commandments, plural of mitzvah.
- Wednesday, February 23, 2022
- Elder of Ziyon
- Opinion, Vic Rosenthal
Weekly column by Vic Rosenthal
If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.
Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win.
Sun Tzu, The Art of War
As I write, there are Russian tanks in Donbas. Does that mean that we are on the verge of a new European war, as US President Biden suggests? I doubt it. I believe that Vladimir Putin is a student of Sun Tzu. He knows that Ukrainian leaders know that they can’t stand against Russia without outside help, that most of Europe can’t fight, and the few countries that can – won’t. He knows that he has been storing up foreign currency and working to make Russia more self-sufficient for several years to insulate Russia from the financial weapons that will be deployed against her. Above all he knows that America, divided, exhausted, fragile, neurotic, and led by an old man far out of his depth, does not have the will to act strongly enough to stop him.
I date the beginning of the collapse of the US as a world power to 9/11. American political and cultural elites all bought into the idea that this was not a skirmish in the struggle between Islamic and Christian civilizations that has been ongoing for at least a millennium, but rather a “War on Terror,” where the terrorists had “perverted” Islam. “Islam is peace,” pronounced George W. Bush a week later, when Ground Zero and the Pentagon were still smoldering. To this day, we have not learned to know our enemy.
Shortly thereafter, the US sent troops to Afghanistan after Osama Bin Laden. Unfortunately, they did not send enough men, and depended on local Afghans to do much of the fighting. They also decided to trust their Pakistani “allies” to cover the back door to Tora Bora. As a result, Bin Laden escaped and was not captured until 2011. But American involvement in Afghanistan continued until Biden oversaw the embarrassing rout of remaining Americans in August 2021.
In February 2003, the US demonstrated its military might when it attacked Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, scaring the hell out of the Iranian regime which, because of its secret nuclear program, expected to be next. American troops captured Baghdad less than a month later. But the military victory was squandered by the remarkably ignorant attempt to remake Iraq into a western-style democracy and the suppression of the Sunni minority that had controlled Iraq under Saddam. The war devolved into an insurgency in which the insurgents were supplied and bankrolled by Iran and Syria. Most Americans left Iraq in December 2021, although a small number remain. Meanwhile, Iranian-controlled militias have solidified their control of much of the country.
These wars cost trillions of dollars and numerous lives, and planted a debt bomb in the American economy that is only beginning to explode today. They demonstrated the truth of Sun Tzu’s belief that sheer military superiority is not enough. “There is no instance of a nation benefiting from prolonged warfare,” he said, and the prolongation of these wars – which were begun with inadequately defined or impossible goals (e.g., establishing democracy in Iraq), has greatly weakened the nation, militarily, economically, psychologically, and politically.
But not only has the real strength of the US declined in recent years, its image as a superpower has been shattered by a series of unnecessary errors. Notable was Barack Obama’s failure to follow through on his threat to punish Bashar al-Assad for Syria’s cruel use of chemical weapons on civilians in 2013. Another misadventure was the original Iran deal, signed in 2015, which did not provide for adequate inspection of nuclear sites, did not limit – even weakened previous limits – on ballistic missile development, and which essentially granted Iran the right to develop nuclear weapons ten years after its signing. It was a signal to virtually everyone (except Obama’s sycophants) that America had chosen the path of appeasement. And there is no need to dwell on the message sent by the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Putin has been watching, and learning. And so has the Chinese leadership, which has studied Sun Tzu if anyone has, and if Putin succeeds, will be encouraged even more to move on Taiwan.
Now the Biden Administration is about to sign another deal with the Iranian regime, and if preliminary reports are to be believed, it will be even weaker and more dangerous than the first. The fact that the American collapse in Vienna is happening at the same time that the crisis in Ukraine is developing is likely to make US negotiators, under the pro-Iranian Robert Malley, even more anxious to give the Iranians everything they want and get it over with.
This is another unnecessary loss for America, which may someday even be a target for the weapons it is allowing the Iranian rogue regime to have. Last month, three US negotiators quit because of Malley’s “soft negotiating stance.” It’s hard to understand why US officials have chosen to surrender here. Where is the American interest in increased worldwide terrorism, the expansion of Iran in the Mideast, and the message of weakness sent to US rivals everywhere?
The deal doesn’t make sense. So what is behind it?
In order to answer that question, we need to know who is behind it, because it’s highly doubtful that Biden or Tony Blinken is determining foreign policy in this administration. And here there is only speculation. My informed guess is that there is an influential group including Malley as well as former Obama Administration officials – Barack Obama himself, Ben Rhodes, Susan Rice, and others – that are guiding the administration’s Mideast policy. Their plan grows out of an idea first voiced in the 2006 Iraq Study Report (which was partly authored by Rhodes. See my discussion here).
The original idea was to reduce pressure on US troops in Iraq by buying off Iran and Syria so they would stop supporting the insurgents that were killing US soldiers with Iranian IEDs. The payoff would be the (possibly fatal) weakening of Israel, which would have been forced to give the Golan Heights to Syria, and to withdraw from Judea and Samaria, where a Palestinian state would be established. Obama, who was closely aligned with the Palestinian cause, adopted many of the ideas in the 2006 document, probably via his advisor Rhodes.
I think that this group now views with alarm the possibility of the rise of a new power bloc in the Middle East, composed of Israel, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf states, and others. Such a bloc would be very powerful, much more so than even a nuclear Iran, and resistant to control. I also think they see (correctly) that it would mean the end of the Palestinian dream of “return” – and the end of the Jewish state – to which Obama and Malley are ideologically committed. By strengthening Iran, they hope to drive a wedge between the members of this newly coalescing bloc, and return Israel to its isolated status in the region.
Needless to say, this group is acting against American interests. An Israeli-Sunni bloc would almost certainly align with the US, providing intelligence and support for Western interests in the Mideast. On the other hand, since the 1979 revolution, Iran has viewed the US as the “Great Satan” that is their most important enemy, even more so than Israel, the “Little Satan.” Iran is far from America, but its terrorist subsidiary, Hezbollah has increasingly stronger branches in Latin America, where it partners with drug cartels. Given the porous southern border, the potential for terrorism inside the US is great.
I think we can sum up what’s wrong with this policy with one more aphorism. This one is not by Sun Tzu, but it certainly could have been:
He who fights his friends instead of his enemies is guaranteed to lose.