Friday, July 17, 2026

07/16 Links Pt1: Is Trump Ready to Win Yet?; The PA's Army Threatens Millions of Israelis; Karim Khan’s sex abuse accuser goes public; Vance’s Bridge to Nowhere

From Ian:

JPost Editorial: The warning signs for Israel in Washington can no longer be ignored
Vance, who is seen as a prime contender to be the Republican nominee for president in 2028, also waded into the conspiracy surrounding Jeffrey Epstein, the late convicted sex offender. Epstein “clearly had connections to the highest levels of Israeli intelligence,” he said, reiterating a claim that has been refuted and discredited.

The embrace by such a senior Trump administration official of conspiracy theories about Epstein’s ties to Israeli intelligence, which have proliferated in the years since his death and often have veered into antisemitism, is part and parcel with Vance’s increasing alignment with the far Right base populated by the likes of Tucker Carlson, Nick Fuentes, and Candace Owens.

Taken separately, the vote in the House of Representatives and the Vance interview are worrisome signs that the “special” relationship between Israel and the US is on life support at best. Taken together, they should be an alarming wake-up call that the days of the “kishkes” identification test with Israel – as exemplified diversely by the late Lindsey Graham and former president Joe Biden – are long gone.

Although it’s easy to place the blame elsewhere – and there are a plethora of strong arguments to be made in retort to both Democratic and Republican detractors of Israel – we must also look inward and see what can be done to reverse the tide of sentiment against us.

We can surely criticize the headline-provoking gambit by US Rep. Ro Khanna (D-California) last week, who chose to only hear and see the Palestinian side of life in the West Bank. But we can also acknowledge that vigilante Jewish groups are patrolling the area in a heavy-handed and lawless fashion that creates potentially lethal friction points and does irreparable damage to Israel’s image.

We can criticize Rahm Emmanuel for haughtily coming to Israel and warning us about what needs to be done to repair the US-Israel relationship, while acknowledging that some of his points were spot-on and unfolding before our very eyes in the House vote and Vance interview.

Jerusalem can no longer ignore or downplay the growing trends in the US of having to endorse the “Israel is genocide” trope to become a candidate, or of blaming Israel for getting the US entangled in Iran. The unsettling news this week demonstrates that with stark clarity.
Lee Smith: Is Trump Ready to Win Yet?
Trump is angry the Iranians violated Vance’s MOU to open the strait. But virtually no one believed it had any chance of success, except Vance and the influencers he courted to write articles and social media posts that he could take to his boss to show that the base could be fooled into thinking it wasn’t like Obama’s deal.

And those who said the deal was as bad as Obama’s were excoriated by the brash youths who populate Vance’s comms apparatus. “Cool, Ted,” White House validator Alex Bruesewitz tweeted at MOU skeptic Sen. Ted Cruz. “No one asked you, bro. Stop trying to undermine the President and his administration.” Bruesewitz gave more of the same to another Trump ally, journalist Mark Levin: “Sit back and stop trying to undermine the President and his team.”

Vance saved for himself the privilege of screaming at Israeli officials who doubted the prospects of his deal’s success. “If I was in the Cabinet of the Israeli government,” Vance said last month, “I might not be attacking the only powerful ally that I have anywhere left in the entire world.”

Vance’s name is now attached to a loss because Trump’s return to war is proof that everyone Vance and his communications team hectored was right and Vance was wrong. Accordingly, Vance’s associates are messaging that the vice president never really had that much invested in the MOU’s success. As one ally of the vice president recently told reporters, “All that really mattered was him being seen as attempting to bring the war to an end.”

In the new version, Vance’s talks with the Iranians, the rapport he boasted of building with Iranian Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, were more like diplomacy theater: If the MOU didn’t work out and made the White House look foolish when the Iranians inevitably violated it, that was still pretty good material for JD’s 2028 campaign. At least he proved to isolationists—i.e., pro-Iran think tankers and journalists whispering in Vance’s ear and pro-Russia podcasters whining into their microphones—his opposition to the neocons’ latest war for Israel.

The issue is that whatever version of Vance’s efforts is correct—he believed he could secure a deal or he didn’t have much confidence he could secure a deal—the result is the same. The Trump team spent down prestige by negotiating with a side determined to humiliate it, while it stiff-armed domestic allies on whom it depends for political support. And that support could come in especially handy now as the administration returns to a war that is likely to become increasingly unpopular as long as the president fails to devise a strategy to win it.

Perhaps even more consequentially, the vice president, ever keen to highlight how U.S. interests diverge from Israel’s, beat up on a partner it is likely to need if it decides to win the war. Otherwise, the administration is likely on course for another long conflict in the Middle East, what Trump refers to as a “forever war.”

A journalist asked Vance in the press briefing last week if that wasn’t essentially the condition the administration had created with its phony cease-fires, fruitless negotiations, and tit-for-tat exchanges of fire. “So far the Iranians are not showing any signs of wanting to give what you want them to give,” said the journalist. “The plan right now is basically when they misbehave to keep bombing.” Vance disagreed. “It’s not a forever war if the Iranians violate the terms of the agreement and shoot commercial shipping, and we respond to it,” said the vice president, seemingly without understanding he was just rephrasing the question.

But that’s precisely the stuff America’s forever wars have been made of: the continuation of hostilities without defining victory and making decisive moves to obtain it. The reason America doesn’t win wars is not that it wants to turn tribal confederations into liberal democracies or teach surrealism to veiled schoolgirls or sow corruption abroad and reap the profits. Those are all effects of the fundamental problem, which is deciding, for whatever reasons, not to win.

For Trump, the choices are stark: either preside over another American war without resolve and go down in history as the American president who forfeited America’s postwar birthright and lost the strait, or decide to win.
Khaled Abu Toameh: The Iran-Backed 'Decisive Campaign' To Destroy Israel and the West
The documents, recovered by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) in the Gaza Strip and published by the Amit Terrorism and Intelligence Research Institute, reveal that Hamas had meticulously planned the October 7 massacre more than a year before it was carried out. They also expose Sinwar's unwavering commitment to Hamas's founding objective: the destruction of Israel through mass murder and conquest.

The operational planning was astonishingly detailed. Sinwar envisioned breaching the border simultaneously at 25 locations using approximately 2,500 terrorists in the opening assault.

Sinwar estimated that approximately 10,000 "well-trained fighters" would eventually be required to carry out the operation successfully. Each Israeli community was assigned specific assault teams. Military bases were designated for destruction. Strategic road junctions were mapped and allocated to specialized units. Every aspect of the operation had been carefully calculated.

These were not defensive plans. They were invasion plans.

Perhaps the most disturbing revelation concerns Sinwar's own understanding of the consequences of his actions. He fully anticipated that Israel would respond with overwhelming force. "The enemy will not hesitate to use all the means and weapons at its disposal," he wrote. "It may even use a nuclear bomb."

Despite this extraordinary assessment, Sinwar concluded that the invasion should proceed because "this campaign is a battle of life or death."

He deliberately chose to launch the attack because advancing Hamas's ideological objective – the destruction of Israel – was more important to him than the lives of the Palestinians under his rule.

This is perhaps the clearest evidence yet that Hamas has never been a national liberation movement primarily concerned with improving the lives of Palestinians. Rather, it is an Islamist terrorist organization prepared to sacrifice its own people in the pursuit of its ideological war against Israel.

The lesson from these documents is that Hamas remains committed to the same objectives that guided its founders nearly four decades ago: eliminating Israel through violence and replacing it with an Islamist state.

Hamas is but one component of a broader Iranian strategy aimed at undermining American influence and destabilizing pro-Western Arab governments throughout the region, apparently to drive US forces out of the region, thereby leaving the run of the Middle East, unimpeded, to the ruthless Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps now ruling Iran.

The October 7 massacre was not an aberration. It was the realization of a strategy, reportedly conceived seven years in advance. Preventing another October 7 requires more than temporary ceasefires or diplomatic initiatives. It requires ensuring that Hamas can never again function as either a military force or a political authority.

Anything less invites more catastrophes, as we have seen for 47 years, from Iran's attacks on Israel, Arab neighbors, brutalized citizens, the United States, and the West.


UNICEF-Funded Gaza School Held Anti-Israel Contest That Asked Children To Draw ‘Suffering’ Palestinians in ‘The Occupation’s Prisons’: Then the US Gave UNICEF $200 Million
A Gazan religious school funded by U.N. Children's Fund (UNICEF) held a contest for children to illustrate "the suffering of our brave prisoners inside the occupation’s prisons," just a month before the State Department awarded the embattled U.N. charity more than $200 million. This latest example of UNICEF’s ties to anti-Israel extremists could fuel fresh concerns about American investment in the troubled U.N. charity.

Al Itqan Educational School in Gaza, a religious school for children which boasted as recently as February about receiving "generous funding" from UNICEF, announced in late April that it was organizing a "drawing competition" around "the prisoners' issue," a reference to Palestinian militants in Israeli detention for terrorism and related crimes. Just several weeks later, the school hosted Musbah Abd Rabbuh, director of the Waeed Association for Prisoners and Released Prisoners, which had been designated just months earlier as a covert Hamas support network by the Trump administration. Previously public photos posted on Al Itqan’s Facebook page show Rabbuh speaking in a visibly marked UNICEF structure with several children’s drawings hanging on the wall. The post became inaccessible on Wednesday afternoon, after the Washington Free Beacon sent an inquiry to UNICEF that went unanswered.

"We will be collecting drawings related to the prisoners’ issue" on May 3, the school announced in an Arabic-language Facebook posting that was independently translated for the Free Beacon by the Middle East Media Research Institute, an organization that monitors extremist rhetoric. "The best drawing that expresses the suffering of our brave prisoners inside the occupation’s prisons."

"Don’t forget the issue of our prisoners," the flyer added. "It is our issue too."

Israel’s enemies have sought in recent months to criticize Israel’s treatment of Palestinian detainees as a way to discredit the war effort. Anti-Israel nonprofits such as the Committee to Protect Journalists have worked with news organizations like the New York Times to disseminate outlandish allegations.

The school’s May competition, which awarded the winner "a prize by the school administration," was held just over a month before the State Department announced a fresh injection of "more than $218 million in assistance to UNICEF" as part of a $1 billion "humanitarian and disaster response" funding package, fueling questions from watchdog groups about how America’s latest investment in the U.N. organization will be spent.
The International Criminal Court’s savior complex unravels
In an extraordinary statement issued on June 9, the Presidency of the International Criminal Court—representing the court’s three senior judges—baldly asserted that the court “is one of the most significant achievements of human civilization.”

Ironically, this claim was made in a press release, noting the decision taken to refer ongoing disciplinary proceedings against the ICC’s prosecutor to the Assembly of State Parties—the ICC’s supervisory body—and to suspend the prosecutor from duty with immediate effect.

The presidency further called on “everyone in the court and all stakeholders to place in the forefront, at all times, the interests of the institution and our collective duty to offer the victims and affected communities the justice and hope they deserve, for the sake of present and future generations.”

The statement was the ICC’s attempt to claim immunity from the reputational destruction it has visited upon itself. This destruction was brought about by allegations of institutional racism as well as crippling professional, ethical and procedural scandals. In particular, there has been a recent sexual misconduct scandal surrounding the court’s chief prosecutor, Karim Khan.

By invoking the image of a shining legal Camelot, the ICC is desperately trying to distance itself from the unaccountable Frankenstein’s monster it has become. Even die-hard supporters of “international law” and “international justice” have balked at its chutzpah in doing so, publicly challenging the court’s evident savior complex.

Particularly damning were comments by Ambassador Sabine Nolke, an established insider as Canada’s Permanent Representative to the Netherlands and the International Judicial Institutions in The Hague from 2015 to 2019, and chair of the committee in charge of pre-selecting the ICC prosecutor at the heart of the court’s latest sex scandal. Asked if she agreed with the ICC Presidency’s statement above, she responded, regarding the “actual brick and mortar reality and its governance. No.”

She added, “When you ask me if the court is the greatest thing since sliced bread, the answer is no.”

The reaction of senior researchers at the Dutch Institute for War, Holocaust and Genocide Studies—one of them a former researcher at the ICC and Amnesty International—is also telling. They said they found the claim that the ICC is “one of the most significant achievements of human civilization” to be “particularly egregious,” in that it cast the court’s staff “as messianic disciples of justice.”

The ICC’s “messianic self-congratulation” was described as “infuriating,” “damaging” and a “spiral of absurdity.”

Commentators noted that the court’s expression of its savior complex was particularly ham-fisted, given that it was promulgated while several black African nations have undertaken initiatives to withdraw amid allegations that it is “an instrument of neo-colonialist repression.”

The court’s tendency to focus on Africa is a matter of record. Some African politicians have simply labelled the ICC the “International Caucasian Court.”
Exclusive: Lawyer goes public with sexual misconduct claims against ICC chief prosecutor. He denies the allegations
In the interview with CNN, Sarah described early interactions with Khan that made her uncomfortable. She alleges that the behavior eventually escalated into more aggressive actions, like coming to her hotel room late at night and, on one occasion, pushing to join her for a “nap” and groping her down her leggings while she says she pretended to be asleep.

In a previous interview with journalist Mehdi Hasan, Khan denied that he had any kind of relationship with the staff member, noting that he told UN investigators in his first comments to them that he “completely denied engaging in any harassment, abuse of authority, inappropriate behavior whatsoever,” also highlighting that he cooperated with the investigation.

The UN report, however, states that “Khan would not confirm whether he had had a sexual relationship with V01 (Sarah), even one that was welcomed by her, instead stating that he never engaged in any prohibited conduct in relation to (Sarah) that ‘could be construed as inappropriate, unwelcome or abusive.’”

Khan also told the UN investigators that his tight security arrangements on overseas trips would have made attempts to leave his room without being seen “virtually impossible.”

Sarah told CNN that the security detail did not mean his movements were restricted.

The UN watchdog’s report detailed further allegations of sexual touching at Khan’s home, in his office and on overseas business trips – all of which Sarah said were non-consensual.

According to the UN report, Sarah told investigators that Khan would also sometimes check if she was uncomfortable after such incidents. When asked about this by CNN, she said this did sometimes happen, “but if you know Mr. Khan, he’s not expecting a response from you – Mr. Khan does what he wants.”

Khan alleged in the UN report that Sarah would sometimes insist on going on overseas missions, a characterization that another ICC staff member agreed with. But the staff member noted that it was part of Sarah’s job to assist Khan during missions. Another staff member interviewed for the report noted that Sarah appeared to show signs of anxiety regarding work travel as time went on.

Meanwhile, Sarah told CNN she was trying to carry on doing her job and avoid scrutiny that could damage her future career prospects. At one point, Sarah said she told Khan that if the behaviors continued, she feared she would harm herself.
Karim Khan’s sex abuse accuser says ICC prosecutor exploited ‘power disparity’
A junior lawyer at the International Criminal Court on Thursday repeated her allegations that prosecutor Karim Khan had non-consensual sexual contact with her, in a CNN interview that was her first public media appearance.

Khan, 56, denies any wrongdoing. His lawyer, Sareta Ashraph, told CNN he denies “any form of sexual contact, relationship, consensual or non-consensual” with the alleged victim.

The woman, identified only as Sarah, would not comment on the ICC’s investigations into Khan, but told CNN he had shown escalating behavior of touching and groping her, recounting a time she said he touched her intimately while she was pretending to be asleep.

“There is no way for something to be consensual when you have such a power disparity,” Sarah, who said she is a Muslim who hails from Malaysia, told CNN. “What I think many people don’t understand is that Mr. Khan was not just my boss, he was everyone’s boss. And it cannot be consensual.”

Diplomats running the ICC’s oversight body ​have decided Khan did have an inappropriate sexual relationship with a junior staff ​member and should be fired, according to documents seen by Reuters. The court’s 125 member states are set to vote on July 24 on a proposal to dismiss him for alleged sexual misconduct, after he was suspended last month.

Khan’s supporters claim that he became a political target for seeking arrest warrants in 2024 ​for Israeli officials over the war in Gaza.

In the interview, Sarah denied online rumors that she worked for the Mossad spy agency, saying she underwent extensive security checks in order to be able to work closely with Khan and his predecessor.

“If ever there was even a hint of suspicion that I was a state agent of any kind, I would have been dismissed,” she said.

“I think many parties have for their own agenda conflated the two things,” Sarah told CNN of her allegations and the ICC’s probes of Israeli officials. “That conflation has only helped to distract and deflect from the validity of that complaint.”
Anti-Israel advocacy groups sue Trump administration over ICC sanctions
A U.S. advocacy group founded by slain Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi and three co-plaintiffs sued the Trump administration on Wednesday, arguing that sanctions targeting cooperation with the International Criminal Court unlawfully restrict their work with the tribunal.

The 43-page complaint, filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, challenges U.S. President Donald Trump’s Executive Order 14203, which declared a national emergency over what it called the ICC’s “illegitimate and baseless actions targeting America and our close ally Israel.” The order authorizes sanctions on foreign persons who directly engage in or support ICC investigations of U.S. personnel or nationals of allied countries, including Israel.

The plaintiffs—Democracy for the Arab World Now, the Taxpayer Alliance Against Genocide and two members of the latter group—say the order has forced them to stop submitting information to the ICC alleging war crimes by Israel and the United States. They also contend they ended cooperation with U.N. Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese and cut ties with Palestinian organizations sanctioned by the administration out of fear of civil or criminal penalties.

The lawsuit seeks to block enforcement of the executive order’s speech-related provisions and asks the court to declare them unconstitutional and beyond the president’s statutory authority.

“No one prosecuted these plaintiffs, fined them or sent them so much as a stern letter,” Mark Goldfeder, director of the National Jewish Advocacy Center, told JNS. “They silenced themselves and then sued over the silence.”

“The Supreme Court has a name for that, and it isn’t injury. It’s manufactured standing,” he said. “Hell, one of the plaintiffs formed itself months after the sanctions issued, for the announced purpose of preparing the very filing it now says it’s too frightened to file.”


David Ignatius: The U.S. Should Stop Chasing the Iranians for Talks
Iran's economy is severely weakened; its nuclear facilities are buried under rubble and its top nuclear scientists are dead; its leadership appears divided over whether to do a deal with the U.S. Hard-liners exult that they have survived an onslaught from America and Israel.

Should the Trump administration return to negotiations over the nuclear program? Maybe, but what's the rush? Trump was right when he said after the June 2025 war that Iran's key facilities had been "obliterated." There's no pathway to a bomb now. If Iran tries to restart its program, the U.S. and Israel will likely know it and can take appropriate action.

I'm usually an enthusiast for diplomacy, but for now, we should stop chasing the Iranians - through the front channel, back channel or anything in between. Let's wait and see. The Iranian government is obviously split. A genuine peace with Iran "will come in two weeks, or two months, or two years," as one U.S. negotiator puts it. Trying to rush that timetable hasn't worked. But I think the Iranian regime is still on a one-way street to an eventual demise, however long that takes.
You Can't Negotiate with Iran
With the reimposition of the American naval blockade against Iran, the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between Washington and Tehran seems dead. Its demise reveals what the Islamic Republic has always been: an aggressive, terroristic power that has no interest in rejoining the community of nations.

The Trump administration demonstrated with the MoU that it was willing to go big on sanctions relief for Iran. But this outstretched American hand was met once again with an Iranian clenched fist. Since 1979, the U.S. government under multiple administrations have engaged the Islamic Republic in the hopes of improving relations. But to no avail. Iran has tried to reset the rules of the region by asserting unilateral sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, responding aggressively to U.S. enforcement of freedom of navigation, and striking Israel over its attempts to neutralize Hizbullah.

Conventional wisdom has framed the collapse of the MoU as due to drafting mistakes and bad negotiating, but that is a misreading. The agreement collapsed because of the nature of the Iranian regime as an international pariah, a regional bully, and a domestic dragnet that is not seeking peace. The regime in Iran does not view diplomacy as a means of solving problems with the U.S. but rather as an extension of its conflict with America.

President Trump has had a consistent strategy all along: one of coercive diplomacy. The President lays out his demands, gives Iran an off-ramp, sometimes sets a deadline, tests their willingness to engage, and if they don't in good faith, he strikes. The defunct MoU is just another chapter of that same coercive diplomatic dance. It will continue until U.S. objectives are met.
Andrew Fox: This crackdown on the IRGC is too little, too late
The UK government wants credit for finally moving against Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). It deserves some, though very little.

On Monday, Labour home secretary Shabana Mahmood designated the IRGC as a national-security threat. This decision comes after years of warnings, more than 20 potentially lethal Iran-backed plots since 2022 and a recent spate of anti-Semitic attacks in Britain. The lateness of the designation, under the new National Security (State Threats) Act 2026, speaks to Westminster’s paralysis in confronting the Iranian threat.

This is not to say this move has no value. Now that the IRGC has been designated as a national-security threat, prosecutors pursuing cases involving its hired criminals will no longer need to prove a connection to a foreign power in each case. Supporting the IRGC, materially assisting it or receiving benefits from it can now carry a 14-year prison term. Sabotage committed on its behalf may result in a life sentence. Police and the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) will welcome these tools.

However, contrary to the government’s spin, the IRGC has not been fully proscribed as a terrorist group. The distinction between this and the national-security designation is substantial. Under the Terrorism Act 2000, mere membership of a proscribed organisation is an offence. So is inviting support for a banned group, recklessly encouraging support and displaying flags or insignia in circumstances that arouse reasonable suspicion of support.

The new National Security Act contains no equivalent membership or insignia offence. And its ‘support’ offence applies only when prosecutors can prove a ‘prohibited purpose’ prejudicial to the safety or interests of the UK. Ministers rejected amendments that would have removed that extra hurdle and captured self-directed acts inspired by a designated body like the IRGC.

Iran will find plenty of room to manoeuvre in that gap. The IRGC is a military force, an intelligence service, a patron of foreign terrorist groups and an ideological movement – all rolled into one. Its work in Britain extends beyond contracting an arsonist or scouting a journalist’s home. IRGC commanders have given speeches to British students using the language of martyrdom and apocalyptic war. Iran-linked centres and networks transmit the regime’s anti-Semitism and Islamist revolutionary politics into communities here. A law written around commissioned hostile acts struggles to address, say, the volunteer who absorbs that ideology and promotes it without receiving an order from Tehran.
Iran Expert Doubts Israel's Mossad Recruited Ahmadinejad
Beni Sabti, an Iran researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), said Tuesday in an interview:
"These days there are small protests in Iran. Yesterday, they used tear gas on them, something that had not happened since January. There is a lot of economic tension and frustration, including surprise power outages for almost the entire day. In my opinion, the Iranians will not sit at home for long."

Sabti said Iran is aware that Israel is waiting for an attack and it is avoiding direct fire at Israel for now.

Addressing a report that former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was in contact with Israel's Mossad, Sabti said, "In my opinion, that is nonsense."

"There is a difference between a meeting to establish contact and feel things out, and a person enlisting for you. It is possible there were attempts to lure him to Budapest, to show him respect, and to establish contact. But from there to turning him into an agent, I have a problem with that."

"What about his bodyguards? Do you think someone sends Ahmadinejad alone? Aren't there 10 ideologues of the regime around him? It is a little naive to think that way. If he were a Zionist agent, he would not be wandering around Iran now."
NYPost Editorial: JD Vance is wrong to blame Israel for his Iran peace deal’s failure thus far
Yes, Israel hated the MOU, which was drawn up completely without its involvement — and so left it no way to undermine it, except insofar as Iran claimed that Israeli self-defense against Hezbollah’s attacks from Lebanon somehow broke the truce.

Even then, Jerusalem yielded to President Donald Trump’s demands that it back off in Lebanon.

Vance went to other ugly places in his chat with Rogan: pretending that an open Israel-funded PR effort to counter antisemitism among younger conservatives somehow is actually a secret drive to undo peace with Iran and smear him; suggesting that the craziest Jeffrey Epstein conspiracy theories are true and Israel is part of the plot.

Maybe he wanted to deflect responsibility for the failure of an MOU he helped negotiate; maybe he resents how Trump opted for a war he likely opposed and then stuck him with trying to negotiate an exit.

Whatever: Pitching conspiracy theories, especially ones that flirt with rank antisemitism, is the wrong way out of your dilemma, JD.

As big as the Republican tent can be, it has absolutely no room for this.
Vance’s Bridge to Nowhere By Abe Greenwald
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His whole point on American foreign policy is that he’s not singling out Israel at all. Indeed, Vance plainly says that the U.S. should treat Israel like any other ally.

Here’s the thing about that: If the unique connection between the U.S. and Israel comes to an end, Israel will survive. Certain aspects of Israeli defense will be harder without reliable American assistance. But at the same time, Israel will no longer have to pause military operations or adhere to random limits on its use of force in deference to Washington.

The bigger problem is what the new arrangement would mean for the United States. To be clear, I don’t mean that we couldn’t survive without unfettered Israeli help in intelligence, technology, and military innovation. The United States is obviously the bigger, more powerful partner here. What I mean is that an America that doesn’t want to maintain its uniquely close relationship with Israel is an America that may already have forfeited what makes it the greatest political miracle in human history.

There should be nothing more natural in U.S. foreign policy than enthusiasm for our close relationship with the Jewish state. America’s Founders were deeply inspired by the Hebrew Bible and the history of the Israelites as a free people in a covenant with God. Today, Israel is a thriving democracy fighting a multifront war against terrorist enemies it shares with the U.S. If Americans succumb to an anti-Israel mania that scapegoats Jews for a host of unrelated problems, it’s America that will cease to be a uniquely moral country. Such a turn would announce that we’ve surrendered the fundamental American understanding of individual agency that’s required for a free nation to stay intact.

This morning on the podcast, Eli Lake argued that Vance’s version of a downgraded U.S. relationship with Israel is still worlds better than the left’s eagerness to see Israel destroyed. I fully agree. But on some level, if we’re now weighing Vance’s anti-Israel conspiracism against the Hamas fandom of the left, we’ve already taken a dark turn that threatens the whole national project. In the end, the bridge Vance is offering would lead this country over the cliff.


Smith says he was pressured to vote against Israel aid by violent, far-left activists
Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, indicated he voted to cut off military aid to Israel in part because of sustained personal threats against his family and his staff, part of what he described as a violent and relentless campaign of intimidation by far-left anti-Israel activists.

Smith voted on Wednesday to support an amendment introduced by Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) to strip $3.3 billion in U.S. aid to Israel from the 2027 State Department appropriations bill — a major reversal by the hawkish Democrat after he previously told Jewish Insider he planned to oppose the measure.

In a statement explaining his vote in favor, the high-ranking defense lawmaker said it was a “very close vote.” He said that despite voting to cut off U.S. aid, he was “deeply concerned” about the tactics used by far left activists to pressure him to support such a measure.

“To date, my family and I have had our home vandalized, a fire has been set in my driveway, my neighbors’ lives have been disrupted by demonstrations in the middle of the night, town halls meant to be forums for dialogue have been shut down, and a staff member has been physically assaulted,” Smith said in a statement on X.

Smith, who is facing Aug. 4 primary challenges from two anti-Israel activists, said that those who “engage in this type of behavior model a dangerous form of corrosive politics that seeks to intimidate those who disagree with them.” He argued that the moment instead calls for “civil discourse” and “respectful engagement” in order to solve difficult problems.


Jonathan Tobin: Ro Khanna and the weaponization of anti-Zionism in American politics
There was a time, not so long ago, when presidential aspirants from both major parties visited Israel to boost their campaigns. They still do so now, but for different reasons, as the recent misadventure of Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) illustrated.

In the past, American politicians traveled to Israel to make clear their solidarity with the Jewish state and its American supporters. They understood that this demographic was composed not merely of the vast majority of American Jews, but also of tens of millions of American Christians. Such visits were not merely ways to boost fundraising. They were an effort to demonstrate that the candidate was someone who appreciated that Israel was the sole democratic ally the United States had in the Middle East, as well as a place that deserved the admiration of the world for its tremendous achievements in the face of implacable hostility rooted in Jew-hatred.

Today, they go there to virtue-signal their solidarity with that same hatred.

Anti-Israel virtue-signaling
That’s something that many Israelis and American Jews struggle to understand. Try as they might to see Khanna’s visit—or the previous one by veteran politician Rahm Emanuel in the context of Israeli politics and disputes about who should be running the Jewish state and policies it ought to pursue (including those regarding “violent settlers” in Judea and Samaria)—these episodes are about something very different. They are a way to connect with the left-wing base of the Democratic Party and other Americans who have swallowed the idea that the struggle for global justice is inextricably linked to the Palestinian Arab war on Israel’s existence.

Rather than continuing to litigate the dispute about whether or not, as Khanna falsely claimed, “violent settlers” threatened and illegally detained him (or, as he also falsely claimed, the Israel Defense Forces and police aided those seeking to harm him), we need to understand that something else is going on here. It is the political context of the Khanna dustup that is significant—not the specific facts of the case. Once one sorts through the congressman’s disingenuous rhetoric and the credulous reporting about them in the mainstream media, however, it’s clear that the congressman didn’t tell the truth about what happened.

Khanna went to Israel to show the world that he’s against the Jewish state. The fact that he subsequently said that those who had explained his version of the incident were largely made up out of whole cloth were the same people who “lied about genocide” in Gaza tells you all you need to know about the story. Just as there has been no genocide in Gaza, there is no “apartheid” in Israel. Even some fellow Democrats who are not so invested in catering to the anti-Zionist crowd have criticized him for such a publicity stunt.
Appease and Be Punished By Abe Greenwald
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One minor consolation in watching Democrats try to appease the revolutionary left is that we also get to watch the revolutionary left tell the sniveling Democrats that they want more. And they always want more. More socialism, more anti-Semitism, more crazy.

As mortifying as left-liberal politics has become, there’s a small measure of twisted justice in watching the cosplay Israel-bashers get rejected and punished by the dissatisfied true believers.

We saw it a couple of weeks ago, when California state senator Scott Wiener was harassed out of the San Francisco trans march. Although Wiener had turned against Israel, he didn’t turn aggressively or quickly enough to satisfy the global intifada’s LGBTQ brigade. So they showed him exactly what kind of movement he’s thrown in with.

And now, the Israel obsessives are coming for Congressman Ro Khanna. In recent months, Khanna has done little else but bash Israel, AIPAC, and “the Epstein class.” If he opens his mouth, it’s only to let out another anti-Jewish dog whistle. Khanna’s rebranding effort reached its apogee in a poorly engineered hoax last week in the West Bank, where he claims crazed Jewish settlers held him at gunpoint. You can’t say he’s skimping on the theatrics.

But the radicals Khanna is trying to win over don’t want theatrics. They want blood.


Trump: Iran has freed trapped US citizen in goodwill gesture
Iran has allowed a U.S. citizen denied since December 2024 to leave the country, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday, calling the move a “gesture of goodwill.”

“Iran has allowed an American Citizen, who was wrongfully detained in December of 2024 under the ‘presidency’ of Sleepy Joe Biden, to leave the Country. She is now safely outside of Iran, and in good condition. The United States of America appreciates this gesture of Goodwill by Iran!” the president wrote on Truth Social.

Human rights lawyer Jared Genser on Wednesday identified the woman as Dena Karari, one of his clients, and said she is now safely outside of Iran and traveling back to the United States.

“I am delighted and excited to report that my client U.S. citizen #DenaKarari, who had been trapped in #Iran since December 2024 on bogus charges is now free,” Genser said on X. “This would not have happened but for the extraordinary and relentless efforts of President @realDonaldTrump. Dena is now safe and traveling back to the United States.”

Genser said in a news release with additional details that Karari had been subject to a “coercive exit ban” but was not physically detained, adding she was interrogated repeatedly by Iran’s Intelligence Ministry over her work with the Children of Mehr Foundation.

The foundation “helped impoverished children in Iran with private donor support and authorization of an OFAC license,” Genser said, referring to the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control.


Jordanian foreign minister says deal with Iran should address proxies and regional aggression
Jordanian Deputy Prime Minister Ayman Safadi repeatedly emphasized on Wednesday that any deal with Iran should be comprehensive and ensure an end to Iran’s support for proxy groups and confront its efforts to destabilize the region.

The position suggests concern in the Arab world that a U.S. deal with Iran would not cover the regime’s long-running regional provocations — a concern Arab partners similarly raised about former President Barack Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran.

“All of us in the region have always wanted good relations with Iran, but we said in order for those good relations to be had, Iran’s interventionism in the region, its meddling in the affairs of the area, non-respect for sovereignty of states must end,” Safadi, who also serves as Jordan’s foreign minister, said at the Aspen Security Forum. “Let’s put all those issues on the table and hopefully come up with a deal that will address all sorts of tension and allow for the region to enjoy the peace and stability that we deserve.”

Safadi emphasized that both Iran’s nuclear program and reopening the Strait of Hormuz are important, but that a deal also must address “other aspects that cause tension in the region,” including Iran’s proxies and regional aggression, and must be “comprehensive enough to make sure that we don’t find ourselves in the same place that we have been for years.”

Safadi also criticized Iran for closing the Strait of Hormuz and for retaliating against Jordan and Gulf states for U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.

He accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of lying about the situation along the border between Jordan and Israel — asserting that Jordan, rather than Israel, is carrying the brunt of securing that border, and that much of the smuggling is coming from Israel into Jordan rather than the other way around.

He also blamed Israel for “manufactur[ing] unreal threats” in order to perpetuate an unproductive “strategy of perpetual conflict.”


US hits dozens of Iranian targets in sixth consecutive night of strikes
The U.S. military struck dozens of military targets in Iran, including “coastal surveillance and air defense sites, military logistics infrastructure, and maritime capabilities,” U.S. Central Command said on Thursday night.

It was the sixth consecutive night of American attacks on regime targets.

CENTCOM said that the attack involved fighter jets, drones and warships.


Iran tells Houthis to close Red Sea oil route if US hits power network, sources say
Iran has asked Yemen’s Houthi rebels to stand ready to close the Red Sea oil route if the United States strikes Iranian power infrastructure, three sources told Reuters on Thursday, posing a potent new threat to global energy supplies.

The idea has been discussed within the Islamic Republic’s leadership, and the message has been conveyed to Iran’s Houthi allies, two senior Iranian sources and a regional source familiar with the matter said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The sources said the Houthis had been informed recently of Tehran’s request, which has not been previously reported.

They did not give further details on how it had been conveyed or whether it was after US President Donald Trump’s threat to attack Iranian power infrastructure on Tuesday.

Iran’s foreign ministry and a spokesperson for the Houthis were not immediately available to respond to Reuters’ request.

A source close to the Houthis said the group had completed preparations to attack shipping by deploying missiles and drones near Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the gateway to the Red Sea, in Yemen’s highlands overlooking Hodeidah and the Gulf of Aden and was awaiting the order to begin.

Any threat to the Red Sea and its Bab el-Mandeb gateway risks hugely exacerbating the global energy crisis triggered by Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and underscores the explosive risks stemming from a new round of warfare.

With the Strait of Hormuz already shut, any Houthi attacks on vessels or ports in the Red Sea would leave the Middle East’s two main oil export routes disrupted simultaneously, opening a new front in both the energy crisis and Iran’s wider conflict with the United States.


Israel to produce its own JDAM bombs en masse within two years, in bid for arms independence
Israel should be able to produce its own JDAM (Joint Direct Attack Munition) bombs en masse within two years, The Jerusalem Post has learned.

The development serves to revolutionize Israel’s warfare capabilities.

Under orders from then-defense minister Yoav Gallant, and with recommendations from the commission of former justice Jacob Turkel, Israel started producing more of its own bombs in late 2024. Israel has relied far more on the US for such weapons during crises for decades.

In May 2024, the Biden administration imposed a partial arms freeze on certain bombs to Israel over differences related to the IDF’s invasion of Rafah. Initially, the idea was for Israel to become more independent in producing “dumb” bombs.

But that was only the beginning of the process of making Israel more independent in weapons production, particularly regarding munitions. This process accelerated and expanded significantly in 2025-2026, eventually focusing on producing JDAMs and smarter bombs.

Israel already produces its own kits that convert “dumb bombs” into precision weapons, but it is not anywhere close to the necessary volume that it needs to be considered independent.


The PA's Army Threatens Millions of Israelis
In breach of the Oslo Accords, Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) is now host to an armed force ten times larger than the number of terrorists who invaded from Gaza on Oct. 7. The Palestinian Authority (PA) security apparatuses are a trained military body that holds tens of thousands of assault weapons. Many of its members have already participated in terrorism against Israelis (12% of Palestinian security prisoners originate from its ranks), and it trains exclusively for one scenario: war against the State of Israel.

Unlike the Gaza envelope, the areas adjacent to Judea and Samaria contain Israel's largest population centers. The distance from the PA town of Qalqilya in Samaria to the Mediterranean Sea is only 14 km. (9 miles). Millions of Israeli citizens in the Tel Aviv region live under direct threat.

Hundreds of PA security personnel participated in the Second Intifada (2000-2005). Since then, the PA security forces in Judea and Samaria have grown by 400%, transforming from a small policing force into an army. There is no meaningful difference between the PA and Hamas. Both embrace terrorism and both seek to destroy the State of Israel.

Under the Oslo Accords, the PA was supposed to have a body responsible for maintaining local public order, to combat crime and terrorist organizations. For this purpose, they were allowed a limited quantity of weapons. Originally, they were limited to 12,000 personnel in Judea and Samaria equipped with 4,000 rifles, 4,000 pistols, 120 light and heavy machine guns, and 15 armored vehicles. They now number 70,000 soldiers.

Palestinian society does not suffer from unusually high crime levels that would justify such a large armed force. If Israel does not act to significantly reduce these forces to the agreed-upon dimensions, millions of Israeli citizens will remain under threat of a massacre that may dwarf the horrors of Oct. 7.

Given the severity of the threat, the Israeli government must adopt a strategy of "dismantling and demilitarization." Halt all approvals for the transfer of weapons, ammunition, or armored vehicles to the PA. Demand the immediate return of any armament exceeding Oslo limits (such as heavy machine guns, RPGs, and explosive devices). Condition all aid to the PA on reducing the size of the security apparatuses to the original agreed level of 12,000.

Close all facilities and training bases whose purpose is to provide "military training." Prepare the IDF operationally to protect Israelis living near the seam line with Judea and Samaria. Cease foreign training of PA security personnel abroad, including in Pakistan.
IDF general: Hamas unable to conduct repeat of October 7
Hamas is no longer capable of carrying out a terror infiltration, as seen on October 7, 2023, IDF Central Command Chief Maj.-Gen. Avi Bluth said on Wednesday.

"The threat of a terror infiltration like on October 7 is no longer possible," he stated.

"More than 60% of the Strip is in our hands. There is a security zone for the Gaza border communities held by two divisions and the finest IDF soldiers," he added.

Hamas, however, still remains a threat according to Bluth.

"But our eyes are open, and we can see and identify the challenges that still exist. Hamas still rules, and the murderous organization retains residual capabilities, while its vision of destroying Israel has not changed," he said.

"Our work has not finished," he told the assembled officers and soldiers.

"We stand here in the northern Gaza Strip, and we have achieved a great deal," Bluth said.

Bluth was speaking at a change-of-command ceremony for the military's 99th Division at Netiv Ha’asara, a Gaza border community north of the strip.

The 99th Division is a reservist division, officially under the Central Command, but aided in repelling infiltrating terrorists following the October 7 massacre, and operated in the Gaza Strip throughout the Israel-Hamas War.
Trump Sees Israel's Presence in Southern Syria as a Problem, Israel Sees It as a Solution
When Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa swept into power in December 2024, Israel quickly implemented policies born of the lessons learned from Oct. 7. The first was to act before threats metastasize rather than after. The second was never again to let those who want to murder you encamp right on the border. As a result, the IDF carved out a buffer zone inside southern Syria designed to keep forces hostile to Israel from establishing themselves within easy striking distance of Israeli communities on the Golan Heights.

President Trump reportedly urged Prime Minister Netanyahu last week to begin withdrawing from southern Syria, Axios reported. He sees Israel's presence in Syria as a problem. Israel sees it as a solution. Before Oct. 7, Israel's security doctrine rested heavily on deterrence, intelligence, sophisticated border barriers, and rapid military response. Oct. 7 shattered confidence in all of these.

The result has been a fundamental shift in Israel's security doctrine which increasingly seeks physical depth between hostile forces and Israeli civilians. The reasoning is simple: enemies cannot launch another Oct. 7 and swarm into people's homes if they are prevented from massing on the border. That thinking now shapes Israeli policy in Gaza and southern Lebanon.

The question is not simply whether Sharaa seeks peace today. It is whether he will still be able or willing to prevent hostile forces from operating near Israel's border five years from now. Another factor reinforcing Israeli caution is Turkey, Sharaa's principal external backer, which is increasingly seen as a potential long-term threat. From Israel's perspective, replacing an Iranian sphere of influence immediately on its border with a Turkish one would hardly constitute progress.

None of this means Israel intends to remain in southern Syria indefinitely. But Jerusalem is in no great hurry to withdraw. It wants sustained proof that Syria has fundamentally changed before dismantling one of the principal security measures put in place after Oct. 7.
IDF Destroys Hizbullah Stronghold in Southern Lebanon
Bint Jbeil, a southern Lebanese town, has long been regarded as one of Hizbullah's most important strongholds. Israeli officers say 40% of the town has already been demolished, a figure expected to reach 70% in the coming weeks. The targeted structures all contained Hizbullah military infrastructure. Shortly before Israeli forces entered the town, Hizbullah's current leader, Naim Qassem, declared, "If Bint Jbeil falls, Hizbullah will fall."

Lt.-Col. S., a reserve deputy commander in the IDF's 401st Armored Brigade, says, "You have to look south to understand why we are doing it," where Israeli troops can see the Israeli communities of Avivim, Yiron, Bar'am, Rehaniya, Safed and even Haifa Bay. "You see the communities below you and understand the reason. You understand there is no choice."

For two decades, Israel's working assumption was that although Hizbullah had developed the ability to invade the Galilee, it did not necessarily intend to do so. The campaign in the north is now being conducted without relying on assessments of Hizbullah's intentions, commanders said.

"I do not care whether Hizbullah wants to attack us today. I want to know whether it can, and I want us to make sure it cannot," S. said. "We are here to deny capabilities. They will not be able to conquer our communities. We cannot control their desire, but we can reduce their ability."
IDF kills three armed Hezbollah terrorists in Lebanon’s south
The Israel Defense Forces on Wednesday eliminated three armed Hezbollah terrorists during operations inside the Southern Lebanon security zone.

The terrorists, who the army said were carrying “combat equipment,” were killed “to remove the threat posed to IDF soldiers operating nearby,” according to the statement.

“The IDF will not allow the Hezbollah terrorist organization to harm Israeli civilians or IDF soldiers and will continue to operate to remove threats,” it added.

In a separate statement on Wednesday, the IDF revealed that its 98th and 91st divisions carried out a joint operation to encircle the “terrorist villages” of Bint Jbeil and Ainata in Southern Lebanon.

The operation, which started during “Operation Roaring Lion” against Iran earlier this year, saw the two divisions entering the towns and establishing operational control within a week, the IDF said.

Troops destroyed more than 1,500 Hezbollah sites in the area and killed more than 500 operatives, according to the military.

Soldiers also seized hundreds of weapons hidden in civilian areas and uncovered hundreds of Hezbollah sites, including command centers, missile launchers and arms depots, it said.
Seth Frantzman: Syria’s actions against Hezbollah weapons smuggling showcase its regional commitment
Syria has busted a new smuggling operation that was attempting to move weapons to Hezbollah. Its action comes at a key time.

Hezbollah is under some pressure from Israel, the US, and Lebanon as the US hopes for progress on trilateral talks. The goal of the talks is for Lebanese government forces to extend their control to “pilot zones” in southern Lebanon where Hezbollah will be removed.

Israel has said it won’t withdraw or redeploy in Lebanon until there is progress. The Trump administration has hinted that Syria might help support operations against Hezbollah. US President Donald Trump reiterated this possibility in a recent interview with Trey Yingst of Fox News.

As Trump maneuvers to bring about peace in Lebanon, the role of Syria is key. Damascus is helping cut off the flow of arms to Hezbollah.

“Syria’s Interior Ministry seizes advanced weapons shipment bound for Hezbollah,” Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA), Syria’s official news agency, reported Thursday.

“Weapons [were] seized by [the] Interior Ministry after foiling an arms shipment bound for the Hezbollah terrorist militia near the Syrian-Iraqi border,” the report said.

This is one of many successes that Syria has had against smuggling to Hezbollah.


Wanted Palestinian terrorist found hiding in car trunk at Jerusalem checkpoint
The Israeli Police on Wednesday arrested a wanted Palestinian terrorist who was found hiding in the trunk of a car while attempting to enter the Jewish state’s pre-1967 borders illegally from Samaria, the force said on Thursday.

“A wanted terror suspect from Tulkarem, who was believed to be planning a terror attack against our civilians, hid in the trunk of a car with another Palestinian buddy of his and attempted to illegally sneak into our cities through a Jerusalem crossing,” Lt. Dean Elsdunne, the Israel Police’s international spokesman, said in a video statement.

“Those that are following along know these checkpoints stop terrorism, weapons smuggling and many more dangers,” he stated. “Here, yet another attack thwarted, just like yesterday, when we intercepted a guy on Highway 60 who literally admitted he wants to go commit an attack.”

“These crossings that we all go through aren’t about whatever lies they’re spewing—they’re the line between a regular Tuesday and a tragedy,” added Elsdunne.

In another operation in the Palestinian city of al-Eizariya, located in the Judean Desert just outside Jerusalem, undercover Border Police officers arrested a terror suspect, police stated separately.

The operation was carried out following intelligence provided by the Israeli Security Agency (Shin Bet) and in cooperation with the Israel Defense Forces, according to the statement.

Police said the forces carried out the operation without incident. The suspect was transferred into Shin Bet custody for further questioning.


IDF destroys four Hamas weapons depots in overnight strikes
The Israel Defense Forces destroyed four Hamas weapons storage facilities in a series of overnight strikes in central Gaza, the military said on Thursday.

The facilities contained Kalashnikov rifles, RPGs, grenades, explosive devices and “additional military equipment,” according to the IDF.

The military said the weapons, intended for use in attacks on soldiers operating near the ceasefire line and Israeli civilians, were dismantled “in order to remove the threat.”

Precautions were taken to reduce harm to noncombatants, including advance warnings, the use of precision-guided munitions and aerial surveillance, the IDF added.

On Wednesday, the IDF eliminated the commander of a Hamas sniper battalion, it said in a separate statement on Thursday.

Omar Ahmed Abu Qasem, a commander in Hamas’s “military wing,” was killed in a strike in central Gaza, according to the statement.

“Throughout the war, Abu Qasem took part in carrying out terror attacks against IDF troops in the Gaza Strip,” the military stated.

In recent months, the terrorist helped rebuild Hamas’s military capabilities and “advanced additional terror attacks against IDF troops, in violation of the ceasefire agreement,” the statement continued.


Commentary Podcast: Israel on the Brain
Contributing editor Eli Lake is back to discuss the newest round of bad news - JD Vance joining Joe Rogan for a conspiracy fueled podcast, 103 democrats joining Thomas Massie to vote to cut off aid to Israel, and Ro Khanna's DropSite interview trying to capitalize on his West Bank stunt. Plus, John ironically recommends Joe Biden's upcoming memoir Promise Me, America.





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Elder of Ziyon - حـكـيـم صـهـيـون



This blog may be a labor of love for me, but it takes a lot of effort, time and money. For 20 years and 40,000 articles I have been providing accurate, original news that would have remained unnoticed. I've written hundreds of scoops and sometimes my reporting ends up making a real difference. I appreciate any donations you can give to keep this blog going.

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