Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
Jonathan Tobin: The Islamophobia narrative is about erasing Jews and antisemitism
Americans have good reason to fear the spread of hatred that has become normative in nations where Islamists dominate. That is why immigration and even refugee absorption from such countries is so problematic, because it leads to an influx of people who are largely indoctrinated in beliefs that are antithetical to the values of Western civilization and invariably antisemitic.Death of a Holocaust denier
Nor, contrary to the Times, is fear of such groups imposing Muslim religious law (Sharia) on other societies unfounded. That is not merely the historical pattern of Islamic communities, but the reality in Western Europe, where the infusion of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa has resulted in authorities fearing to enforce the law at all in some places. This creates an environment in which Islamist hate crimes can be excused or ignored, and those who protest such policies are treated as troublemakers rather than truth-tellers.
More than anything else, the talk of Islamophobia is a stick with which to beat critics of Islamic hate. It is an attempt to silence those who have the temerity to notice the connection between the antisemitic incitement that is commonplace in Islamist discourse in the West and attempts to intimidate Jews and target them for violence. It is no surprise that every time an act of Islamist violence happens, it is now followed by talk of the need to prevent Islamophobia.
The Times commended, in retrospect, President George W. Bush’s almost obsessive fear of offending Muslims during his administration’s “war on terror.” Bush’s insistence that Islam was “a religion of peace” became something of a joke during his presidency. Two decades later, that knee-jerk effort to deny the obvious about Islamist hate and antisemitism is no longer merely risible. It is a deliberate effort to prevent effective action against the Jew-hatred that has surged throughout American society, largely with the assistance of the same media outlets so determined to decry Islamophobia.
The point of contemporary bigotry and bias against Jews is, as author Dara Horn has written, to erase them and work toward a final solution of eliminating Jewish civilization. The focus on Islamophobia is just that. Those who are serious about actually preventing discrimination and hate shouldn’t fall for this big lie.
Ali Larijani, the 67-year-old former head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, died a terrorist’s death last week. For much of his career, however, he lived as a diplomat, and was feted as one by regional and Western nations alike.Genocidal Glee
Back in 2007, Larijani addressed the annual Munich Security Conference in Germany. Arriving in the city off the back of a Holocaust-denial conference hosted by the regime in Tehran, Larijani no doubt got a tremendous kick out of telling an audience in Germany, of all places, that it was an “open question” as to whether the Nazi slaughter of 6 million Jews had occurred. He did much the same two years later at Munich in 2009, telling one questioner that Iran’s leaders did not share European “sensitivities” or “perspectives” when it came to querying the veracity of the extermination program.
He would have likely done so again in 2011 had his earlier denialist statements not resulted in a ban on his attendance—a classic example of a European state realizing far too late that to stop the horse from bolting, the stable door would need to be shut first.
In the various high-level roles he held on behalf of the Islamic Republic, chief nuclear negotiator among them, Larijani never lost sight of the regime’s core goal of eliminating the State of Israel. Now that he has himself been eliminated—the latest in a long line of terrorists and terror enablers from Gaza to Lebanon to Iran to have been felled by an Israeli strike since the Oct. 7, 2023 pogrom—the question remains as to whether Iran can continue to be the world’s primary state sponsor of anti-Zionist ideology, assuming that the regime survives the current U.S.-Israeli onslaught in truncated form.
Iran took on that position following the collapse of the Soviet Union and its allied communist states from 1989 onwards. During the Cold War, Soviet anti-Zionism, a central plank of Moscow’s foreign policy, morphed into what I call “antizionism”—a toxic ideology that has never been as strong or as visible as today, nearly four decades after the demise of the USSR. What was being opposed was not Zionism as the vast majority of Jews understood the term, but a defamatory caricature that drew heavily on older antisemitic tropes.
This expressed itself in two principal ways: violence and propaganda.
The Soviets backed the Arab side in the regional wars of 1967 and 1973. They supported various left-wing terrorist groups in Western countries, led by such figures as the Venezuelan militant Ilyich Ramírez Sánchez (also known as “Carlos”), a KGB and East German Stasi asset who operated on behalf of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. And they sponsored a slew of propaganda initiatives, in the form of pamphlets with titles like “Beware: Zionism,” as well as U.N. General Assembly resolutions, among them the infamous equation of Zionism with racism approved by the world body in 1975.
The screenshots below show two things happening at once:
First, a private email sent by Glenn Greenwald, where he tells a Jewish recipient to “crawl out of your Sabbath hole” and watch Israeli cities being hit by Iranian missiles, followed by a link and the word “Enjoy.”
Second, his public follow up, where he frames himself as the victim of smears, denies wrongdoing, and then states plainly, “I think it’s good for the world that Israel is feeling retaliatory strikes for the wars they started.”
All the talk about innocent civilians, all the moral posturing, all the hours spent pretending this is about universal principles and human suffering, all of it collapses the second Israelis are the ones under fire. Then the mask slips, and what comes out is the truth. They never cared about innocent civilians in any consistent or serious way. They cared about using civilian suffering as a political weapon against Israel. That is a very different thing, and people should stop pretending otherwise.
Defenders of Israel spend an enormous amount of time explaining basic realities that should not need to be explained to honest people. We explain why casualty figures coming out of the Hamas-run Gaza Ministry of Health cannot simply be treated as clean, neutral civilian death tolls, especially when Hamas has every incentive to inflate, manipulate, and obscure the distinction between civilians and combatants. We explain that Hamas embeds itself in civilian areas, stores weapons in homes, schools, and mosques, launches attacks from within populated neighborhoods, and then relies on the resulting images for propaganda. We explain that Hamas built an entire terror infrastructure under Gaza while leaving its own civilians exposed above ground, because civilian vulnerability is useful to them. We explain all of this for one reason. Because if Israel were deliberately targeting innocent civilians, that would be evil, and the truth would matter.
That is what makes comments like Glenn’s so revealing. He’s not arguing that civilian suffering is tragic wherever it occurs. He’s arguing that Israeli civilians being targeted by ballistic missiles is somehow morally satisfying because he has accepted the lie that they are collectively guilty. He wants the category of civilian to apply when it can be used against Israel, and he wants it to disappear when Israelis are the ones bleeding.
And once you see that, a lot of other things come into focus. It explains why so many of these people become extremely skeptical and forensic when Israeli actions are under discussion, but suddenly become emotionless and vindictive when Israelis are murdered. It explains why every dead Gazan child is treated as a moral indictment of the Jewish people, while dead Israeli children are treated as background noise, an unfortunate detail, or in many cases a justified consequence. It explains why they spend months lecturing the world about “dehumanization” and then casually speak about Israeli families as though they are legitimate instruments of collective punishment.
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
The war that the U.S. and Israel finally initiated against Iran is saving the West.Amb. Alan Baker: Will the International Community Confront Iran's Illegal Use of Cluster Munitions?
The entire world is a beneficiary of the Allied campaign, since there was no remaining alternative to war.
The decision to attack Iran should have been taken two decades ago, in February 2006, when Iran brazenly resumed uranium enrichment and was referred by the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to the Security Council.
The world was faced with the prospect of Iran attaining nuclear weapons and had absolutely no plan to prevent it.
The U.S. was, in practice, pursuing only one policy option: waiting for Iran to obtain the means to mass murder either Americans or America's allies.
Some experts are complaining that there is no clear endgame to the current war. But without the war, there was a very clear endgame - a nuclear Iran and very probably nuclear war.
What is absolutely clear is that the war brings the possibility of a positive outcome. Without war, a catastrophic outcome was certain.
Iran's use of cluster munitions has become a dominant feature in its conduct of warfare against Israel and many of the Gulf states. International law acknowledges that such munitions may be used against purely military targets. However, Iran's widespread and indiscriminate use of cluster bombs that could endanger civilians and civilian locations is strictly forbidden and constitutes a violation of international humanitarian law.Iran Is Trying to Defeat America in the Living Room
One of the principle international humanitarian law norms of armed conflict is that of distinction, requiring an attacker to distinguish between combatants and non-combatants. When fired at targets where non-combatants are in close proximity, their use violates the international law principle of distinction.
During the present, ongoing hostilities, Iran has been indiscriminately and deliberately firing cluster munitions on a large scale against Israeli residential areas. In light of Iranian violations, there exists every legal necessity and justification to make appropriate representations to the international community, its institutions and to the international media and to provide evidence of such misuse by Iran.
The malicious, deliberate, and indiscriminate targeting by Iran and its proxy Hizbullah of Israel's civilian areas clearly violates all humanitarian norms and is absolutely prohibited.
Islamic Republic officials have actively sought to fracture Trump’s base by evoking anti-Zionist conspiracies. “Trump has turned ‘America First’ into ‘Israel First,’” the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, posted, adding, “which always means ‘America last.’” Mohammed Baqer Qalibaf, a former Revolutionary Guard commander who is close with Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, referred to Trump’s relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as an “Epstein Axis” and posted that “American families deserve to know why Trump is sacrificing their sons and daughters to advance Netanyahu’s expansionist delusions.”
Iranian state TV has also amplified the commentary of Tucker Carlson—an outspoken conservative critic of the war—including a recent interview with Joe Kent, Trump’s director of the National Counterterrorism Center who resigned after blaming “high-ranking Israeli officials and influential members of the American media” for the conflict. Tehran doesn’t want to turn Americans against just the war. It wants to turn Americans against one another.
Although opinion polls, oil prices, and the number of projectiles remaining are measurable, the fate of the war will be determined in part by the resolve of both parties, something far more difficult to measure. A democratic president’s will to fight is constrained by elections, polls, gas prices, and the news cycle. An authoritarian regime fighting for its survival answers to none of those pressures. Reagan had resolve until Congress didn’t. Bush had resolve until six in 10 Americans called his war a mistake. This asymmetry of resolve is Iran’s greatest structural advantage. Tehran wins by not losing; Trump loses by not winning.
The Islamic Republic’s decision to build its political identity around “death to America” has been a 47-year war of choice. Trump’s decision to try to end Tehran’s malign capabilities, rather than merely contain or counter them like past administrations did, has also been a war of choice.
If Iran’s strategy depends on Peoria, Trump’s presidency depends on the Strait of Hormuz. Trump cannot withdraw so long as Iran controls it, but securing it risks the kind of mass American casualties that ended Reagan’s and Bush’s resolve. If Trump reopens it, his appetite for regime change may grow. If he doesn’t, the economic pressure on his base will mount. This is ultimately a war between a democracy’s impatience and a theocracy’s ruthless endurance. The question is whether, for the first time since 1979, Tehran has finally met a U.S. president more committed to destroying the regime than the regime is to destroying him.
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
Some have fallen prey to the dilemma of either defending or condemning Iran. This stems from a flawed oversimplification and a superficial approach to a complex situation...Defending Iran against Israel does not justify failing to condemn its aggression against the Gulf states. In fact, its aggression against these states renders defending it futile and illogical. Defending the Gulf states and condemning attacks against them, regardless of the justification, undoubtedly takes precedence over all else. Iran's aggression against the Gulf states is a clear continuation of its hostile approach and its aggression against Arab states for years prior to the war. Supporting the Gulf against Iran or any other entity is an obligation that cannot be absolved by any other consideration.Israel's first Prime Minister, David Ben-Gurion, offers a way out. The Jews found themselves in a predicament before World War II because Britain, the country that had taken the most significant step in the creation of Israel (the Balfour Declaration), issued what became known as the White Paper. This document restricted Jewish land purchases and immigration to Palestine, in a British attempt to secure the support of Arab states, which they considered more important than supporting the Jews in the war. This created a rift between the Jews and Britain. With the outbreak of war, the Jews had no choice but to stand with Britain against Nazi Germany. Ben-Gurion declared, ""We must assist the British in the war as if there were no White Paper and we must resist the White Paper as if there were no war." Hitler was the primary enemy of the Jews, and their disagreement with Britain did not lead them to side with him, nor could they forget their conflict with Britain.Therefore, the minimum position on Iran is to defend it against Israel as if it had not done what it did to the Arab states, and to condemn Iran’s policy and aggression against the Gulf as if there had been no war.
|
"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024) PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022) |
![]() |
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
The “Evidence-Based” Claim
Error One: Conflating All Hate Incidents With Violent Ones
Error Two: Conflating Antisemitic Violence With Other Hate Crimes
Error Three: The Geography of the Threat
The Actual Record: Who Attacks Jews, and What Stops Them
The “Good Jew” Problem
The Zionist Question JFREJ Cannot Answer
What Actually Saves Lives
Conclusion: A Plan That Serves Its Authors, Not Its Supposed Beneficiaries
|
"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024) PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022) |
![]() |
Monday, March 23, 2026
The Golders Green ambulance attack reveals the depths of the new Jew hatred
We’ve been told since Brexit that a new 1930s is upon us. Apparently, British voters politely asking for more democratic clout and better border control constituted a terrifying descent into Nazism. All the while, those menacing Britain’s tiny Jewish community – smaller in number than British Sikhs – were rendered invisible.Jake Wallis Simons: We love life, they love death and Britain still can't pick a side
Smashed shops, firebombings, murder – purely because they are Jews. I don’t know how many echoes of history need to ring out, how much broken glass needs to rattle on the ground, before the anti-fascists rouse from their slumber. Or realise they’ve slipped on to the other side.
Muslim anti-Semitism, in particular, has been lent cover by all the usual idiots and cowards. Despite anti-Semitic attitudes being stubbornly higher among British Muslims, despite Islamic extremism being the biggest terror threat we face by a country mile, every political discussion must at some point pivot to the spectre of the ‘far right’.
Given you could now fit the actual far right in the back of an Uber XL, this requires smear tactics and spectacular mental gymnastics – like when Gary Neville responded to the Heaton Park killings by bemoaning the blokes putting Union flags on lampposts, or when Green MP Hannah Spencer blamed the 2017 Manchester Arena bombing on the ‘division’ generated by Reform UK.
The arguments are almost too stupid to rebut. Apparently, Jihad al-Shamie only decided to lunge at Jews with a knife because he was made to feel ‘unwelcome’ by the sight of our national flag, and Salman Abedi only blew up girls at a pop concert because he stumbled across one of Nigel Farage’s old speeches to the European Parliament.
These are just the more low-wattage attempts to defend the indefensible. Jew hatred is back. But our rulers cannot compute it, let alone fight it. For that would require ditching their comforting ideologies, their identitarian blinkers, their deranged Israelophobia. It would mean accepting that they are part of the problem.
The firebombing of the ambulances is a case in point. We saw it in the Manchester synagogue stabbings and in all likelihood, we have seen it again: unbridled antisemitic incitement has consequences. Ever since October 7, our country has been debased by weekly carnivals of Jew-hatred on our streets, powered in large part by the Muslim Brotherhood and its allies. Yet when Suella Braverman labelled them “hate marches”, it was she who was silenced rather than the racist agitators.Daniel Sugarman: Golders Green, antisemitism and Passover
Once again, even as the ambulances smoulder, the same propaganda is all over social media. If the Jews hadn’t tried to defend themselves against the jihadi hordes of Hamas and the Islamic regime in Tehran, if they had simply rolled over and joined Kier Starmer in bleating that vanquishing your enemy is “against international law”, they claim, then ambulances would not be firebombed in London.
Such are the foul consequences of lies. Such is their weaponisation. Such are the results of fanning the flames of hatred for years, or taking no action when it happens under our noses.
There was no “genocide” in Gaza – which genocide features evacuation warnings and humanitarian aid? Which genocide involves soldiers fighting hand-to-hand in tunnels to avoid harming civilians when the Strip could easily have been levelled from the air? – just as there are no “war crimes” in Iran.
Saturate people’s brains with footage of the appalling sufferings of war, however, and deceitfully frame it as evidence of atrocities, and lies have borne the fruit of hatred. Even our political leaders are not immune. With one eye on the Muslim vote, which is increasingly functioning as an anti-democratic sectarian bloc in a contribution to our social decline, the Prime Minister recognised a state of Palestine with the Israeli hostages still in the catacombs, earning the open congratulations of Hamas.
About ten days later, two Jews were killed in Manchester, again to the great satisfaction of the jihadis in Gaza. When David Lammy turned up to offer his condolences, he was heckled by the grieving Jews of Manchester, and with good reason.
What does all of this amount to? Simple: Britain faces a choice. Either we find the courage to look the Islamists in the eye and tell them that enough is enough, or we see the disappearance of our Jewish community and the gradual fall of our democracy. If that sounds alarmist, look back at history. Read the 2015 government report on the Muslim Brotherhood, which labelled the group a national security threat and yet resulted in no action.
As Israeli prime minister Golda Meir famously said, “they say we must be dead. And we say we want to be alive. Between life and death, I don’t know of a compromise.” Does Britain wish to stand on the side of the ambulances that seek to save us, or the arsonists who fetishise blood? Disturbingly, the country is finding it hard to make up its mind.
In a little more than a week, we will sit at the Passover table to conduct the seder. We will tell our children the story of the Exodus from Egypt. The people of Israel were honoured in Egypt – Joseph served as the Imperial viceroy – until it all came crashing down. What happened? The book of Exodus, quoted in the Haggadah, the telling over of the Passover story, tells us. “A new king arose, who did not know Joseph”. Did he literally not know who Joseph was? Unlikely. But Joseph – and his service to Egypt, helping protect the populace from the ravages of famine – meant nothing to him. The Bible goes into detail about what was the first instance of antisemitism in history – the charge, repeated so many times down the millennia, of dual loyalty.
“Let us deal wisely with them”, says Pharaoh to his people. “In case they increase in number and a war befall us and they join our enemies and wage war against us.”
A little later on in the Haggadah, we will read the paragraph of Vehi Sheamdah, which says “in every generation, our enemies rise up to destroy us”. It would be taken as paranoia were it not demonstrably true. The last few years have seen a sickening sanitisation of Jew hate in public life. In an era where every antisemitic attack is followed by a tidal wave of accusations of false flags and dual loyalty, where Jews are blamed for the very attacks they are targeted by, this takes on a new meaning.
That paragraph of the Haggadah ends by saying “and the Holy One, blessed be he, rescues us from their hands.” Returning momentarily to my charedi upbringing, the word for “rescues us” – matzilenu – has the same Hebrew root as the name of the organisation whose ambulances were firebombed – hatzola – literally, “rescue”. At the time I write this, more than £1 million has been been raised for Hatzola NW, raised by thousands of people, Jewish and non-Jewish alike – and the government has pledged to replace all the ambulances that were destroyed.
Those who seek to intimidate us and bring us down will find it far harder to do so than they think.
Suicide by Timidity
There is a particular kind of comfort in the phrase no imminent threat, a talking point that has gained prominence with the joint U.S.-Israeli military operation against Iran. For opponents of the operation, on the left and the right, the phrase serves as evidence that the rationale for attacking Iran is fraudulent. It functions both as a linguistic sedative—whispered by bureaucrats and pundits to assure a nervous public that the wolf is not yet at the door—and as an assertion that any military action at this time constitutes reckless and unnecessary warmongering. It is the language of “principled restraint,” a rhetorical shield used across the ideological spectrum, from the skepticism of Sens. Mark Warner and Elizabeth Warren to the isolationist critiques of Tucker Carlson and Rand Paul. But beneath the surface of this bipartisan consensus lies a profound psychological pathology.Israel Is America's Best Ally - We Must Reject the Evil of Antisemitism
By reducing the complexity of strategic judgment to a single, binary metric—Is an attack occurring right this second?—we have traded genuine security for a dangerous, and ultimately temporary, emotional relief.
In the realm of behavioral economics, this tendency is known as “present bias” or “hyperbolic discounting.” Humans are hardwired to undervalue future risks in favor of present comforts. For a modern populace, the “immediate reward” of social stability today—no sirens, no mobilization, no disruption of the daily routine—is so intoxicating that we are willing to accept the “delayed punishment” of an adversary completing a nuclear facility that renders future defense impossible. Avoiding military action delivers an instant hit of political relief, while the catastrophic risks of inaction remain deferred and abstract. We are, in effect, choosing a quiet today at the cost of a radioactive tomorrow.
This cognitive trap is reinforced by a legal doctrine that has failed to keep pace with the physics of modern slaughter. The traditional formulation for anticipatory self-defense emerged from the Caroline incident of 1837, when Canadian militia, under British authority, crossed into the United States and destroyed the Caroline, an American steamer that had been used by sympathetic Americans to supply Canadian rebels, nearly setting off a crisis between the United States and Great Britain. The legal theory, articulated in the diplomatic correspondence between U.S. Secretary of State Daniel Webster and British envoy to the U.S. Lord Ashburton, required a threat to be “instant, overwhelming, leaving no choice of means, and no moment for deliberation.” In the mid-19th century, when armies moved at the speed of a horse, and mobilization was a visible, weeks-long process involving steamships and infantry, this standard was a workable safeguard against adventurism.
But we no longer live in the world of the Caroline. Modern warfare has compressed the timeline of destruction into a digital pulse. Ballistic missiles, cyberwarfare, and nuclear enrichment programs have eliminated the visible “mobilization phase” of old. Today, an adversary can achieve a “breakthrough” that permanently alters the strategic balance before a single soldier crosses a border.
Legal scholars like Daniel Bethlehem have proposed a necessary evolution: Imminence must be assessed contextually. It must weigh the probability of an attack, the pattern of hostile conduct and, most critically, the “last window of opportunity” to act. As Mark L. Rockefeller has argued, equating imminent with immediate risks transforms the sacred right of self-defense into a “strategic suicide pact.” If we wait until the missile is airborne to satisfy a 19th-century definition of timing, we have already lost.
The stunning and ominous rise in antisemitism in the U.S. cannot be disputed, but can be resisted. It is particularly the obligation of genuine Christians to participate in the repression through education of the ancient evil. It is the particular obligation of Christian institutions to do their part in making this sin once again an obvious source of shame and to help cure those who suffer from it and, where it cannot be cured, to force it back by shaming and shunning into the deepest shadows where it belongs.Criticizing Israel in Wartime
In a dangerous world, even the dominant superpower - the U.S. - needs allies. Israel is, objectively, the most important ally of the U.S. It is the equal of any military on the globe in its ability to strike far and hard and to dominate its region. It's an intelligence superpower and an engine of technological excellence and ever-increasing breakthroughs. If any country had to pick one strong ally not named the U.S., it would pick Israel.
Israel is also a reliable and fully-integrated-into-our-military ally. Israel takes what the U.S. makes and improves on it, as had been the case with the F-35 fighter. It sometimes takes the rudiments of a technology and develops them to scale and deploys them, as with Iron Dome and soon Iron Beam. Those advancements will return to America as the Golden Dome and the Golden Beam.
Finally, and perhaps most importantly, Israel shares America's founding values of individual liberty and democratic governance. Freedom of speech is as robust there as it is here. Human rights are respected there as they are here. It is a "Western nation" in every respect.
According to a survey by the Institute for National Security Studies, 91% of Israeli Jews support the war against Iran, which most view as a battle for Israel's very right to exist. Israel's American critics say Iran does not present an imminent threat.
In practice, Iran's ballistic missile program was growing at a rapid rate and becoming an extreme threat to Israel, of which we are now getting an initial "taste." Iran was also building new nuclear facilities at Natanz and Isfahan and would eventually have unearthed the 400 kg. of highly enriched uranium, sufficient for the first 10 bombs.
Part of adulthood is the ability to put one's overall political preferences aside and assess specific issues on their merits. Trump and Netanyahu are doing an effective job of severely degrading a major threat to American security and an existential one to Israel's. On this they deserve our support and appreciation.
The critics have never had to cower in their shelters and safe rooms, grab their kids off the swings in a playground during an alert, or jump into a ditch on the highway. They rarely served in the IDF or sent their children to serve. They have never spent three or more years of sleepless nights, worrying whether their sons - and increasingly daughters - who serve in combat units are all right. Most American Jews have never lived in a country in which one is rarely out of sight of the nearest hostile border.
They have never had to live for decades in the face of existential threats and the knowledge that Israel's enemies would annihilate its civilian population if ever given the opportunity, as proven so tragically on Oct. 7. They have never had to live with continuous terrorism and repeatedly had to call the cell phones of loved ones to make sure they were okay after another barbarous attack.
If you care deeply about Israel and want to have a positive impact, support AIPAC. It may not be perfect, but it is the only pro-Israel lobby.
Monday, March 23, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
On February 24, 2022 — the first day of Russia's invasion of Ukraine — a Russian Tochka ballistic missile with a cluster munition warhead struck outside a hospital in Vuhledar, killing four civilians and wounding ten, six of them healthcare workers. HRW published a full report the very next day. It named the victims, interviewed the hospital's chief doctor, identified the weapon from remnants, and laid out the legal case under customary international humanitarian law — noting that Russia's non-signatory status to the 2008 Convention on Cluster Munitions was no excuse, since the prohibition on indiscriminate attacks applies to all parties regardless of treaty status. HRW's arms director Steve Goose called it "unlawful" and demanded Russia stop immediately.
It has now been three weeks since Iran shot its first cluster bomb missile at Israeli civilians, and HRW has not written a word.
Since February 28, 2026, Iran has fired approximately 850 ballistic missiles at Israel. According to the IDF Home Front Command, roughly 50 percent of those missiles — approximately 425 — have been armed with cluster munition warheads, releasing between 24 and 80 submunitions each across areas of up to 10 square kilometers. CNN's analysis of two separate Iranian cluster munition attacks confirmed impacts spread across areas of seven and eight miles respectively, falling at random on homes, businesses, roads and parks. The IDF has had to instruct Israeli citizens not to approach unexploded ordnance after attacks, because the duds function as landmines. Arms expert N.R. Jenzen-Jones of Armament Research Services reviewed the pattern of strikes and concluded that these warheads have no "clear military purpose" and are being used "primarily to sow terror amongst a civilian population."
Israelis have been killed by these bombs. Yaron and Ilana Moshe, a couple in their seventies in Ramat Gan, were killed after a cluster warhead struck their building. Two construction workers were struck by submunitions at a work site in Yehud. Nine civilians were killed in a single strike on a residential neighborhood in Beit Shemesh. Three women were killed in a beauty salon in Beit Awwa. A Thai agricultural worker was killed by submunition shrapnel at Moshav Adanim. In total, at least 18 Israelis have been killed and over 3,700 wounded by Iranian attacks — the vast majority involving cluster munitions.
HRW has not found the time to write a single word about these.
The weapons Iran is using against Israel fall squarely within the definition of cluster munitions under the Convention on Cluster Munitions: conventional munitions designed to disperse explosive submunitions each weighing less than 20 kilograms. Iranian warheads carry submunitions of approximately 8 kilograms each. Iranian warheads carry between 24 and 80 submunitions with no self-destruct capability. Iran, like Russia, has not signed the convention. As with Russia, that is legally beside the point: the customary IHL prohibition on indiscriminate attacks applies regardless.
HRW wrote about and condemned a single cluster bomb missile in Ukraine within one day. They have not written about Iran's hundreds of similar missiles targeting Israeli civilians in three weeks.
What it has published on Israeli conduct in this war includes a report calling Israeli white phosphorus use in an evacuated Lebanese town "unlawful" — despite HRW's own admission that it could not verify a single civilian was present. It includes a report on the Minab school strike that keeps Israel in the headline despite Israel's denial and overwhelming evidence of American responsibility. And it includes a general statement from February 28 noting that HRW was "currently investigating" all parties — an investigation that, three weeks later, has produced reports exclusively targeting Israeli and American conduct.
HRW did publish one report on Iranian attacks on civilians in this war: a March 17 investigation documenting Iranian drone and missile attacks on Gulf states — Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia. Those attacks killed approximately 21 civilians across all those countries combined.
As far as I can tell, none of the missiles exploded in the Gulf states included cluster munitions.
Human Rights Watch co-founded and chairs the Cluster Munition Coalition. It has spent decades building the legal and advocacy architecture that makes cluster munition use a recognized war crime. It applied that architecture to Russia within 24 hours of a single strike killing four people. It has declined to apply it to Iran after 425 strikes over three weeks killing and wounding thousands.
That is not an oversight. An organization with HRW's expertise and institutional focus on cluster munitions does not accidentally fail to notice 425 ballistic missile cluster strikes on a civilian population. It notices. It chooses not to report.
The question that follows — why — is one HRW should be asked to answer publicly. But the pattern itself, across this conflict and others, already contains the answer.
|
"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024) PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022) |
![]() |
Monday, March 23, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
The body of the report quietly dismantles HRW's own conclusion.
The prohibition HRW invokes is specific: white phosphorus used as an incendiary weapon is unlawful when deployed in or near concentrations of civilians. That's the operative requirement under Protocol III of the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons, and under the customary IHL principles HRW cites for states like Israel that haven't ratified the protocol.
If there are no civilians, it is not unlawful.
Here is what HRW's own report says about civilian presence in Yohmor on March 3:
"Human Rights Watch has not verified whether people were in the area or injured as a result of white phosphorus use."
That single sentence, buried in the body of the report, should have ended the legal analysis. HRW cannot establish that the munitions were used "over concentrations of civilians" — their exact words in the conclusion — while simultaneously admitting they don't know if anyone was there.
HRW acknowledges that Israel's Arabic-language military spokesperson Avichay Adraee issued an evacuation order for Yohmor and 50 surrounding villages at 5:27 a.m. on March 3, ordering residents to move at least 1,000 meters outside village boundaries. He repeated the warning at 12:12 p.m.
Two things follow from this. First, Israel had clear awareness that Yohmor was a populated area — this wasn't an oversight. Second, the repetition of the warning before any strike indicates Israel was actively waiting for the town to clear. A military operating with indifference to civilian life doesn't issue the same evacuation order twice.
HRW tries to reframe the warnings as themselves potentially unlawful, arguing elsewhere that Israel's evacuation orders across southern Lebanon may constitute forced displacement. That's a separate legal argument about displacement policy (and a contested one) but it cannot substitute for the absent evidence of civilian presence required to sustain the white phosphorus charge. You can't simultaneously argue that Israel's evacuation orders were so effective they caused mass displacement of 300,000 people, and also that civilians were concentrated in Yohmor when Israel fired.
Even more telling was HRW's update to the report. It carries an editor's note: "March 9, 2026: This version of the news release was updated to accurately reflect the number of images verified and geolocated by Human Rights Watch." In other words, HRW found it important to correct a peripheral detail about its image count.
What the update does not include is the Israeli military's response, reported by the Associated Press: that Israel is "currently unaware and cannot confirm use of shells that contain white phosphorous in Lebanon as claimed," and that "any weapons that contain white phosphorus are used in line with international law." That denial is directly responsive to the report's central legal claim. Updating the number of images examined that appear nowhere in the core argument while omitting the Israeli military's on-record denial of the report's headline conclusion shows that HRW has the ability to update reports with new information - and chose not to include Israel's denial.
Also omitted from HRW's report is the fact that Hezbollah is known to operate from Yohmor - and that it uses civilian infrastructure. Somehow HRW is not concerned with that violation of the laws of war.
The structure here follows a pattern that we've documented from NGOs across multiple conflicts: the legal conclusion is written first, and the factual record is assembled around it. When the facts don't cooperate — as they don't here — the gap is bridged with hedged language that the headline doesn't reflect.
"Unlawfully" is a serious word. It implies a finding that specific legal standards were violated by specific acts. HRW's own reporting establishes that Israel warned the civilian population twice, that no civilians have been confirmed present, and that no injuries have been confirmed. Under the law HRW itself cites, that is not an unlawful attack on civilians. There is no evidence it was an attack on civilians at all.
A human rights organization that reaches legal conclusions its own evidence doesn't support isn't doing human rights work. In this case, it is anti-Israel propaganda that it disguises as a human rights report.
|
"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024) PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022) |
![]() |
John Spencer: The rise of the ‘leadership first’ strike — and why it’s so important in warfare
The Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz described war as a contest of wills between political communities. His framework assumed friction, uncertainty, and resilient command structures under pressure.To Fulfill Iran War's Objectives, More Time Is Required
What he did not imagine was a world in which the senior political and military leadership directing a war might be physically targeted in the opening minutes of conflict through integrated intelligence and precision strike.
The objective of these strikes is not simply destruction. It is a disruption.
For decades, opening strikes focused on suppressing air defenses, destroying aircraft on the ground, and degrading infrastructure. The goal was to weaken an enemy’s military capacity.
Today, some states are experimenting with something different: targeting the leadership directing the war itself.
That possibility introduces a new dimension to deterrence.
If adversaries believe their political and military leadership could be struck in the opening phase of a conflict, the personal risks of initiating war change. Deterrence has traditionally relied on threatening damage to territory, forces, or infrastructure. Leadership vulnerability adds another layer to that calculation.
This capability is not omnipotent. Intelligence can fail. Targets can escape. Succession structures can absorb the loss of leaders.
But the increasing ability to locate and strike senior leadership rapidly at the outset of conflict represents an important shift in how wars may begin.
For centuries, eliminating a supreme leader was usually the end of a war.
In the emerging character of modern conflict, it may sometimes become the opening move.
The regime in Iran continues to function and fight, largely because the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively taken control of the state and is directing the war effort.Iran Believes It's Winning and Wants a Steep Price to End the War
Both Israel and the U.S. seek to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, ideally permanently, and to deny it the ability to develop and produce ballistic missiles and drones in quantities and sophistication that no defense system could counter. These are the two existential threats the war is meant to eliminate, at least for years, even if the current regime survives.
Israel is acting across multiple channels to create conditions in which the Iranian people will want and be able to take control of their fate. Efforts to weaken the regime include targeted strikes against security officials and political leaders, and attacks on Basij and Revolutionary Guard facilities.
Israeli officials report results including defections, particularly among Basij members. At the same time, efforts are underway to organize opposition groups and encourage public protests. According to informed sources, these efforts are beginning to bear fruit.
Iran has learned lessons from previous confrontations and prepared well for the current war. It dispersed its military assets geographically and granted local commanders authority to act based on pre-set directives. It moved critical assets underground, including nuclear laboratories, ballistic missiles and launchers, drones, and even fast attack boats. Iran also divided the country into 31 ballistic missile commands, each with independent launch authority. Iran has also moved much of its nuclear weapons program infrastructure underground.
Israel is targeting Iran's missile, launcher, and drone production infrastructure spread across the country. The air force will likely need at least two more weeks to achieve a satisfactory level of damage. Meanwhile, interception rates by Israel's air defense systems have risen from over 85% to more than 90%.
In both Iran and Lebanon, significant achievements have already been made. But for the war's objectives to be largely fulfilled and for those gains to endure for years, more time is required.
Three weeks into the war, the Iranian regime is signaling that it believes it is winning and has the power to impose a settlement on Washington that entrenches Tehran's dominance of Middle East energy resources for decades to come.
Despite optimistic U.S. and Israeli pronouncements, Iran has retained the ability to fire dozens of ballistic missiles, and many more drones, every day across the Middle East. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf's chokepoint, remains only possible with Iranian permission. Surging oil and gas prices are exacting growing pain on economies worldwide.
Tehran has pledged that it will agree to a ceasefire only if Washington and the Gulf states pay a steep price. The spokesman of the Iranian Parliament's foreign affairs and defense committee, Ebrahim Rezaei, said any talks with the U.S. are off the agenda as Tehran "focuses on punishing the aggressors."
"This hubris is dangerous because they are not smart enough to understand that President Trump will never let them win. They don't understand how far he's willing to go," said Jason Greenblatt, who served as the White House special envoy for the Middle East. "The cost of not taking care of the problem will be many times more expensive over many, many years."
Demands voiced by Iranian leaders in recent days as conditions for ending the war include massive reparations from the U.S. and its allies and the expulsion of American military forces from the region. They have also called for transforming the Strait of Hormuz - an international waterway where free navigation is guaranteed under international law - into an Iranian toll booth controlling 1/3 of the world's shipborne crude oil. It is hard to imagine the U.S. - or the Gulf states - accepting such an arrangement.
Sunday, March 22, 2026
Sunday, March 22, 2026
Elder of Ziyon
Three weeks in, the U.S. military has struck more than 8,000 targets. Iran's air defenses are almost completely destroyed, its command structure decimated, its proxy network in tatters. By any military measure, Iran is losing.
And yet you wouldn't know it from the coverage.
The New York Times tells us Iran has "shown no sign of backing down." The Wall Street Journal runs a sophisticated piece explaining why Tehran "believes it is winning." CNN elevates a disgraced former official's claim that Israel dragged America into war. The Associated Press makes that claim its headline.
This is Iran's cognitive war — and it is being fought largely with Western reporting, on Western platforms, by Western journalists.
The strategy is straightforward. Iran cannot defeat the U.S. military. It can, however, convince Western publics that the war is unwinnable, that the pain is unsustainable, and even that someone reasonable is waiting on the other side of a negotiating table. If that perception takes hold, political pressure does what Iranian missiles cannot.
What Iran needs to sustain this strategy is amplification it cannot provide itself. Iranian state media has no credibility with Western audiences. But the New York Times, CNN and AP do.
They are doing Iran's job for them.
The mechanism was caught in real time last week. When former counterterrorism official Joe Kent resigned and appeared on Tucker Carlson's show to claim that Israel had manipulated America into war, HonestReporting's AI Labs tracked what happened next. Within minutes, Russian state outlet RT was amplifying the specific claim. Pro-Iran networks followed, using language lifted directly from Iranian state framing. Pakistani, Kashmiri, and Latin American accounts joined the cascade. Identical phrasing appeared across multiple platforms simultaneously — a signature of coordinated inauthentic behavior, not organic virality.
And then CNN ran it as the central takeaway. AP made it a headline. ABC followed with nearly identical framing.
No Iranian handler called a CNN producer. They didn't have to. State-linked Iranian allies identify the useful narrative, amplify it to salience, and let Western news values — conflict, dissent, "both sides," and a natural aversion to anything Trump supports — do the rest. By the time it's a headline, the origin is invisible.
Iran's cognitive war rests on an implicit premise: that there is someone to negotiate with, some reasonable outcome available if only Washington would stop the bombs. This premise is false, and its falseness points to something the coverage almost entirely ignores.
Israel's decapitation campaign worked. The leaders who had the credibility, relationships, and political capital to engineer a compromise even if they wanted to are dead.
What remains are survivors who don't have the clout, the charisma or the imagination to do anything but to continue with their predecessors' intransigence. There was and is no Iranian Gorbachev waiting in the wings, and such a figure is not possible, because the Islamic Republic's foundational ideology requires permanent hostility to Israel and America.
This means Iran's triumphalist rhetoric — Foreign Minister Araghchi calling Iran "another Vietnam for the U.S." — isn't only foreign-facing propaganda. It's the only internal narrative available. No one left standing has the authority to propose otherwise.
The media reads this as Iran being unbowed. The more accurate read: Iran is trapped. It is burning through finite munitions to sustain an infinite-sounding narrative, with no one authorized to convert even a successful information campaign into an actual settlement.
There is also an argument so obvious it almost goes without saying — which is perhaps why it goes without saying. Iran is, at this moment, attacking civilian infrastructure across the Gulf and in Israel. It is bombing energy facilities in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain and the UAE; shipping through the Strait of Hormuz moves only with Iranian permission.
If the West stops this war before permanent results, this produces an Iran that has learned that attacking civilian targets works - and it will continue to do so. It is the clearest indication of how confusing the cognitive war for the kinetic war results in a worse kinetic war next time.
Countering the cognitive war requires naming it. Not vaguely, but specifically. Here is the claim, here is where it originated, here is how fast it traveled, here is who amplified it, here is what the outlet did with it. The HonestReporting documentation of the Kent cascade is the model.
It also requires insisting on the right metric. Iran has convinced much of the press to measure the war by duration and pain — by that measure, every day that passes is Iranian "resilience." The correct measure is irreversibility. Every destroyed launcher, every dead commander, every degraded node cannot be easily replaced. Iran's ability to do this again is the question. Whether they're still firing today is not.
The kinetic war and the cognitive war are not equivalent. One deals in permanent facts. The other deals in managed perceptions. But if Iran convinces the world that it can maintain its pressure forever and that is cannot be defeated, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Every Western outlet that buys into that narrative is prolonging the conflict, either this round or guaranteeing a next round.
Iran is demonstrating its intentions in real time. The cognitive war asks you not to notice.
|
"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024) PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022) |
![]() |
Elder of Ziyon



















