Thursday, March 26, 2026

  • Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Elder of Ziyon

I am planning on publishing a full Haggadah, based on the philosophical framework I’ve been developing, within the next few days. There will be over 40 essays similar to this one in the Haggadah. (I am using a different pseudonym.)

If you join my paid tier on Substack, you can access all the individual essays as they are posted over the next few days and the complete Haggadah PDF before Passover. For those who subscribe to EoZ here paying $5 or more per month, I cannot automatically send you the PDF but if you email to me I will try to send it to you before the holiday. 

Here is a sample essay.

כַּרְפַּס — Karpas: Why Hasbara Fails

The Haggadah does not explain what dipping the greens into salt water means. Before we discuss our slavery in Egypt, we say the regular blessing over vegetables, dip them, eat a little – and that’s it.

Of course there are commentaries that explain it. The salt water represents tears. The vegetable represents the initial promise of Egypt — Joseph’s rise, the welcome his family received, the children of Israel settling in the fertile land of Goshen. What began as abundance ended in the tears of slavery and grief.

We haven’t said a word about the Passover story yet. We have not yet discussed Egypt or Pharaoh or the plagues. And yet here, before the narrative begins, without any explanation in the text, we taste the tears of our ancestors.

The sequence is deliberate: we experience the emotional truth of the story in our bodies before we encounter it in words.

Modern Jews tend to intellectualize. When faced with hostility to Israel or other antisemitism, our instinct is to reach for the argument — whether it is the historical record, the legal case, or the moral comparison. The assumption is that people are essentially rational, and that if you present the facts clearly enough and the logic is sound, minds will change. This assumption is almost entirely wrong, and its failure has a name: hasbara.

The research on how people actually form and change beliefs is unambiguous and humbling. Most people do not reason their way to their positions — they feel their way there first and then recruit reasoning afterward to justify what they already believe. Emotion precedes cognition. The body registers before the mind processes. Arguments that arrive without emotional grounding do not usually persuade. For people who have already become emotionally wedded to a narrative, when presented with facts that prove them wrong, they tend to double down on their beliefs. Psychologists even have a name for this: the “backfire effect.”

The authors of the Haggadah understood this with remarkable clarity. They did not open the Seder with the theological argument for why the Exodus matters, or the historical evidence that it occurred, or the philosophical case for Jewish peoplehood. They opened it with a taste of salt water on the tongue. The body is enrolled before the mind is asked to engage. By the time the arguments come — and they come in abundance in Maggid — the person at the table has already been moved. The intellectual grounding lands in soil that has been prepared to receive it.

None of this is anti-intellectual. The Haggadah is one of the most intellectually dense texts in the Jewish canon — full of debate, exegesis, competing interpretations, and deliberate provocation. Truth matters enormously. But truth that is only argued and never felt reaches only the people already disposed to accept it. The rest need the salt water first.

We cannot understand slavery by reading about it from a comfortable distance. We cannot transmit the experience of persecution through a PowerPoint presentation. We cannot make people care about Jewish history by reciting it at them. We must find ways to make it felt — in the body, in the imagination, in the gut — before we make the case in the mind.

We dip before we read. We taste before we tell. The tears come first.



Buy EoZ's books  on Amazon!

"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024)

PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022)

   
 

 


From Ian:

Time for non-Jews to call out this hatred
I find myself emailing Jewish colleagues, “So sorry for abuse you’re suffering”, when I read comments on social media. But it happens so regularly I can’t keep up. I fear becoming desensitised. Gentiles aren’t included in WhatsApp groups where Jews discuss escape plans to New Zealand. The young aren’t going to call out this racism. Their cause is Palestine. Greta Thunberg, like most of her generation, appears to equate Jews collectively with the Israeli government. It doesn’t matter how many times Jewish friends and colleagues apologise for atrocities occurring in the Middle East, how often they distance themselves from Binyamin Netanyahu’s wars — it’s not enough for some unless they disown the state of Israel and disavow Zionism.

Hate crimes against Muslims are now twice as likely to result in prosecution as offences against Jews, yet Jews are nearly ten times as likely to be the targets of these attacks, according to Home Office figures. The number of schools marking Holocaust Memorial Day is down 60 per cent since the October 7 massacre in 2023. Jews aren’t considered victims any more.

Sir Keir Starmer says little, he’s too compromised. This half-term he slipped away to visit Auschwitz with his wife, Victoria, who is Jewish, and their children. “Antisemitism has no place in our society,” he said stiffly this week, but it is clear he is anxious about offending both the Muslim and youth vote as the government fast-tracks a new definition of Islamophobia. The Green leader Zack Polanski has mentioned his Jewish heritage yet is more fixated on his party’s vote this week on the motion “Zionism is racism”. The new Archbishop of Canterbury, Sarah Mullally, needs to speak up for Britain’s Jews. It was Jewish News that reached out last week to show a British sense of tolerance in supporting Muslims celebrating Iftar in Trafalgar Square.

I am nominally Church of England but my creed is acceptance and respect for all faiths that adhere to our country’s values. I never thought we could be like the communities in Kyiv, Lviv, Salonika and Amsterdam in the last century who allowed their Jewish brethren to be shunned and then attacked before being annihilated. Standing by and saying nothing now corrodes us all.
The everyday heroism of our Jewish children
It’s primary school. 12:30. Sun is shining. Some of the kids are having lunch, others are out in the playground. The climbing frame is full, the football pitch is buzzing, kids are running around playing ultimate tag. There’s a lunchtime netball club in the hall. This is the primary school of every kid in the UK. But this is where the familiarity for the general population ends.

The alarm goes off. It takes a second, but the kids know exactly what to do. They’ve practised for this very moment. This alarm isn’t the fire alarm. It’s the other one. The one where you have to stay safe, stay down, and stay silent. Thirty seconds later the entire school has locked down. Out of sight. Four to eleven year-olds sitting without making a sound. A minute goes by. Then the next, then the next. Seconds feel like hours. The teachers don’t know any more than the kids, but they have to keep them calm. They have to keep them quiet. Because the alternative is unthinkable.

Finally, the all clear sounds. It was a false alarm. Everyone breathes out.

And the kids? They just go back to the rest of the day like nothing happened.

I just finished watching Crossfire on BBC iplayer. It’s harrowing. Gunmen attack a hotel. Families, kids, running everywhere. But all I could think (and it was wildly depressing) was, “my kids would know what to do. If I told them it was an intruder alarm, they’d know what to do”. And that awkward lump in my throat, the slight tear in my eye, grew just slightly bigger.

Every kid at a Jewish school walks past the security, and often the police outside their school, and instead of turning to their parent and asking why these people are here, they just say good morning. Because it’s normal. But it’s not, is it? It’s not normal to be surprised when the front gate is open rather than locked shut. It’s not normal to have your bag searched going into a Jewish community centre. It’s not normal for my son’s teacher to have to skip a section of CBBC Newsround because it might hit a bit too close to home.

It’s not normal for every single synagogue in the country, every Jewish school, every Jewish building, every Jewish event to have security stood outside large gates and fences. And it’s not normal for my kids to think it’s normal.

And this isn’t just some sort of over-reaction. The threat is real. This month alone there has been an attack against a Jewish “cheder” school in Amsterdam, an attack on a synagogue in Michigan which housed a nursery, arrests of Iranians accused of spying on Jewish locations (including a school) in London, and of course the firebombing attack on the Hatzola ambulances in Golders Green.
Police chief who responded to Detroit synagogue attack targeted by online vitriol
During a press conference last Thursday, organized to address rising antisemitism in the wake of the ramming attack on Temple Israel in Detroit earlier this month, the Oakland County sheriff who helped organize the police response to the incident announced the arrest of what seemed like the latest perpetrator: an individual who had posted an antisemitic meme ridiculing the sheriff.

Sheriff Mike Bouchard displayed the image, featuring his face altered to include a Star of David over his forehead and payot, the sidelocks worn by some Jewish men, dangling near his ears.

“Some pond scum felt empowered and emboldened enough to put this picture of me up to try to threaten and intimidate me,” Bouchard, who is not Jewish, said during the press conference. “And by the way, the person that did this said a bunch of terrible things, not just against me, but against a lot of groups and individuals, who, by the way, was arrested today in Wisconsin.”

But while the arrest was only briefly mentioned during the press conference, which featured Bouchard and a group of religious leaders, including Rabbi Josh Bennett of Temple Israel, by Tuesday, it had been seized on by thousands of users on X as evidence of censorship and Jewish supremacy.

“Arrested in America for pointing out that a sheriff is jewish,” Jake Shields, a far-right influencer and former MMA champion, wrote in a post on X.

“Jews are murdering free speech in America,” wrote another influencer.
From Ian:

WSJ Editorial: More Evidence that U.S. Was Right to Act before Iranian Missile Threat Grew
The rulers in Iran are hoping to move the war to a theater more favorable to their side: the negotiating table. But one of Iran's nonstarter demands is an unconstrained missile program - days after the regime fired at the American and British military base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.

The launch is "the furthest ever attempted Iranian missile strike," the Institute for the Study of War notes. "The attack demonstrated that Iranian missiles can reach beyond the 2,000-km. limit that the regime has long claimed to have self-imposed." Diego Garcia is about double that distance from Iran.

For all the derision about "a war of choice," Mr. Trump was correct to act before Iranian missiles grow in number, range and accuracy. The reach underscores that the missile program isn't merely Israel's problem. The Iranians clearly aspire to put European cities in play, and eventually the U.S. homeland too. The shots fired at Diego Garcia are a moment of clarity about America's enemies.
Bret Stephens: The War Is Going Better than You Think
In March 2012, the price of Brent crude closed at $123 a barrel - $175 a barrel in today's dollars.

As of Tuesday, despite Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and its attacks on its neighbors' energy facilities, the price is hovering around $100.

That ought to provide some perspective on the panic over the price of oil.

During the 1991 Operation Desert Storm against Iraq's Saddam Hussein, a campaign widely considered a brilliant military success, the U.S.-led coalition lost 75 aircraft, 42 of them in combat.

In the conflict with Iran, four manned aircraft have been destroyed, three to friendly fire and one in an accident. Not a single manned plane has yet been lost over Iran.

In 1991, Iraq fired 39 missiles toward Israel. Hardly any were intercepted despite the deployment of Patriot batteries there. In this war, Israel is registering an interception rate of 92% against more than 400 missiles.

One of the worst mistakes of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan was the attempt by the U.S. to remake societies in both countries.

In this war, we hope the Iranian people use the opportunity of their leadership's weakness to seize their own destiny. But we won't do it for them.

If past generations could see how well this war has gone compared with the ones they were compelled to fight at a frightening cost, they would marvel at their posterity's comparative good fortune.
Why the Iran War Should Not Cause Higher Gas Prices in the U.S.
America does not depend on oil sent through the Strait of Hormuz and its closure does not provide any good reason for U.S. consumers to face big increases in gas prices.

The U.S. produces more oil than it needs and is a net exporter of oil. Problems in the Strait need not change the amount of oil produced in the U.S., nor the cost of pumping oil in the U.S., nor the amount of gasoline produced and used in the U.S.

When prices recently increased for oil internationally, U.S. oil companies also raised prices stateside, but this makes no sense.

The net result is that U.S. consumers pay more for gasoline, while American oil companies' production costs are the same, providing a huge profit windfall.

There are differences in types of oil in the U.S., but that does not alter the logic. Most of the oil produced in the U.S. is "light." But some U.S. refineries use "heavy" oil.

That means that the U.S. trades about 30% percent of its light oil for heavy oil, predominantly from Canada and Mexico.

Under a long-term understanding between America and its oil companies, the companies are given many privileges, including on public lands, and they are supposed to provide reliable production for America's needs, at fair and reasonably stable prices.

There is no legitimate basis for U.S. oil and gasoline companies to set prices in America any higher than they were last month.

Once gas prices decline in the U.S., perhaps the IRGC will realize that keeping the Strait closed would harm China, India and Japan, not America - and they might reopen the Strait.

Wednesday, March 25, 2026


Understand this about me: on the best of days, I hate phone calls and Zoom meetings — I can’t backspace over my tongue or my appearance, and I’d much prefer to hide behind my keyboard.

So it was with some trepidation that I set up a virtual meeting with someone in a professional capacity; someone I’d never met before, a stranger. I get very angsty about these things, not to mention the fact that all of us here in Israel are exhausted from the war. Alerts in the morning. Alerts during my afternoon cat nap (or my attempt at one). An alert at midnight and one at 3 am followed by sirens.

As the meeting grows closer, I become nervous. What if there’s an alert that a missile is coming, or worse, a siren, telling me to run to the safe room. What if she hears?

What would I say? Do?

I was becoming more nervous by the minute. Then I had a great idea. I would Ask ChatGPT for advice.

I typed out my situation — a virtual meeting with a woman in the US who had no idea I was in Israel, worried that alerts or sirens might interrupt — and it delivered exactly what I needed: a coolheaded script, a compilation of polite, not-lying phrases for awkward, surreal moments:


I’m so sorry—I have an urgent situation here that I need to deal with immediately. I’m going to have to stop here and reschedule.”

“Apologies, something just came up on my end that requires my full attention. Can we pick this up at another time?”

“I’m really sorry to cut this short—an unexpected situation just came up here and I need to step away. Let’s reschedule.”

“There’s an emergency situation locally—I need to step away.”

If pressed later: “Everything’s fine now, just something local that needed my attention.”

ChatGPT reassured me that I was taking the right path, “You’re not lying — you’re just not volunteering details.”

And that was the oddest thing. I am proud to be a Jew, but was afraid to think how this stranger might react once she knew who I was. I don’t like confrontation, and I worry about letting my employer down. At the same time, I knew I was being ridiculous.

In the end, of course, the meeting went off without a hitch. There were no alerts or sirens. The woman was young and enthusiastic about her product, a remarkable app for keeping kids safe on the internet.

I had probably worried for nothing. I let out the breath I’d been holding in for what seemed like hours. I was so relieved. It felt like I’d passed some kind of test.

I’m just not sure what subject it was in.



Buy EoZ's books  on Amazon!

"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024)

PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022)

   
 

 

  • Wednesday, March 25, 2026
  • Elder of Ziyon
I will spend the next few days finishing a new Haggadah based on my philosophical framework, Derechology. I plan to post the individual commentaries on my Substack for paid subscribers, and then send the complete Haggadah as a PDF to all of them before Passover so they can print it for their Seders.

There will be over 30 essays similar to this one in the Haggadah.

Here is a preview, free for everyone.

If you join my paid tier on Substack, you will receive all the individual essays as they are posted, and the complete Haggadah PDF before Passover. If you subscribe to EoZ here on Blogspot and pay more than $8 a month, I can email the Haggadah to you when it is finished early next week upon request. 

Hope you enjoy it!
From Ian:

Jonathan Tobin: The Islamophobia narrative is about erasing Jews and antisemitism
Americans have good reason to fear the spread of hatred that has become normative in nations where Islamists dominate. That is why immigration and even refugee absorption from such countries is so problematic, because it leads to an influx of people who are largely indoctrinated in beliefs that are antithetical to the values of Western civilization and invariably antisemitic.

Nor, contrary to the Times, is fear of such groups imposing Muslim religious law (Sharia) on other societies unfounded. That is not merely the historical pattern of Islamic communities, but the reality in Western Europe, where the infusion of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa has resulted in authorities fearing to enforce the law at all in some places. This creates an environment in which Islamist hate crimes can be excused or ignored, and those who protest such policies are treated as troublemakers rather than truth-tellers.

More than anything else, the talk of Islamophobia is a stick with which to beat critics of Islamic hate. It is an attempt to silence those who have the temerity to notice the connection between the antisemitic incitement that is commonplace in Islamist discourse in the West and attempts to intimidate Jews and target them for violence. It is no surprise that every time an act of Islamist violence happens, it is now followed by talk of the need to prevent Islamophobia.

The Times commended, in retrospect, President George W. Bush’s almost obsessive fear of offending Muslims during his administration’s “war on terror.” Bush’s insistence that Islam was “a religion of peace” became something of a joke during his presidency. Two decades later, that knee-jerk effort to deny the obvious about Islamist hate and antisemitism is no longer merely risible. It is a deliberate effort to prevent effective action against the Jew-hatred that has surged throughout American society, largely with the assistance of the same media outlets so determined to decry Islamophobia.

The point of contemporary bigotry and bias against Jews is, as author Dara Horn has written, to erase them and work toward a final solution of eliminating Jewish civilization. The focus on Islamophobia is just that. Those who are serious about actually preventing discrimination and hate shouldn’t fall for this big lie.
Death of a Holocaust denier
Ali Larijani, the 67-year-old former head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, died a terrorist’s death last week. For much of his career, however, he lived as a diplomat, and was feted as one by regional and Western nations alike.

Back in 2007, Larijani addressed the annual Munich Security Conference in Germany. Arriving in the city off the back of a Holocaust-denial conference hosted by the regime in Tehran, Larijani no doubt got a tremendous kick out of telling an audience in Germany, of all places, that it was an “open question” as to whether the Nazi slaughter of 6 million Jews had occurred. He did much the same two years later at Munich in 2009, telling one questioner that Iran’s leaders did not share European “sensitivities” or “perspectives” when it came to querying the veracity of the extermination program.

He would have likely done so again in 2011 had his earlier denialist statements not resulted in a ban on his attendance—a classic example of a European state realizing far too late that to stop the horse from bolting, the stable door would need to be shut first.

In the various high-level roles he held on behalf of the Islamic Republic, chief nuclear negotiator among them, Larijani never lost sight of the regime’s core goal of eliminating the State of Israel. Now that he has himself been eliminated—the latest in a long line of terrorists and terror enablers from Gaza to Lebanon to Iran to have been felled by an Israeli strike since the Oct. 7, 2023 pogrom—the question remains as to whether Iran can continue to be the world’s primary state sponsor of anti-Zionist ideology, assuming that the regime survives the current U.S.-Israeli onslaught in truncated form.

Iran took on that position following the collapse of the Soviet Union and its allied communist states from 1989 onwards. During the Cold War, Soviet anti-Zionism, a central plank of Moscow’s foreign policy, morphed into what I call “antizionism”—a toxic ideology that has never been as strong or as visible as today, nearly four decades after the demise of the USSR. What was being opposed was not Zionism as the vast majority of Jews understood the term, but a defamatory caricature that drew heavily on older antisemitic tropes.

This expressed itself in two principal ways: violence and propaganda.

The Soviets backed the Arab side in the regional wars of 1967 and 1973. They supported various left-wing terrorist groups in Western countries, led by such figures as the Venezuelan militant Ilyich Ramírez Sánchez (also known as “Carlos”), a KGB and East German Stasi asset who operated on behalf of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. And they sponsored a slew of propaganda initiatives, in the form of pamphlets with titles like “Beware: Zionism,” as well as U.N. General Assembly resolutions, among them the infamous equation of Zionism with racism approved by the world body in 1975.
Genocidal Glee
The screenshots below show two things happening at once:
First, a private email sent by Glenn Greenwald, where he tells a Jewish recipient to “crawl out of your Sabbath hole” and watch Israeli cities being hit by Iranian missiles, followed by a link and the word “Enjoy.”

Second, his public follow up, where he frames himself as the victim of smears, denies wrongdoing, and then states plainly, “I think it’s good for the world that Israel is feeling retaliatory strikes for the wars they started.”

All the talk about innocent civilians, all the moral posturing, all the hours spent pretending this is about universal principles and human suffering, all of it collapses the second Israelis are the ones under fire. Then the mask slips, and what comes out is the truth. They never cared about innocent civilians in any consistent or serious way. They cared about using civilian suffering as a political weapon against Israel. That is a very different thing, and people should stop pretending otherwise.

Defenders of Israel spend an enormous amount of time explaining basic realities that should not need to be explained to honest people. We explain why casualty figures coming out of the Hamas-run Gaza Ministry of Health cannot simply be treated as clean, neutral civilian death tolls, especially when Hamas has every incentive to inflate, manipulate, and obscure the distinction between civilians and combatants. We explain that Hamas embeds itself in civilian areas, stores weapons in homes, schools, and mosques, launches attacks from within populated neighborhoods, and then relies on the resulting images for propaganda. We explain that Hamas built an entire terror infrastructure under Gaza while leaving its own civilians exposed above ground, because civilian vulnerability is useful to them. We explain all of this for one reason. Because if Israel were deliberately targeting innocent civilians, that would be evil, and the truth would matter.

That is what makes comments like Glenn’s so revealing. He’s not arguing that civilian suffering is tragic wherever it occurs. He’s arguing that Israeli civilians being targeted by ballistic missiles is somehow morally satisfying because he has accepted the lie that they are collectively guilty. He wants the category of civilian to apply when it can be used against Israel, and he wants it to disappear when Israelis are the ones bleeding.

And once you see that, a lot of other things come into focus. It explains why so many of these people become extremely skeptical and forensic when Israeli actions are under discussion, but suddenly become emotionless and vindictive when Israelis are murdered. It explains why every dead Gazan child is treated as a moral indictment of the Jewish people, while dead Israeli children are treated as background noise, an unfortunate detail, or in many cases a justified consequence. It explains why they spend months lecturing the world about “dehumanization” and then casually speak about Israeli families as though they are legitimate instruments of collective punishment.

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

From Ian: The Iran War Is Saving the West
The war that the U.S. and Israel finally initiated against Iran is saving the West.

The entire world is a beneficiary of the Allied campaign, since there was no remaining alternative to war.

The decision to attack Iran should have been taken two decades ago, in February 2006, when Iran brazenly resumed uranium enrichment and was referred by the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to the Security Council.

The world was faced with the prospect of Iran attaining nuclear weapons and had absolutely no plan to prevent it.

The U.S. was, in practice, pursuing only one policy option: waiting for Iran to obtain the means to mass murder either Americans or America's allies.

Some experts are complaining that there is no clear endgame to the current war. But without the war, there was a very clear endgame - a nuclear Iran and very probably nuclear war.

What is absolutely clear is that the war brings the possibility of a positive outcome. Without war, a catastrophic outcome was certain.
Amb. Alan Baker: Will the International Community Confront Iran's Illegal Use of Cluster Munitions?
Iran's use of cluster munitions has become a dominant feature in its conduct of warfare against Israel and many of the Gulf states. International law acknowledges that such munitions may be used against purely military targets. However, Iran's widespread and indiscriminate use of cluster bombs that could endanger civilians and civilian locations is strictly forbidden and constitutes a violation of international humanitarian law.

One of the principle international humanitarian law norms of armed conflict is that of distinction, requiring an attacker to distinguish between combatants and non-combatants. When fired at targets where non-combatants are in close proximity, their use violates the international law principle of distinction.

During the present, ongoing hostilities, Iran has been indiscriminately and deliberately firing cluster munitions on a large scale against Israeli residential areas. In light of Iranian violations, there exists every legal necessity and justification to make appropriate representations to the international community, its institutions and to the international media and to provide evidence of such misuse by Iran.

The malicious, deliberate, and indiscriminate targeting by Iran and its proxy Hizbullah of Israel's civilian areas clearly violates all humanitarian norms and is absolutely prohibited.
Iran Is Trying to Defeat America in the Living Room
Islamic Republic officials have actively sought to fracture Trump’s base by evoking anti-Zionist conspiracies. “Trump has turned ‘America First’ into ‘Israel First,’” the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, posted, adding, “which always means ‘America last.’” Mohammed Baqer Qalibaf, a former Revolutionary Guard commander who is close with Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, referred to Trump’s relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as an “Epstein Axis” and posted that “American families deserve to know why Trump is sacrificing their sons and daughters to advance Netanyahu’s expansionist delusions.”

Iranian state TV has also amplified the commentary of Tucker Carlson—an outspoken conservative critic of the war—including a recent interview with Joe Kent, Trump’s director of the National Counterterrorism Center who resigned after blaming “high-ranking Israeli officials and influential members of the American media” for the conflict. Tehran doesn’t want to turn Americans against just the war. It wants to turn Americans against one another.

Although opinion polls, oil prices, and the number of projectiles remaining are measurable, the fate of the war will be determined in part by the resolve of both parties, something far more difficult to measure. A democratic president’s will to fight is constrained by elections, polls, gas prices, and the news cycle. An authoritarian regime fighting for its survival answers to none of those pressures. Reagan had resolve until Congress didn’t. Bush had resolve until six in 10 Americans called his war a mistake. This asymmetry of resolve is Iran’s greatest structural advantage. Tehran wins by not losing; Trump loses by not winning.

The Islamic Republic’s decision to build its political identity around “death to America” has been a 47-year war of choice. Trump’s decision to try to end Tehran’s malign capabilities, rather than merely contain or counter them like past administrations did, has also been a war of choice.

If Iran’s strategy depends on Peoria, Trump’s presidency depends on the Strait of Hormuz. Trump cannot withdraw so long as Iran controls it, but securing it risks the kind of mass American casualties that ended Reagan’s and Bush’s resolve. If Trump reopens it, his appetite for regime change may grow. If he doesn’t, the economic pressure on his base will mount. This is ultimately a war between a democracy’s impatience and a theocracy’s ruthless endurance. The question is whether, for the first time since 1979, Tehran has finally met a U.S. president more committed to destroying the regime than the regime is to destroying him.
  • Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Elder of Ziyon
A columnist at Al Ahram discusses the conundrum of whether Arab Muslim states should support Iran for attacking Israel, or whether it should oppose Iran for attacking other Arab Muslim states.

His solution is to quote David Ben Gurion.


Some have fallen prey to the dilemma of either defending or condemning Iran. This stems from a flawed oversimplification and a superficial approach to a complex situation...

Defending Iran against Israel does not justify failing to condemn its aggression against the Gulf states. In fact, its aggression against these states renders defending it futile and illogical. Defending the Gulf states and condemning attacks against them, regardless of the justification, undoubtedly takes precedence over all else. Iran's aggression against the Gulf states is a clear continuation of its hostile approach and its aggression against Arab states for years prior to the war. Supporting the Gulf against Iran or any other entity is an obligation that cannot be absolved by any other consideration.

Israel's first Prime Minister, David Ben-Gurion, offers a way out. The Jews found themselves in a predicament before World War II because Britain, the country that had taken the most significant step in the creation of Israel (the Balfour Declaration), issued what became known as the White Paper. This document restricted Jewish land purchases and immigration to Palestine, in a British attempt to secure the support of Arab states, which they considered more important than supporting the Jews in the war. This created a rift between the Jews and Britain. With the outbreak of war, the Jews had no choice but to stand with Britain against Nazi Germany. Ben-Gurion declared, ""We must assist the British in the war as if there were no White Paper and we must resist the White Paper as if there were no war." Hitler was the primary enemy of the Jews, and their disagreement with Britain did not lead them to side with him, nor could they forget their conflict with Britain.

Therefore, the minimum position on Iran is to defend it against Israel as if it had not done what it did to the Arab states, and to condemn Iran’s policy and aggression against the Gulf as if there had been no war.
So should Gulf states support Israel helping destroy the drones and missiles aimed at them, or not because they are also aimed at Israel? Should Arabs join the war against Iran to protect their own people? Should the Saudis protect their own oil exports? 

And of course, Iran attacking Israeli civilians is assumed to be perfectly moral in this supposedly sophisticated approach. 

Hate for Israel is so ingrained in Arab thinking that the idea that Israel and the Gulf Arab states might be on the same side is utterly unintelligible to them. 



Buy EoZ's books  on Amazon!

"He's an Anti-Zionist Too!" cartoon book (December 2024)

PROTOCOLS: Exposing Modern Antisemitism (February 2022)

   
 

 

  • Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Elder of Ziyon
New York City’s new mayor, Zohran Mamdani, has aligned himself with a 74-page report from Jews for Racial and Economic Justice proposing to combat antisemitic violence in New York — without policing, without armed guards, and without the law enforcement coordination that security professionals say is essential. Instead, JFREJ proposes community building: intergroup collaborative projects, playground renovations, soup kitchens, street fairs. Bonds of connection. Root causes.

The plan claims to be evidence-based. It is not. Examined carefully, it is a political document masquerading as social science, built on three fundamental analytical errors, contradicted by the actual history of antisemitic violence in New York and America, and — most damning of all — produced by an organization whose political framework actively excludes the majority of Jews from its definition of community. This plan does not protect Jews from antisemitic violence. At its logical conclusion, it increases the risk.

The Plan and Its Claims
JFREJ’s report, titled “NYC Against Hate Violence: Evidence-Based Prevention & Infrastructure for Intergroup Community Building,” was unveiled on the steps of City Hall in March 2026 alongside Mamdani’s announcement of a new Office of Community Safety. The report calls for $26 to $30 million annually in hate violence prevention spending, an 800% increase over current levels — the exact figure Mamdani had pledged during his campaign.

JFREJ executive director Audrey Sasson told assembled reporters that “our traditional responses — policing, and prosecution and arrest — have not reversed the trend of rising hate violence, because they can’t.” She and the report argue that the Jewish community “has never been offered real prevention options at scale” and that what’s needed is to “bring communities together around shared goals” so that “bonds of connection” are already in place when crises arise.

The Secure Community Network, which actually advises Jewish institutions on security, lists coordination with law enforcement first among its eight security recommendations. In the wake of the March 2026 attack on Temple Israel in West Bloomfield, Michigan — where a Lebanese-born American drove his vehicle into a synagogue containing a preschool, drove inside the building, and opened fire — SCN specifically credited the institution’s prior investments in security and law enforcement coordination with limiting casualties. JFREJ’s report calls this approach “security theater.”

We are going to take JFREJ’s evidence seriously — more seriously, it turns out, than JFREJ itself did.

The “Evidence-Based” Claim

The report’s introduction contains a remarkable sentence that should have disqualified its central claim before the document got off the ground:

“There is almost no research into what actually works to prevent violence, leaving practitioners with little guidance on how to design programs that stand to make an impact.”

They wrote this themselves. Several paragraphs later, the same document declares: “We now have the research — we know what actually works.”

An honest reading of the report’s own citations will show that it has assembled evidence about the causes and demographics of hate violence — useful descriptive work — and then asserted, without demonstrating, that its proposed interventions address those causes. The leap from description to prescription is never justified. It is simply assumed.

The report’s primary descriptive framework for hate crime perpetrators comes from a 2002 paper by criminologists Jack McDevitt, Jack Levin, and Susan Bennett, using Boston police data. They categorized hate crime offenders into four types: thrill-seekers (the majority), defensive offenders, retaliatory offenders, and mission-driven offenders. The report leans heavily on the finding that thrill-seekers dominate — young men committing impulsive, low-planning bias violence for the excitement of peer dynamics. Community-based social norm interventions are plausibly relevant to this population.

But there is a devastating problem with how JFREJ applies this data, and it runs in three dimensions.

Error One: Conflating All Hate Incidents With Violent Ones

The ADL recorded 8,873 antisemitic incidents in 2023 and 9,354 in 2024. The overwhelming majority of these were vandalism and harassment — swastikas spray-painted on synagogue walls, threatening letters, slurs shouted on the street, social media harassment. Physical assaults were a fraction of that total, and mass-casualty attacks were a fraction of that fraction.

The McDevitt typology’s finding that thrill-seekers dominate the hate crime offender population is a finding about all hate incidents across all target groups — including, critically, the large base of graffiti, chalking, and low-level harassment that makes up most of the aggregate count. Thrill-seeking is exactly what drives a teenager to spray-paint a swastika on a wall at 2 a.m. It is social, situational, impulsive, and plausibly amenable to community norm intervention.

JFREJ then uses this population-level finding to discredit security measures designed for the attacker-with-a-gun population. Armed guards at synagogues are “security theater,” the report argues. Hate crime sentencing has no deterrent effect, it notes correctly. But sentencing deterrence and physical protection are different mechanisms — and the report conflates them without acknowledgment. The teenager with a spray can and the man who drives a vehicle into a building containing a preschool are not the same phenomenon requiring the same response.

If JFREJ’s community programs were maximally effective and reduced thrill-seeking incidents by half, that would produce exactly zero effect on the threat facing Jewish institutions from mission-driven actors. The two populations do not overlap.

Error Two: Conflating Antisemitic Violence With Other Hate Crimes

The McDevitt data was collected across all hate crime categories in Boston. Anti-Black hate crimes are by far the most numerous nationally, followed by anti-gay, anti-Hispanic, and others. These categories have very different perpetrator profiles. Anti-Black hate crimes, particularly in the “defensive” category — white residents of changing neighborhoods trying to intimidate new arrivals — are responsive to the contact hypothesis and intergroup relationship-building in ways that antisemitic violence is not.

The contact hypothesis, the backbone of JFREJ’s intergroup projects recommendation, predicts that sustained positive contact between groups reduces prejudice. This has been validated for attitude change in contexts of situational bias — the discomfort of unfamiliarity, the generalized stereotyping born of social distance. It performs poorly against ideological bias, and it fails almost entirely against conspiracy-theory-based belief systems.

Contemporary antisemitic violence — from white supremacists to Islamist extremists to Black Hebrew Israelite theology — is not born of unfamiliarity with Jews. It is driven by positive, elaborated belief systems that assign Jews a specific role in a cosmic or political narrative: Jews as civilization-destroyers, Jews as agents of white genocide, Jews as fraudulent impostors of the true Israelites. These frameworks do not waver when confronted with pleasant Jewish neighbors. They accommodate the pleasant neighbor as the exception — the “good Jew” — while maintaining the categorical threat. Centuries of European Jews having cordial individual relationships with Christian neighbors did not prevent pogroms. The pogromists had Jewish acquaintances. This did not matter when the ideology reached a boiling point.

JFREJ applies research about attitude change in situational bias to the population driving antisemitic violence, where the bias is structural and ideological. This is a category error that invalidates the core recommendation.

Error Three: The Geography of the Threat

The thrill-seeking and defensive typologies, and the community-building interventions designed for them, are implicitly local. The theory assumes that hostile neighbors who don’t know each other develop prejudice that community contact can reduce.

But examine where the perpetrators of major antisemitic attacks actually came from. Robert Bowers was radicalized in online white supremacist ecosystems — the global fever swamp of Gab and 8chan. John Earnest was a California college student who wrote a manifesto consciously imitating a New Zealand mass murderer who attacked mosques. Malik Faisal Akram flew from Manchester, England, to take hostages at a Texas synagogue. Ayman Ghazali drove to West Bloomfield. Naveed Haq typed “something Jewish” into a search engine and drove to wherever the results pointed.

The radicalization is online and transnational. The targeting is of Jews as a category, not of specific individuals known from a shared neighborhood. Building intergroup relationships in Crown Heights does not reach the man in a Kansas City suburb being radicalized on Telegram, or the man in Lebanon who is already planning his trip. JFREJ proposes hyper-local solutions to an extra-local threat. Even if every program worked perfectly for the population it could theoretically reach, it would not touch the class of perpetrators responsible for the worst attacks.


The Actual Record: Who Attacks Jews, and What Stops Them

Let’s test the JFREJ framework against the actual perpetrators of violent antisemitic attacks in America since 2001.





Of eleven major violent incidents since 2001, every single one was mission-driven. Zero were thrill-seeking. The mechanism that stopped or limited each attack — in every case — was armed intervention, law enforcement response, or both.

Nowhere in this table is there a slot for “intergroup soup kitchen.” Nowhere does “bonds of connection” appear. These attacks were not the product of social distance between communities that could be bridged by collaborative projects. They were carried out by people whose ideological commitments were, by design, impervious to personal experience of Jewish individuals.

New York’s own record of foiled plots confirms the picture with even greater clarity.

The 2009 Bronx plot to bomb two synagogues in Riverdale — stopped by an FBI informant operation.

The 2011 Manhattan plot to bomb a synagogue, with one suspect planning to disguise himself as a Jewish worshipper to gain entry — stopped by months of NYPD intelligence surveillance.

The 1993 World Trade Center network, which also plotted to attack New York’s diamond district because, as one co-conspirator said, it would be like “hitting Israel itself” — stopped by FBI penetration.

The 2004 Herald Square subway plotters, whose recordings revealed deep antisemitic conspiracy beliefs about Jewish world domination — stopped by an NYPD undercover officer.

The record is unambiguous: the lack of successful Islamist terror attacks against Jewish targets in New York is not the product of good community relations. It is the product of effective, aggressive law enforcement. The perpetrators were not dissuaded. They were caught. JFREJ’s proposal, at its logical conclusion, dismantles the apparatus that has produced that record.

The “Good Jew” Problem

JFREJ’s community-building framework rests on an assumption: that personal positive contact with Jews erodes antisemitic hostility. The evidence suggests this assumption is wrong for the perpetrator population that matters most.

The phenomenon has a name in research and history: the “exceptional Jew” effect. It has been documented across centuries. The mechanism is straightforward: a person holds a conspiratorial or theological belief that Jews as a category are threatening, malevolent, or illegitimate. They then encounter a Jewish individual who is warm, honest, and admirable. Rather than falsifying the categorical belief, the positive experience gets accommodated into it. The individual becomes the exception that proves the rule — “my Jew,” the one who isn’t like the others.

Heinrich Himmler complained about this explicitly in his 1943 Posen speech, expressing frustration that every German seemed to have “his decent Jew” whom he wanted to exempt from persecution while supporting the destruction of Jews as a class.

Conspiracy theory beliefs are, by structure, self-sealing. They are not held tentatively, waiting for disconfirming evidence. They contain, built into the framework, an explanation for why the evidence looks the way it does. If Jews are conspiring to control the media, and a Jewish person tells you that’s false, the conspiracy framework already predicts that response. If a Jewish person seems trustworthy and kind, the framework accommodates this: Jews are especially skilled at deception. Personal contact cannot provide falsifying evidence because the framework doesn’t treat personal experience as relevant evidence about the category.

For the attacker who drove into Temple Israel, or the men who plotted to bomb synagogues in Riverdale, or the man who flew from Manchester to take hostages in Colleyville, intergroup collaborative projects are not just insufficient. They are addressed to a different human being entirely.


The Zionist Question JFREJ Cannot Answer

There is a foundational question that the JFREJ report evades entirely, and which exposes the deepest flaw in the plan: would Zionist Jews be welcome in the communities it proposes to build?

The answer is plainly no — and this is not a hypothetical. It is the lived reality of the progressive coalitions in which JFREJ operates.

JFREJ is explicitly anti-Zionist. Its 2017 publication “Understanding Antisemitism,” co-authored by the lead author of this report, drew a sharp distinction between antisemitism and anti-Zionism and argued forcefully that they should not be conflated. The organization has consistently allied itself with political movements that treat Zionist identity as disqualifying for progressive coalition membership.

The organizations that consulted on and co-launched this report — the Arab American Association of NY, Muslim Community Network, Emgage, MPower Change — are organizations that, in the post-October 7 environment, have been participants in and organizers of protests whose explicit demands include the elimination of Israel as a Jewish state. Several operate in spaces where Zionist Jews are not simply unwelcome but are treated as adversaries.

The pattern is well-documented. Women’s March leadership was fractured and eventually collapsed partly over the refusal to distance from explicitly antisemitic figures and frameworks. The 2017 Chicago Dyke March expelled Jewish participants for carrying a Star of David flag deemed “too closely associated with Zionism.” Black Lives Matter chapters published statements in 2020 expressing solidarity with Palestinian “resistance,” framing Israel’s existence in conspiratorial terms. These are the coalitions JFREJ inhabits and, in some cases, helped to construct.

Meanwhile, surveys consistently find that 80 to 90 percent of American Jews consider themselves Zionist in some meaningful sense — that they support the existence of Israel as a Jewish state. The American Jewish Committee, the Jewish Electoral Institute, and multiple academic surveys confirm this year after year.

JFREJ’s proposed “community” is therefore not the Jewish community. It is a self-selected fragment of Jewish life — secular, progressive, politically aligned with anti-Zionist frameworks — that has already agreed, as a condition of coalition membership, to subordinate or suppress its Zionist identity. The 80-plus percent of Jews who hold mainstream attachment to Israel are, by the logic of JFREJ’s political world, not full members of the community being built.

The implications for antisemitism are serious. The fastest-growing and most dangerous form of antisemitism in America today is the anti-Zionist variety — the framework that treats Jewish nationalism as uniquely illegitimate, Israel’s existence as a moral crime, and Zionist Jews as appropriate targets of hostility. This is the antisemitism that drove the man who attacked Temple Israel. It is the antisemitism that motivated the Colleyville hostage-taker, who flew from Britain to demand the release of a Pakistani terrorist while holding American Jews responsible for Israeli policy. It is the antisemitism expressed in the “from the river to the sea” chant that has become standard at protests where JFREJ’s coalition partners are present.

JFREJ’s community-building plan does not address anti-Zionist antisemitism. Its political commitments make it structurally incapable of addressing it. By excluding Zionist Jews from meaningful participation in its community framework, and by treating the organizations that propagate anti-Zionist antisemitism as coalition partners rather than as part of the problem, JFREJ’s plan does not reduce the most prevalent form of violent antisemitism Jews face. It legitimizes it.

Worse: by supplanting the law enforcement apparatus that has actually kept New York’s Jews safe — the FBI informants, the NYPD intelligence units, the armed guards — with programming that cannot reach, let alone deter, mission-driven ideological actors, this plan leaves the majority of New York’s Jews more exposed than they were before.

What Actually Saves Lives

On March 12, 2026, Ayman Ghazali drove his vehicle into Temple Israel in West Bloomfield, Michigan. The synagogue has a preschool. He drove into the building, opened fire, and was killed by security personnel on the scene. The Secure Community Network later cited the institution’s prior investment in security and law enforcement coordination as the reason the casualties were not worse.

Imagine Temple Israel had instead invested in intergroup collaborative projects. Imagine its leadership had attended soup kitchens and street fairs with Muslim community organizations in the Detroit suburbs. Would Ayman Ghazali, a Lebanese-born man whose worldview treated Jewish institutions as legitimate military targets, have been reached by those soup kitchens? Would the bonds of connection have given him pause at the moment he turned his steering wheel toward a building full of children?

The question answers itself.

The armed security guard at the door did not prevent the ramming — the vehicle moved too fast. But the security presence, the trained response, the prior coordination with law enforcement, limited what could have been a massacre of children to one injured security guard and a dead attacker. This is what saved those children.

JFREJ’s report calls this approach unsustainable and counterproductive. Audrey Sasson told reporters this represents “security theater.” The children who went home from that preschool on March 12th may disagree.

Conclusion: A Plan That Serves Its Authors, Not Its Supposed Beneficiaries

JFREJ is an anti-Zionist organization proposing to protect a Jewish community of which it represents a small, ideologically self-selected fraction. Its evidence base, examined carefully, does not support its primary recommendations. Its framework systematically excludes the forms of antisemitism most dangerous to New York’s Jews. Its coalition partners include organizations that propagate the anti-Zionist antisemitism that motivates many of the most serious attacks. And its prescriptions — if implemented — would defund and delegitimize the law enforcement infrastructure that has, demonstrably, prevented multiple mass casualty attacks on New York’s Jewish institutions.

Mayor Mamdani has signaled alignment with this framework and budgeted $260 million for a community safety office partly inspired by it. New York City’s Jewish institutions are operating in what the Secure Community Network calls “the most elevated and complex threat environment in recent history.” In this environment, the city’s mayor is moving toward a model that experienced security professionals consider dangerously inadequate, under the intellectual sponsorship of an organization that considers Zionism immoral and counts anti-Zionist organizations among its trusted partners.

The historical record of foiled plots in New York is a record of law enforcement working. FBI informants, NYPD intelligence surveillance, undercover officers, armed security — this apparatus has kept the Riverdale Temple standing and the Bronx synagogues intact. Its opposite is not playgrounds and soup kitchens. Its opposite is an unguarded building and an unlocked door.

Rabbi Charlie Cytron-Walker of Colleyville, Texas, opened that door in January 2022 because a man said he was cold and homeless and wanted shelter. The rabbi made him a cup of tea. This is the instinct toward community openness and human connection that JFREJ celebrates. It resulted in eleven hours of hostage crisis that ended with an FBI tactical team killing Malik Faisal Akram.

The rabbi survived because of law enforcement. He nearly didn’t because of hospitality.

JFREJ wants to fund the hospitality and defund the FBI team. New York’s Jews deserve better than that.



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This blog may be a labor of love for me, but it takes a lot of effort, time and money. For 20 years and 40,000 articles I have been providing accurate, original news that would have remained unnoticed. I've written hundreds of scoops and sometimes my reporting ends up making a real difference. I appreciate any donations you can give to keep this blog going.

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