Monday, December 01, 2025

12/01 Links Pt1: Israel Is Where Theory Stops and Reality Begins; The NYT's Claims Fighting Hezbollah Is Israeli ‘Imperialism’; Pardoning Netanyahu is wrong – and exactly what Israel needs right now

From Ian:

Seth Mandel: Israel Is Where Theory Stops and Reality Begins
One can grant the claim that there is no theological imperative for Christians to support Israel at all, but that is not the same as saying that there is a theological imperative to be hostile to Jewish Israelis.

As the theologian Brian G. Mattson asks, “what has Israel to do with a modern Christian heresy? Has the state of Israel ever embraced or promoted or associated itself with Christian Zionism, other than to accept enthusiastic support wherever it can be found, particularly when in short supply? The modern Jewish state no doubt has its own notions of its origins, essence, and purpose … and they are unlikely to have been cribbed from modern evangelical Christian sensibilities, making it strange to hold Israel responsible for ideas held by some of its American supporters.”

Again, the theological discussion looks interesting from the outside. But the discussion the rest of us can more easily weigh in on is the political one, and here is the political reality. The Christian population of Israel is still growing, some years even as a percentage of the total population, and that is not the norm in the rest of the region. But this time of year, the issue tends to focus on one place more than others: Bethlehem.

The answer to why the Christian population is struggling in this historical Christian city is the same, however, regarding the question of Christian struggles in the Palestinian territories. The Christian population of Gaza has plummeted since Hamas’s 2007 takeover. The community’s population in Bethlehem has deteriorated since the Palestinian Authority took control of the city in 1994.

Hamas’s activities both in Gaza and in places like Bethlehem (Hamas exists in the West Bank, as well) have made the Christian population unsafe and also forced into a second-class citizenship status. As Eness Elias notes, it has become increasingly difficult for Christians to buy land in places under Palestinian control. Elias also recounts a story in which “Sanaa Razi Nashash from Beit Jala described how she went to the police to file a complaint against a Muslim man who assaulted her—only to find the assailant wearing a police uniform.”

Chasing Christians out while preventing them from buying property is a pretty airtight strategy to ensure the population only goes one way: down. And it’s the prevailing policy in places under Palestinian governance. Others report that the Palestinian Authority “is erasing” Christians from education curricula as Muslim students become the majority in previously Christian schools.

Walk around Israel and instantly understand that is the opposite of the case for Christians governed by the Jewish state. Ideological and theological debates over Zionism (of any flavor) are beside the point here, because it is where theory ends and reality reigns.
Seth Mandel: There’s No Such Thing As a Time-Bound Path to a Palestinian State
Pope Leo made his much-anticipated trip to Lebanon, and of course coming that close to Israel makes questions about the peace process unavoidable. Leo got the question from the press before his plane was halfway to Beirut. His response was unremarkable.

“We all know that at this time Israel still does not accept that solution, but we see it as the only solution,” the pope said, adding that “we are also friends with Israel and we are seeking to be a mediating voice between the two parties that might help them close in on a solution with justice for everyone.”

That formulation has become routine: As soon as Israel pushes the “Palestinian State Poof” button Bibi Netanyahu apparently keeps on his desk, there will be a fully functioning state living in peace and security alongside the State of Israel. There are no prerequisites for the Palestinians as far as the world is concerned.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s version of this demand reportedly includes a shot clock: Israel must initiate a “time-bound path” to such a denouement.

This is the sort of demand that sounds reasonable—“time-bound” evokes calendars and deadlines and commitments. But in fact there is no such thing as a time-bound path to a Palestinian state. The reason there is a peace process is because there are actions that must be taken, building blocks put in position and in the right order. If a construction crew agrees to a time-bound path to a new apartment building but doesn’t get all the walls finished by the deadline, does the building receive its certificate of occupancy anyway? This new State of Palestine sounds uninsurable.

At the same time, the fact that we’re even having this conversation is the fruit of a genuine diplomatic success: the Trump administration’s triumph in getting the United Nations Security Council to vote to endorse his plan for the end of the war and the reconstruction of Gaza. Some of Netanyahu’s coalition partners didn’t like that the resolution on the plan mentioned a path toward a Palestinian state. But they should take the win: France and the United Kingdom voted to essentially annul their own previous recognition of a Palestinian state by signing on to a document that made clear no such state exists.
No, Gaza Is Not the Worst or Deadliest War by Any Measure
True Statistic: Gaza has a Comparatively Low Civilian-Combatant Ratio
Based on available data, the civilian to combatant ratio in Gaza is roughly 1.8 to 1 (and probably even lower), using Hamas’ claim of 70,000 total fatalities and an estimated 25,000 combatants killed. This ratio is far lower than in recent Western-led urban battles. In Mosul, an estimated 10,000 civilians were killed compared to about 2,000 to 3,000 ISIS fighters, a ratio of 3 to 1 at the low end. Broader operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have produced ratios in the range of 3 to 1 up to 5 to 1. The Gaza ratio therefore contradicts accusations of genocide or indiscriminate targeting.

Critics who cannot accept this reality have attempted to manipulate both sides of the ratio to fabricate a higher figure. On the denominator, they undercount combatants by relying only on the number of fighters the IDF can literally identify by first and last name and match to a pre-war roster. By this absurd standard, any combatant the IDF could not fully identify in the midst of battle, combatants remaining in tunnels or beneath rubble, or any individual recruited by Hamas after the war began, is automatically labeled a civilian. This is how the false claim of “83% civilians killed” is manufactured.

On the numerator, these same critics assert, without evidence, that total fatalities are undercounted by some 40%. They never explain how this is possible when Gazans could and did report thousands of deaths without needing to present bodies, and given the compensation incentives to do so. Two years into the conflict, the notion that thirty thousand or more deaths remain unreported by their families has no evidentiary basis.

Taken together, the credible data leaves Gaza’s civilian combatant ratio well under 2 to 1, low for high-intensity urban warfare. And tellingly, when this metric contradicts their genocide narrative, the same critics who inflated every other statistic suddenly work to discredit it, proving that accurate numbers were never the point; the manipulation exists solely to promote an anti-Israel agenda.

Conclusion
When the facts invalidate the claims, the predictable response is to move the goalposts. After portraying Gaza as an unprecedented, genocidal conflict, critics suddenly dismiss all comparative evidence, insisting that previous catastrophic wars are too terrible to cite as data points. The impulse to portray Israel as uniquely criminal, rather than any commitment to truth, drives this constant reframing. It exposes the ideological goal driving the narrative: to cast Israel as uniquely criminal, even when the evidence shows otherwise. In the end, tragedy does not prove genocide, and facts still matter, even to those determined to ignore them.


Officials say no handover of slain hostages Monday, after talk of possible return
Defense officials said Monday that Hamas would not be returning the body of a slain hostage later in the day, despite earlier saying that such a handover could take place.

The remains of two hostages killed on October 7, 2023, are still in Gaza: Israeli policeman Master Sgt. Ran Gvili, killed fending off the Hamas-led invasion in Kibbutz Alumim; and Sudthisak Rinthalak, a Thai national murdered in Kibbutz Be’eri, where he worked in agriculture.

A defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told the media during the morning that Israel was preparing for the possibility that Hamas might return the body of a hostage during the afternoon.

However, there was no subsequent clarification if the handover would take place, and the terror group made no announcement that it intends to return any hostages.

By the afternoon, defense officials informed media outlets that no hostage return was expected.

Channel 12 reported, without citing sources, that Israeli officials believe Hamas has found the body of a hostage but is not prepared to return it yet. The assessment is that the body was found in the area of Beit Lahiya.

Hamas reportedly told mediators that the body is not that of a hostage, but Al-Jazeera initially reported that it was. Israel has demanded that Hamas immediately give back the body, apparently believing it is that of Gvili.


'I choose life,' ex-hostage Alon Ohel recounts Hamas kidnapping, torture, sexual harassment - N12
Ohel saw Aner Shapira, an IDF soldier, throwing grenades from inside the shelter to outside. "I told him everything will be ok. He didn't look me in the eyes. He saved all of us."

"After Shapira was murdered, there was a grenade that Hersh [Goldberg-Polin] came to throw. I screamed at him to throw it, but he didn't make it in time. The grenade exploded a few centimeters from Hersh and blew up his hand. I saw everything, and think that was the grenade that blew up my eye," Ohel remembered.

The interviewer asked if Ohel felt that the IDF knew where they were.

"Absolutely not," he answered. "I'm afraid of the army that was supposed to protect me. They didn't know anything."

Ohel recounted how he was taken into a terror tunnel after 52 days, meeting Eli Sharabi, Almog Sarusi, Ori Danino, and Goldberg-Polin.

However, shortly afterwards, Sarusi, Danino, and Goldberg-Polin were taken away, with Ohel recounting how he felt sure they were being taken to be released. In fact, they were taken to be a different tunnel, where they were murdered by terrorists in August 2024.

Ohel was left in a tunnel with Eliya Cohen and Sharabi, who Ohel describes as a father to him during their captivity.

"From the beginning, we connected. There was this click. There was one time they threw a bowl with a bit of pasta, and I lost it, punching the wall, breaking my hand, and I started crying. Eli was there to hug me, it was a father's hug," Ohel recalled.

Sharabi told Ohel about his daughters, who were murdered by terrorists during the massacre, and burst into tears. They promised each other that they would survive for the sake of their family members waiting for them.

"Whoever was not there will not be able to understand our captivity. In your life, you have not experienced starvation, you have not been connected to chains for a year and a half, shackled like a monkey, and eating like a dog. You are not a human being, you are an animal," he said.

"We would eat pita and four spoons of peas a day. There was a period when we ate only dried dates. And you know they have food. You tell yourself, ‘In the end, you get used to hunger,’ but no. It’s pain in the whole body, all the time. You look like a skeleton. You look at yourself, and you see a corpse, and it makes them feel good in their heart," Ohel said, describing how he tried to stay strong mentally.

The IDF bombed the tunnel they were in and a missile blew up the mosque and school from which the tunnel shafts came out, Ohel said.

The hostages were sure they would be rescued and that IDF soldiers were entering the tunnels. "We went out and ran between the ruins," he said. "We heard machine guns, and we kept running until we reached another tunnel that had nothing."

Ohel recalled how a senior terrorist told them how the other hostages being held with Ohel were being released. They tore him from Sharabi, and he refused to leave. Both he and Sharabi were shaking, he recalled.

"I told Eli, 'Wow, I'm happy for you.' He said that everything will be okay."


Israel's ceasefire built to fail as Lebanon refuses to confront Hezbollah
Disarmament unlikely
Hezbollah has rejected the possibility of disarmament. Secretary-General Naim Qassem said, “We will not let anyone disarm Hezbollah… We must cut this idea of disarmament from the dictionary.” The LAF refuses to enter civilian homes to seize weapons, making government promises of disarmament meaningless.

Lebanese leaders fear that confronting the terror group would invite accusations of collaborating with Israel and risk another civil war, a trauma that has defined Lebanon’s modern history.

Rebuilding the country while Hezbollah holds de facto authority is both unrealistic and counterproductive, as it would strengthen the group’s political and social grip by positioning it as the conduit for international aid. Reconstruction should therefore focus only on areas outside the group’s control. As in Gaza, no international force is willing or prepared to confront Hezbollah or enforce a ceasefire.

In August 2025, Lebanon’s cabinet instructed the LAF to produce a plan to bring all weapons under “legitimate government oversight” by year’s end. President Joseph Aoun declared that all arms must come under “exclusive state control.” Hezbollah immediately dismissed the idea, warning that “any hand that reaches out to take them will be cut off.” Aoun quickly retreated, insisting disarmament must occur only through dialogue to avoid civil war.

Good luck with that.

Ceasefire is unsustainable
The alternative, UNIFIL (the UN Interim Force in Lebanon), has been a failure since 2006. The peacekeepers have repeatedly interfered with Israeli operations against Hezbollah while stopping the transfer of exactly zero missiles. Its mandate will end in 2026, only because the United States finally refused to fund an ineffectual mission.

The ceasefire is unsustainable. Lebanon’s government and armed forces are unwilling and unable to confront Hezbollah, making enforcement impossible. The Trump administration should treat the ceasefire as a short-term management tool, not a foundation for lasting peace.

As the Alma Research Center concluded, Hezbollah’s core identity is “armed resistance” against Israel, an ideology it cannot relinquish. The terror group will not give up the ideology of armed resistance, and it is prepared for a long struggle. Israel’s strategy must therefore match this, demonstrating endurance, determination, and persistence. Long-term weakening of the organization will be possible only through continuous damage to its military and civilian infrastructures.
The New York Times Claims Fighting Hezbollah Is Israeli ‘Imperialism’
In more than 3000 words focused on the shaky Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, at no point did Cohen find space to note that the ceasefire requires Hezbollah to disarm, and that the terror group’s adamant refusal to do so is a violation of the most basic terms of the agreement.

It’s not that The Times likewise ignored an alleged Israeli violation. To the contrary, Cohen reported about five Lebanese hilltops in which Israel maintains communications towers: “Israel, to Lebanon’s fury, has refused to remove the small encampments around them despite the cease-fire that called for a complete Israeli withdrawal.” [Emphasis added.]

Cohen’s effort to minimize Hezbollah’s belligerence even obscured the fact that the terror organization was responsible for opening the front against Israel in October 2023. Cohen abandoned the crystal-clear reporting reserved for the incinerated white car and charred flesh carnage in favor of murky reporting obscuring Hezbollah’s responsibility for the current conflict: “In effect, the war that spilled into Lebanon after the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel has slowed but never stopped.” The war did not “spill” into Lebanon. Hezbollah brought it there, choosing to fire on Israel Oct. 8, as Israel was still reeling from the ongoing Hamas massacre in the south.

About the real imperialist power in the region, with proxies from Yemen to Lebanon, the Gaza Strip, and (formerly) Syria, Cohen said of Iran:
The situation in Lebanon offers a compelling example of a new Middle East where Israel’s reach is near ubiquitous. The Iran-led “axis of resistance,” of which Hezbollah has been a central part, is a shadow of its former self. Iran, battered by Israel in a brief June war, is weaker. Syria, after the fall of the Assad regime last year, is no longer a friend of Tehran; nor is it the pipeline for Iranian arms to Hezbollah that it once was.

Indeed, over the last two years, Israel’s military situation significantly improved while that of Iran and its proxies, including Hezbollah, diminished. As Haaretz‘s Amos Harel reported Nov. 28:
In the summer of 2023, on the eve of the war, Israel was afraid to remove a tent pitched by Hezbollah in Israeli-controlled territory on Har Dov. Now it has killed another Hezbollah chief of staff and the organization has not reacted, so far. That is a sea change, stemming from the consequences of the war. After the terrible failure of October 7 in the Gaza-border communities, Israel is not allowing risks to grow. And given Israel’s responses in other arenas, its foes are apparently more cautious and calculating.

There’s no question that Israel has achieved a more favorable balance of power better positioning it to prevent another Oct. 7 catastrophe. But a favorable balance of power enabling preemptive strikes against an Iranian-backed terror organization with genocidal aims is imperialism just like The Times’ latest hit piece is journalism.


Herzog weighs Netanyahu pardon, cites Israel’s best interest
Israeli President Isaac Herzog responded on Monday to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request for a pardon in his ongoing corruption trial, saying he will “consider solely the best interests” of the country.

“The issue of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request for a pardon is clearly provoking debate and is deeply unsettling for many people across different communities in the country,” Herzog said, according to his spokesperson. “I have already clarified that it will be handled in the most correct and precise manner. I will consider solely the best interests of the State of Israel and Israeli society.”

The head of state said Sunday that Netanyahu had submitted the request for a pardon, with Herzog’s office describing it as “an extraordinary request that carries significant implications.”

In the request submitted through his attorney Amit Hadad, Netanyahu wrote to Herzog that a pardon would “enable the prime minister to devote all of his time, abilities and energies to advancing the State of Israel in these critical times, and to address the challenges and opportunities ahead.”

Halting the legal process would also allow for “mending the rifts between different parts of the nation and open the door to lowering the flames, all for the purpose of strengthening national resilience,” he wrote.

Israel’s longest-serving prime minister faces corruption charges in three separate cases—Cases 1000 and 2000 (the charge in both is breach of trust), and Case 4000 (bribery, fraud, and breach of trust).

In a video statement released shortly after Herzog’s remarks, Netanyahu said his “personal interest has been, and remains, to continue the process until the end, until full acquittal on all charges.
Pardoning Netanyahu is wrong – and exactly what Israel needs right now
A pardon could open the door to something different: a government drawn from Israel’s Zionist mainstream – Likud alongside Yesh Atid, Blue and White, Yisrael Beytenu, Bennett’s party, and potentially moderate factions from the Religious Zionist camp. A coalition of pragmatic rivals capable of debating policy in the interest of the state. Such a coalition could legislatively confront draft evasion, address long-delayed civil and economic reforms, and conduct national security policy without daily coalition brinkmanship.

Isn’t this what Israel needs most urgently?

The legal case against Netanyahu was always complex. The allegations involving gifts raised uncomfortable ethical questions but not necessarily ones that crossed the criminal threshold. The media-related cases trod into murky territory where journalistic-politician relations are difficult to police. Regardless of the outcome, the verdict was always going to be tough.

A pardon will not erase Netanyahu’s failures or moral responsibility. It will not correct the mistakes that preceded October 7. It will not rehabilitate his political record.

It is only a tool – an imperfect and painful one – aimed at restoring the basic capacity to govern. And this is what Israel needs today – a functioning leadership. Leadership sometimes demands choosing the least damaging option when no choices are good. Pardoning Netanyahu may be precisely that.


Hugh Hewitt: To pardon or not pardon? Plus, the imminence of war, again, in Lebanon and Syria and “The Chosen.”



Ramming attack in Hebron: Female soldier lightly wounded, security forces search for assailant
A female soldier was lightly wounded in a ramming attack at an intersection in the area of Hebron on Monday night, the IDF announced.

The terrorist spotted a group of soldiers, accelerating towards them, the military confirmed.

Soldiers responded with live fire, confirming a hit, and began pursuing the assailant and setting up roadblocks in the area.

The injured soldier was evacuated to the hospital for medical treatment, the military clarified. IDF troops were dispatched to the area following the reports of the attack, the military said.
Son of senior Hamas official Ghazi Hamad killed fleeing Rafah tunnel
Hamas terrorist Abdullah Hamad, the son of senior Hamas official Ghazi Hamad, was killed in Rafah on Sunday, according to social media posts by the family and reports in local Palestinian media.

Hamad was one of the terrorists killed by the IDF while trying to flee from a tunnel in Rafah on Sunday, the Hamas-affiliated Quds News Network reported.

Sources within the Hamad family also reportedly confirmed the death to The Palestinian Information Center.

Mohammed Hamad reportedly told the center, “My beloved, the light of my heart, Abdullah, has become a martyr. He departed bravely, not fleeing, under siege and in combat in the tunnels of Rafah. He met The Almighty with contentment and faith.”

“Abdullah's martyrdom didn't pain me, for by God, it was his peace and the path he chose," Mohammed Hamad posted on Instagram. "What pained me was knowing for months that he was hungry, thirsty, exhausted, and trapped underground, only a few kilometers from me, and I couldn't even send him a sip of water, or a fleeting greeting of longing.”

The IDF has not yet confirmed Hamad's death.


Iron Beam laser defense system set for IDF launch
Israel’s Iron Beam (“Magen Or” in Hebrew) laser defense system will begin defending against aerial threats at the end of the month, the country’s Defense Ministry announced on Monday.

“With development complete and a comprehensive testing program that has validated the system’s capabilities, we are prepared to deliver initial operational capability to the IDF on Dec. 30, 2025,” said Brig. Gen. (res.) Daniel Gold, head of the Directorate of Defense Research and Development at the Defense Ministry.

Speaking at the International DefenseTech Summit at Tel Aviv University, Gold said the system was a complement to the Iron Dome, David’s Sling and Arrow air defense systems, and “is expected to fundamentally change the rules of engagement on the battlefield.”

The system uses a 100-kilowatt laser to intercept rockets, mortars and UAVs at a range of more than 6 miles (10 kilometers), at a fraction of the cost of traditional interceptors. The estimated cost per firing is about $2 to $5, compared to $40,000 to $80,000 for a single Iron Dome interceptor.

The Iron Beam—to be renamed “Ohr Eitan” (“Eitan’s Light”) after Eitan Oster, who fell in battle in Lebanon and whose father was one of its developers—will be integrated into the Israel Defense Forces’ air defense array.

The Defense Ministry and Israel’s Rafael defense technology firm announced in September the completion of a series of successful trials of the Iron Beam system at a facility in southern Israel.

“The system proved its effectiveness in a complete operational configuration by intercepting rockets, mortars, aircraft and UAVs across a comprehensive range of operational scenarios,” they said in a joint statement at the time.


Hamas Human Shields EXPOSED: New Video Evidence Confirms What Israel Has Been Saying All Along
Around the world, headlines scream that Israel is acting recklessly—terrorists are framed as innocent victims, “executions” are alleged on loop, and heartbreaking footage from Gaza is weaponized against the IDF. But this week, something happened that blows a hole straight through that narrative: a confession from inside Gaza confirming exactly what Israel has been saying for years—Hamas uses civilians as human shields, not by accident, but by design.

In this episode of The Quad, we unpack that confession in detail and show how it exposes Hamas’s entire strategy: hide behind families, schools, and hospitals, count on Israel’s morality, and then feed the bodies to the global media machine. From the standoff in Judea and Samaria to the tragic killing of two children who crossed the yellow line in Gaza, the panel breaks down what combat really looks like when your enemy wants civilians in the line of fire.

We’ll ask the hard questions almost no one in mainstream media will touch. What does “proportionality” even mean when terrorists deliberately turn neighborhoods into battlefields? How do soldiers make split-second life-or-death decisions when a suspect “surrenders” with one hand and reaches into a pocket with the other? And why does the world obsess over every Israeli bullet while ignoring the terror groups that engineer these tragedies in the first place?

Plus, the hosts dive into Prime Minister Netanyahu’s request for a wartime pardon, a new American move against the Muslim Brotherhood, Qatar’s propaganda offensive with Western influencers, and the growing wave of Jewish self-hatred and moral confusion in the West.

If you want to understand the real laws of war, the truth about human shields, and how Hamas, Iran and their supporters are gaming Western outrage, this is the episode you can’t afford to miss.


IDF Soldier Confronts Protestor Mob: "You Support What Hamas Did?"
In this episode of Straight Up, Daniel Seaman speaks with Jonathan Carton, an Israeli reservist and venture capital professional, about his recent experience at a student-organized pro-Israel event in Canada that was disrupted by protesters. Jonathan shares his background, including his family’s story, his IDF service, and his work on North American campuses, and explains what happened that day—from the decision to move the event off campus to how he responded when the gathering was interrupted.

Together, Daniel and Jonathan discuss the wider context of campus tensions, the challenges facing Jewish and pro-Israel students abroad, and the importance of personal responsibility, civic engagement, and self-confidence in the face of hostility. The conversation also touches on questions of values, coexistence, and how to respond to difficult times with clarity and a sense of purpose.


Erin Molan: The Inflation of Jew Hatred EXPOSED — And is The Tide Finally Turning?
In today’s episode 56 of The Erin Molan Show, Erin is joined by two special guests, Israel's Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar who drops some bombshells on Ireland and their most recent 1939-style attack against Jews. She's also joined by Corewy Walker and breaks down how the algorithm, audience capture, and fake online accounts have reshaped the modern Right — and why so much of it now funnels into anti-Jewish conspiracies and hate.

⏱️ CHAPTERS
0:00 – Intro
4:00 – Netanyahu officially requests a pardon — what it means
7:36 – President Herzog’s response & Erin’s analysis
10:55 – Greta & Francesca Albanese’s bizarre dance
13:06 – Christmas traditions under attack: Zara, donut shops etc.
15:33 – INTERVIEW 1: Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar
28:41 – INTERVIEW 2: Corey Walker (Quillette)
1:02:20 – FAN FEEDBACK




travelingisrael.com: Did the Arabs Steal Palestine? Let’s Check the Receipts
This video debunks the viral claim that “Jews stole Palestine.”
I go through the history, the facts, and the parts the original video conveniently skipped.






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