The winner for the worst post-election analysis goes to...

Hamas!

The impact of the Palestinian victory over Israel in the latest assault on Gaza was evident in the outcome of Israel's election Tuesday, according to Hamas.

Spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri said Wednesday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu suffered losses because he failed to face the resistance in the mid-November deadly assault.

In terms of child development, Hamas appears to be in what Piaget calls the "preoperational stage" found in children aged 2-7:

Their thoughts and communications are typically egocentric (i.e. about themselves).
Egocentrism refers to the child's inability to see a situation from another person's point of view. According to Piaget, the egocentric child assumes that other people see, hear and feel exactly the same as the child does. Piaget wanted to find out at what age children decenter - i.e. become no longer egocentric.

Then again, Western analysts often have the same problem to a certain degree, for example, projecting the importance of the moribund "peace process" onto Israelis.

(h/t JW)