On Friday, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem gave a speech where he implicitly threatened civil war in Lebanon if the Lebanese Army attempts to disarm Hezbollah.
He said, “We live in dignity together, and we build its sovereignty together—or Lebanon will have no life if you stand on the other side and try to confront us and eliminate us.”
In the past, Hezbollah's threats were taken very seriously - so much so that it pretty much had free reign over Lebanon as everyone was too frightened of its power.
This time, pretty much the entire Lebanese government condemned Qassem.
Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam condemned Qassem’s remarks as an “implicit threat of civil war” and called them “totally unacceptable."
Samir Geagea, leader of the Lebanese Forces Party: strongly labeled Qassem’s speech a “direct threat to the Lebanese government, the parliamentary majority that granted it confidence, and all constitutional institutions, foremost among them the Presidency of the Republic and the Prime Ministership.” He called the remarks “unacceptable on all levels.”
Elie Mahfoud, leader of the Change Movement, criticized Qassem’s “provocative remarks” and urged the Lebanese judiciary to take swift action against both Qassem and Hezbollah, which he described as a military organization operating outside local and international laws.
The Lebanese Army is supposed to submit a plan on how to disarm Hezbollah by the end of August.
A recent
JCPA publication says that Israel did a better job than had been reported in defeating Hezbollah:
More than 70 percent of Hizbullah’s missile arsenal and military infrastructure (including weapons depots, military industry, fortified positions, and tunnels) were destroyed. Of the 29 Shiite-majority villages along the border with Israel that served Hizbullah as fortified front-line positions, 22 were razed, displacing more than 100,000 residents who were forced to flee and seek refuge far from the battlefield.
However, Israel’s heaviest blow came with the targeting of Hizbullah’s leadership. Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, his designated successor, most of Hizbullah’s senior commanders, and thousands of fighters were killed. More than 5,000 combatants died, with thousands more injured.
I had not heard the 70% figure before. I thought that Hezbollah still had most of its estimated 200,000 rockets and missiles.
