Today, Israel gave specific warning for Iranians to evacuate areas that were going to be attacked, including Iran's IRIB broadcaster.
Iranian Armed Forces spokesman Reza Sayyad called on all Israelis to leave the country altogether, "because [the territories] will soon be uninhabitable," claiming that Israeli aggression will be met with a shocking response that includes all of the "occupied territories. "
There you go! They warned everyone to leave!
The former head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Mohsen Rezaei, said that Iran used missiles yesterday and today carrying warheads weighing "one and a half tons," and that it has not yet used warheads with heavier weight and power. He added, "It is still too early to reveal many of Iran's weapons, because we are preparing ourselves for a scenario of expanding aggression against us. If the war continues, the world will see something from us that it has never seen before."
Additionally, Mohsen Rezaei, a current member of the Expediency Discernment Council, emphasized that "Iran continues to exercise restraint and has not utilized all its capabilities to avoid disrupting the global order."
Earlier this month, Iran said it was
testing 2 ton warheads. It is not clear that they were operationalized. A two ton warhead, all else being equal, would have about a 21% greater blast radius than a 1.5 ton warhead.
Interestingly, Iran never said that they would offer measured responses to aggression. Their rhetoric has always been that if anyone lifts up a hand against them, the response would be "swift and devastating." It is interesting that they now are claiming that they are exercising restraint.
Missile expert Tal Inbar says that the missiles Israel has seen so far had payloads of either 500 kg or 750 kg, not the 1,500 kg that Rezaei claimed they used already.
But he does warn there there is indeed one highly dangerous missile in their inventory that they have not yet shot to Israel:
“There is one missile Iran has not yet used against Israel: the Khorramshahr,” he revealed. Based on North Korea’s Hwasong-10, Khorramshahr is Iran’s heaviest and fastest missile, boasting a range close to 2,000 km, a 1,500 kg warhead, and a top speed around Mach 14. Although currently within the interception envelope of Israel’s enhanced air defence network, a single successful penetration could inflict catastrophic damage.
The Khorramshahr also features a navigation system that corrects its course outside the atmosphere, making it resistant to jamming from electronic warfare. It is considered highly accurate—capable of precision strikes—and has exceptional manoeuvrability compared to its peers, with a warhead built to withstand extreme heat.
It appears that Iran considers its most effective weapon to be threats. And up until this war, those threats have spooked the West successfully.
No doubt Israel is very aware of the types of missiles Iran has, and it has prioritized destroying the biggest ones. But there is no reason to be complacent. Iran's claims might be exaggerated, but it still has plenty of deadly missiles.