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Monday, October 09, 2023

Back of the envelope calculation: Terrorist to civilian casualty ratio in Gaza, day 1, about 5-1



The so-called "Palestinian Center for Human Rights" always tries to list all the casualties of every Gaza conflict - but they slavishly adhere to Hamas' rules not to list any dead terrorists, only people they can credibly claim to be civilians. 

Their report for the first day of fighting says that the Gaza Ministry of Health claimed 256 Gazans killed in Israeli airstrikes.

But they list only about 60 deaths - meaning that they know that 200 of those killed were terrorists. 

If that was the ratio of terrorists to civilians, it would already be amazing for an urban war. But that is not the whole story.

Because certainly some of the families killed were human shields for terrorist leaders. And Israel did target Hamas leader houses and offices:

At 12:40 [Sunday] : IOF warplanes bombed a densely populated area surrounding the office of Hamas Chief, Yahya Sinwar, and the vicinity of Palestine Stadium in central Gaza City. As a result, the Office was destroyed.

At 04:15: IOF warplanes bombed the 5-storey house of Hamas Leader Fathi Hammad in Beit Lahia housing project.  As a result, the house, which sheltered 5 families, was destroyed. At 08:45: IOF warplanes bombed and destroyed another 2-storey house belonging to him in Jabalia.

At 06:55: IOF warplanes launched two missiles at the house of Hamas Leader Ghazi Hamad in Al-Geneina neighborhood in Rafah and destroyed it.

At 07:00: IOF warplanes bombed and destroyed the house of Hamas Leader Nizar ‘Awadallah in Al-Nasr neighborhood in northern Gaza, killing his son Muhammad.

At 07:00: IOF warplanes bombed and destroyed the 3-storey house of Hamas Leader Salah Bardawil in Al-Qarara, north of Khan Yunis.  Also, nearby houses sustained damage.

At 07:30: IOF warplanes bombed the house of Hamas Leader Zakaria Abu Muammar in Ma’an area, east of Khan Yunis. As a result, the house was destroyed, and 5 persons sustained minor injuries.

Meanwhile, IOF warplanes fired two missiles at the house of Hamas Leader Isma’il Barhoum in Al-Geneina neighborhood in Rafah. As a result, the house was destroyed, and several minor injuries were reported.
The same intelligence that knows the Hamas leader houses knows what and who were in the other houses. The IDF is not in the business of bombing random civilian houses, no matter what NGOs like PCHR and HRW claim.

Beyond that, at least one Gazan was apparently killed by a Hamas rocket, based on their description:

At 14:30: a bomb fell in the Indonesian Hospital’s yard in Jabalia, killing Yusra Husni Salha (67) after she sustained shrapnel injuries, and causing damage to the hospital’s oxygen station.  
When they don't claim that the bomb was dropped by Israel, that means even they know it was a Gaza rocket.

Between the human shields, Gaza groups choosing to place their military equipment in civilian areas, likely terrorists killed with families and the Gaza rockets that fall short, Israel is once again showing that it is adhering to international law in urban fighting far more than any nation that criticizes it ever has. 



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