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Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Iran is losing the psychological war they are so proud of

The Tehran Times put this on their front page showing a large list of supposed military targets in Israel.


The article said:

The Tehran Times doesn’t need to remind the illegitimate regime of Israel of Iran’s defense capabilities. Yet, they need to remember something.

Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei responded to all Israeli threats in 2013, saying, “Sometimes the leaders of the Zionist regime even threaten us; they are threatening to strike militarily, but I think they know it, and if they do not know it, they must know that if they make a mistake, the Islamic Republic will destroy Tel Aviv and Haifa.”

Keep your hands off!
This was published in 2021.

Iran is really good at threats, and not very good at following through. 

Last November, the same regime-linked newspaper reiterated:
As it was said two years ago: Just one wrong move!
Attack on Iran, though circulated in the minds of Israeli officials, would be the termination date of the occupying regime. 
This isn't bravery. It is bravado. 

No one wants to see the war expand, but Iran's constant threats to destroy Israel are intended more to frighten the West than to be actual threats. After all, it has now been eight weeks since Israel assassinated the leader of Hamas in a supposedly secure area of Tehran, and eight weeks since Iran threatened a huge retaliation.  

Was that not a "wrong move"?

There have been similar threats from Hezbollah, with article after article about Hezbollah's huge rocket inventory. Again, not to minimize the threat, but both Hezbollah and Iran have a great deal to lose.

Most media ignores the bigger picture. For decades now, Iran has been building up its "axis of resistance" by creating proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and Syria, as well as Gaza and the West Bank, to create a "Shiite crescent" to project its power. 

Its goal has always been to become a world superpower. It intends to be the de facto leader of the Muslim world and then to cow other nations into allying with it as well. 

For years, they have tried to make it appear that this goal was inexorable. Their main obstacles are Israel and the US, while Europe has been so focused on stopping aggression that they end up being on Iran's side whether they intend to or not.

If Hamas is destroyed, it is a major setback to their plan. If Hezbollah is decapitated, it changes the entire trajectory of their master plan. 

Israel is sending a message to Iran: We are not frightened of you or your proxies. We are not going to fight the war the way you want or the way you expect. And we have the means to reach you if and when we decide to.

For a long time, Iran regarded their own threats as a major means to cow Israel and the West.  Israel is calling their bluff. 

The Arab nations who are a critical part of Iran's expansionism plans see this, and see who the real strong horse is  - which side is willing to do what is necessary and which side is hiding behind proxies and empty threats. 

The psychological war that Iran wants is happening now, and they are losing badly.





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